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  • Volcanic ‘plumbing systems’ exposed. Step closer to predicting large eruptions with study of mid-ocean ridge magma chambers

    ScienceDaily: Earth Science News


    Volcanic ‘plumbing systems’ exposed: Step closer to predicting large eruptions with study of mid-ocean ridge magma chambers

    Posted: 30 Mar 2012 08:10 AM PDT

    Two new studies into the “plumbing systems” that lie under volcanoes could bring scientists closer to predicting large eruptions. International teams of researchers studied the location and behavior of magma chambers on Earth’s mid-ocean ridge system — a vast chain of volcanoes along which Earth forms new crust.

    Precipitation impacts glacial melt, Patagonian Glacier study suggests

    Posted: 30 Mar 2012 05:17 AM PDT

    Glaciers play a vital role in Earth’s climate system, and it’s critical to understand what contributes to their fluctuation. Increased global temperatures are frequently viewed as the cause of glacial melt, but a new study of Patagonia’s Gualas Glacier highlights the role of precipitation in the glacier’s fluctuation.

    Good news for Norwegian polar bears: PCBs levels down

    Posted: 30 Mar 2012 05:13 AM PDT

    In a study of PCBs in polar bear cubs in Svalbard, researchers have found that blood levels of PCBs and related contaminants in polar bear cubs appear to have dropped by as much as 59 per cent between 1998 and 2008.

    Pattern of large earthquakes on San Jacinto fault identified

    Posted: 29 Mar 2012 02:04 PM PDT

    The San Jacinto Fault Zone is a seismically active, major component of the overall southern San Andreas Fault system. Researchers have mapped evidence of past ruptures consistent with very large earthquakes along the Clark Fault, an individual strand associated with the SJF.
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  • Extreme weather threatens rich ecosystems

    ScienceDaily: Severe Weather News


    Extreme weather threatens rich ecosystems

    Posted: 30 Mar 2012 08:05 AM PDT

    Extreme weather such as hurricanes, torrential downpours and droughts will become more frequent in pace with global warming. Consequently, this increases the risk for species extinction, especially in bio diverse ecosystems such as coral reefs and tropical rainforests.

  • Political power role in NBN rollout rejected

    Political power role in NBN rollout rejected

    0

    THE company charged with rolling out the NBN has insisted the regions not covered by the $36 billion project were overlooked for engineering reasons – not political ones.

    While NBN Co boss Mike Quigley yesterday conceded his company had received “some instructions and directives” from the government, he denied they were political.

    “(The government’s instructions were) to get a good balance between regional and metro Australia, to get a balance across the states and to make sure we finish Tasmania by 2015,” Mr Quigley said.

    The initial rollout of the NBN will cover 3.5 million homes and businesses in 1500 towns and suburbs across Australia by June 2015. That figure includes 71 Labor seats, 61 coalition electorates and all six crossbench seats.

    The comments come after the government was yesterday accused of pork barrelling, after a Daily Telegraph analysis of the newly unveiled three-year rollout revealed coalition seats were being ignored.

    In the Sydney region, 64.7 per cent of rollout sites were located in federal ALP seats – compared with only 35.3 per cent of LNP seats.

    Pressure has mounted on the embattled company to explain why key targets were altered. The company had originally said it would pass 4.2 million homes by June 2015, before downgrading that target on Thursday to 3.5 million.

    Fat Prophets senior telco analyst Greg Fraser said the government and NBN Co had to explain the discrepancy.

    “When they first rolled out, they said the network would pass 4.2 million premises and connect to 2.6 million by June 2015 – that’s been reduced to 3.5 million under way or completed and there’s no explanation why,” Mr Fraser said.

    “There needs to be some targets for the number of homes that will sign up.”

    NBN Co last night declined to comment.

  • PUBLIC BOOTS THE MESSENGER

    Public boots the messenger

    March 31, 2012

    Opinion

    <em>Illustration: Rocco Fazzari</em>” /></p>
<p><em>Illustration: Rocco Fazzari</em></p>
</div>
<p><strong>Gillard wants to be seen as the leader who delivers the policy goods but the voters may have already switched off.</strong></p>
<p>If it were not already named after George Orwell,  reversing the meaning of words for the purposes of political propaganda  might have to be named Gillardian. Consider the talking points that the  Prime Minister’s office sent to ministers on Tuesday.</p>
<p>Labor had just been dealt a cold, brutal blow by the  people of Queensland on Saturday. It went from 51 seats  to seven, so  few that it lost its status as a political party for the purposes of  Queensland electoral law. Labor’s primary vote in the state fell to a  record low of 27 per cent. But federal Labor could, at least, console  itself with the fact that its share of the national vote was higher, at  31 per cent in the most recent Newspoll.</p>
<p>Then the latest Newspoll published on Tuesday. Federal  Labor’s primary vote fell by 3 percentage points to 28. That is, not  materially better than in Queensland. It was a devastating poll. The  arguments about the difference between state and federal suddenly looked  pretty thin. Labor’s Queensland performance looked like a premonition  of its federal fate.</p>
<p>The only faint hint of any positive news for Julia  Gillard in the poll was that her approval rate became slightly less  disapproving – from a net approval rating of minus 34 to minus 27. That  still meant  public sentiment was running two-to-one against her, and  that she remained a tad more unpopular than Tony Abbott. Dismal, in  other words.</p>
<p>The Prime Minister’s office, however, saw it differently.  This was the interpretation that Gillard’s staff sent to all her  ministers on Tuesday: the Newspoll result “shows people are responding  positively to the Prime Minister’s strong leadership on the mining tax,  NBN and delivering a strong economy for working people.”</p>
<p>If that is a positive response, what would a negative one  look like? This Orwellian construction was so absurd that it had a  cheering effect, though possibly not the intended one – some ministers  laughed out loud when they read it.</p>
<p>It seemed to be the same vein of thinking that Julia  Gillard was occupying when she was asked on Monday whether she, like  Queensland’s freshly dispatched premier Anna Bligh, had a problem of  trust? Gillard answered that she would be happy to go to the next  election and ask the people to trust her.</p>
<p>This sent up a gleeful whoop in the Liberal Party, which  quickly produced a video juxtaposing her remark with her broken promise  that “there will be no carbon tax under the government I lead”.</p>
<p>And on the face of it, a Labor campaign based on the  people’s trust in Gillard does look to be ludicrously quixotic. The  basis for her unpopularity is the perception of her very absence of  trustworthiness.</p>
<p>A quick review of the evidence. A poll by Essential Media  last June found that only 30 per cent of voters agreed that she was  trustworthy, a collapse from her score of 49 when she first took the  job. Qualitative polling by both parties has found that her biggest  image problems with the electorate are that she’s seen as cold and  untrustworthy. The Australian Electoral Study, conducted at every  election by a team of academics, found that just 9 per cent of voters  agreed that the word “trustworthy” described Gillard “extremely well”.</p>
<p>This is the woman demonised at No Carbon Tax rallies and  on talkback radio by the epithet Juliar, playing to the public trust?  Why on earth? Here’s the thinking among some of Gillard’s senior staff.  Trust is an issue that haunts Gillard, but it’s an issue that can’t be  skirted: “It’s one of the things you can’t go around, you have to go  through,” said one.</p>
<p>The Gillard team well recalls how John Howard did just  that at the 2004 election against Mark Latham’s Labor. After years of  criticism that Howard was duplicitous and sneaky, over the ”never,  ever” GST, children overboard, Iraq and the non-existent weapons of  mass destruction, there was widespread incredulity when he called the  election with these words: “This election, ladies and gentlemen, will be  about trust.”</p>
<p>It worked for him. In fact, it was Howard’s biggest  election win. He won the Senate as well as the House of Representatives,  giving him untrammelled control of the Parliament for the only time in  his 11½-year  prime ministership. He asked for trust, and Australia  said, How much would you like?</p>
<p>Why did it work? First, Howard did not make it an  abstract about trust or trust in truth-telling. This is how he framed  it: “Who do you trust to keep the economy strong, and protect family  living standards? Who do you trust to keep interest rates low? Who do  you trust to lead the fight on Australia’s behalf against international  terrorism?”</p>
<p>In short, Howard made it about competence. The electorate  did not think Howard honest, but it thought him competent in delivering  economic growth and national security, the two prerequisites for a  national leader. And, of course, he was – the economy had its longest  run of growth on record under Howard and Peter Costello, and there was  no successful terrorist attack.</p>
<p>But, more than that, he made it a contrast. In a  two-party system, powerfully drawing attention to an attribute of one  leader posts an automatic contrast with the other. By emphasising his  competence, Howard was pointing up  Latham’s inexperience and  unsteadiness. It was a contrast that worked brilliantly for Howard.</p>
<p>Can it work for Gillard? Howard pulled “a judo move”, by  turning an apparent weakness into a strength, says Gillard’s adviser.  When, during the leadership challenge by Kevin Rudd, Gillard declared,  again and again, that “I am the person who gets things done”, some of  her senior staff started to think that this could be the basis for a  Gillard judo move. The guiding concept is for Gillard’s campaign to find  public perceptions of her that can be harnessed to an attractive  purpose, while simultaneously pointing up an unattractive attribute of  Tony Abbott’s. Gillard is seen as a hard worker, ambitious, a good  negotiator, and tough. The thinking is to link these attributes to  Gillard as the leader who can deliver. “People want some certainty, they  want a plan, they want someone to deliver the plan,” says one of her  advisers. “We will win on a real plan, we will win on getting things  done.”</p>
<p>This is designed to highlight by contrast the perception  that Abbott has no positive plan, only negativity, cannot get things  done, only block things getting done.</p>
<p>So when, on Monday, Gillard said she would ask for trust,  she copied the Howard playbook. She did not make it about abstract  trust or about truthtelling. This is how she framed it:</p>
<p>“I am happy now and in the 2013 election to say ‘Who do  you trust to manage the economy in the interest of working people? Who  do you trust to understand the needs of the future and the building of  that future economy? Who do you trust to spread the benefits of the  mining boom to make sure that they are shared by all Australians; who do  you trust to improve your local schools and local hospitals?’”</p>
<p>And it’s the first of these, the economy, that will, as  ever in  national politics, be the main battleground. Gillard framed it  very deliberately and very carefully and based on years of political  psychology.</p>
<p>Peter Lewis of the campaign consultancy Essential Media  Communications, the outfit that crafted the ACTU’s successful campaign  against WorkChoices, explains that the choice of words is grounded in  work by the veteran US Democratic Party pollster Vic Fingerhut: “He  showed that when you ask people, ‘Who’s best at running the economy?’,  people favour the conservatives. But when you ask, ‘Who’s best at  running the economy in the interests of working people?’, the  left-of-centre party wins.” It’s all about framing the question. “By  merely adding the words ‘for working people’ to the question ‘who is  better at managing the economy?’, Democrats pick up 30 percentage  points. This is the way that left-of-centre parties can win debates.”</p>
<p>Lewis says that Australians have a firm conviction that  social class exists despite our national narrative of egalitarianism.  Asked whether they believe social class still exists in Australia, 86  per cent of respondents to an Essential Media poll said yes, and only 8  per cent said no.</p>
<p>This, no doubt, helps explain Wayne Swan’s attacks on  billionaires as he seeks to establish a polarisation in the public mind  to the advantage of Labor. Guess how many Australians categorise  themselves as belonging to the upper class? One per cent, according to  Essential Media polling. Thirty-four per cent call themselves working  class, and 50 per cent middle class.</p>
<p>“Our reading of this,” says Lewis, “is that this is fertile ground. Class is the new black.”</p>
<p>But if Gillard, Swan and Lewis are right, then why are we  seeing poll results like this one? Asked “which party do you think  would be best at handling the Australian economy in the interests of you  and people like you?” in an Essential Media poll just this week, the  Liberal Party still won, by 41 per cent to 29.</p>
<p>The theory is not working for Labor as it is supposed to.  Similarly, Lewis points out that “on most issues, Labor is running with  stuff that rates 50 per cent plus” on a policy-by-policy measure. He  cites the mining tax, the NBN and the prospect of a national disability  insurance scheme. “But it’s not translating into electoral support.”</p>
<p>One possible conclusion is that Labor’s popular policies  are outweighed by the unpopular. But even the hyper-controversial carbon  tax still wins poll support of about 30 to 40 per cent, meaning Labor’s  most unpopular policy is nonetheless more popular than Labor itself.  Another possible conclusion is that the problem is not the product but  the salesman. Or woman.</p>
<p><strong>Peter Hartcher is the political editor.</strong></p>
</div>
</div>
<p>Read more: <a href=http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/public-boots-the-messenger-20120330-1w3jc.html#ixzz1qe4oNQMu

  • Millions starving as world responds slowly to disaster

    Millions starving as world responds slowly to disaster

    Matt Wade

    March 31, 2012

    Two-year-old Ouobra Kompalemba, who suffers from severe malnutrition and bronchitis, receives milk through a catheter, on March 19, 2012 at a hospital in Diapaga, eastern Burkina Faso.

    Famine victim … Ouobra Kompalemba, 2, is fed milk through a tube in a Burkina Faso hospital. Photo: AFP

    THE hunger season has come early to West Africa. It’s normal for villagers in the drought-prone Sahel region, which spans from Senegal to Chad, to cut back on meals as food stocks run low in the weeks before the September harvest. But an aid worker with Save the Children in Niger, Marianne Tounkara, says families have already run out of food.

    Interactive: The food and nutrition crisis

    ”They are surviving on leaves and plants they would not use in normal times,” she said from her base in the Niger capital, Niamey. ”They are also decreasing the number of meals that they have in a day. But those coping strategies should be happening much later in the year.”

    A lethal mix of sporadic rains, soaring food prices, regional conflict and chronic poverty has left more than 13 million people across the Sahel short of food. Aid agencies fear the crisis could soon turn into a catastrophe and are frustrated by the sluggish international response.

    Ms Tounkara said Niger had received only a fraction of the funding agencies estimate will be needed to stave off a disaster.

    ”The government is doing its best … but it worries me in terms of an adequate response from the international community,” she said. ”Families need support to feed their children now.”

    The vast landlocked nation of Niger is the worst affected with about 6 million people facing food shortages and 2 million of those in critical need of assistance. A study by aid agencies in two Niger districts found up to 90 per cent of people believed their food stocks would run out before the next harvest. But even in normal times Niger accounts for about one sixth of global deaths from malnutrition.

    In neighbouring Mali, the democratically elected government was toppled in a military coup last week, and thousands of refugees have fled to Niger, adding to the crisis.

    A flood of weapons into Mali following the recent downfall of the Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi has been blamed for boosting a long-running rebellion by Tuareg tribesmen and destabilising the government. The political instability threatens to hamper efforts to curb affiliates of al-Qaeda active in the region.

    Meanwhile, about 3.5 million people in Mali need emergency help.

    It’s estimated that another 1.7 million people are facing food shortages in Burkina Faso, 1.6 million in Chad and hundreds of thousands in Mauritania and Senegal.

    Tristan Clements, a World Vision Australia emergency aid specialist who has worked in the Sahel, said the food crisis could peak in the next months. ”West Africa is an incredibly fragile region; it’s the poorest geographical region on Earth and is probably the most neglected region as far as international donors are concerned. It has huge challenges ahead,” he said.

    ”We already have 1.3 million children that are malnourished and 400,000 of them severe. Without significant intervention we do anticipate we’ll be seeing high levels of child deaths.”

    Save the Children in Australia has called on the federal government to raise the alarm on the Sahel food crisis and lift its financial contribution to the aid effort. ”The Australian government responded generously to last year’s food crisis in the Horn of Africa, but now we need them to follow up with swift action and tens of millions of dollars to save lives in West Africa,” Save the Children’s director of emergency programs, Scott Gilbert, said.

    ”We’re not seeing starving babies yet, but we fear we might unless the Australian government and the international community act, and act now.”

    The government contributed $128 million to the emergency response in the Horn of Africa last year and has so far pledged $10 million for emergency food aid in the Sahel.

    The government’s aid agency, AusAID, also supports CSIRO scientists to work with farmers in Niger and Mali to improve farming practices where there is limited water.

    The head of AusAID in Africa, Jamie Isbister, said emergency assistance in West Africa would need to be carefully managed to ensure fragile local food markets in the region were not impaired. ”It’s important for the international community to respond to both the immediate crisis but also to support the longer term food security needs in Sahel,” he said.

    Last year’s famine in East Africa highlighted shortcomings in the international emergency relief system.

    A report released in January by Save the Children and Oxfam on the response to the Horn of Africa food crisis said there had been a collective failure to take preventive action, as well as the failure to respond with adequate humanitarian aid when it was needed.

    It concluded an earlier response could have saved millions of dollars and thousands of lives. Aid agencies don’t want to make the same mistakes as conditions in West Africa deteriorate.

    ”Food crises rarely take the world by surprise and yet all too often we see the international community fail to act quickly enough,” World Vision Australia’s chief executive, Tim Costello, said.

    Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/world/millions-starving-as-world-responds-slowly-to-disaster-20120330-1w3ft.html#ixzz1qdl2i4xx

  • Fijians scramble to higher ground amid floods

    Fijians scramble to higher ground amid floods

    Updated March 30, 2012 19:14:54

    Flash flooding has cut highways and forced evacuations in Fiji, with residents sheltering from rising waters on rooftops as authorities scrambled to find rescue boats.

    Heavy rains caused rivers to burst their banks in the west of the main island Viti Levu, taking water levels higher than those experienced during a six-day deluge in January which claimed 11 lives, meteorologists said.

    Police said they were not aware of any deaths in the latest disaster, which cut off the town of Nadi, home to Fiji’s international airport, as well as other centres including Ba, Lautoka, Rakiraki and Sigatoka.

    Most flights to and from Nadi were cancelled, national carrier Air Pacific said.

    Disaster management office Dismac said a “massive” number of people were stranded on rooftops awaiting rescue and appealed for anyone with a boat to help relief efforts.

    “We’ve got a lot of reports of people on rooftops, it’s quite a massive number,” Dismac director Pajiliai Dobui said.

    “If people in these areas have boats, we’re asking them to make them available, as the little we have is not enough.”

    Dismac said it had opened 11 evacuations centres. No figures detailing how many people were sheltering in the centres were immediately available.

    The National Weather Forecasting Centre predicted the rain would continue until at least Sunday, accompanied by strong winds on Saturday.

    AFP

    Topics:floods, disasters-and-accidents, fiji

    First posted March 30, 2012 19:11:26