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  • Why Tony Abbott’s climate ‘strategy’ is several different kinds of stupid

    Why Tony Abbott’s climate ‘strategy’ is several different kinds of stupid

    Most of the Coalition’s planned emission cuts to meet its new 2030 target come from yet to be detailed measures – any serious assessment is impossible in this policy void

    Lack of policy detail a major concern, say business leaders

    The Liddell Power Station near Muswellbrook. Most of the government’s planned emission cuts to meet its new 2030 target come from yet to be detailed measures.
    The Liddell Power Station near Muswellbrook. Most of the government’s planned emission cuts to meet its new 2030 target come from yet to be detailed measures. Photograph: Tim Wimborne/Reuters

    Tony Abbott’s climate “strategy” – repeated sagely in many columns since Tuesday – is to “neutralise” the “environmental” argument with his new 26% greenhouse target and then attack Labor’s policy on economic grounds. This argument is several different kinds of stupid.

    First the target can only “neutralise” the environmental argument if voters are silly enough to accept two things. One, that Australia has no obligation to do its fair share of the job of limiting global warming to 2 degrees. (The target is sort of in the ball-park of other developed nations’ targets, but it doesn’t represent a fair share.) And, two, that they take on trust that the Coalition’s “surprise box” of yet-to-be-announced climate policy (see graphic below) is capable of meeting the target, and delivering the environmental benefit. (Using a range of policies is probably quite sensible, but the only announced policy is the emissions reduction fund – all the others are not yet detailed, to the deep consternation of business leaders, who are calling out the policy void.)

    Second, the economic “attack” can only succeed if voters are silly enough to accept that the cost of the yet-to-be-announced, and therefore uncosted Coalition policy is smaller than the costs of Labor’s yet-to-be-announced and therefore also uncosted alternative.

    Let’s start with the government’s policy. We can’t “cost” it – as in add up the dollars needed for the various parts – because the various parts of the surprise box have not yet been detailed. But the target has been modelled. The government has not yet released the modelling, by leading economist Warwick McKibbin, but Guardian Australia has reported on it. It says the 26% target will shave 0.2% to 0.3% from GDP in 2030.

    Then let’s look at the Labor policy. Oh, wait, there isn’t one. There are also no alternative targets. There’s a promise to have some sort of emissions trading scheme and a vague pledge to have 50% renewables. But there’s no detail. All those Bill Shorten press conferences in front of solar arrays and wind turbines have been long on rhetoric and devoid of policy fact. So there are no costings of Labor’s policy either.

    This was obviously a problem for Abbott’s big comparative economic costings “attack”. So he made some up. Drawing on a carefully-placed story in the Daily Telegraph, which was based on publicly available modelling done by the Climate Change Authority three years ago, the government alleges Labor’s non-policy will cost $600bn, and cut 2% off GDP growth in 2030. I discuss the origins of this blown-up “scary” number in more detail here.

    And even if Labor did decide to back a 40% greenhouse gas reduction target by 2030 – there is much more recent modelling of that. The government’s own modelling! The same modelling that showed a 26% target would shave 0.2% or 0.3% from GDP growth also found, using the same assumptions, that a 35% target would cut 0.3% to 0.5% from GDP and a 45% target would cut 0.5% to 0.7%. That’s a quarter of what the other modelling said. Much less scary. How inconvenient. No matter, Abbott proceeded with the argument that only Labor’s yet-to-be-announced policy will come at a cost to “growth and jobs”, whereas his yet-to-be-announced policy will protect them.

    In the real world – rather than the sometimes entirely fictional world of political rhetoric – companies and voters would like to know exactly what policies the major parties are considering, instead of hot air comparing the unknown economic costs of two yet-to-be-announced plans.

  • Your invitation BILL SHORTEN

    1 of 44

    Your invitation

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    Bill Shorten Unsubscribe

    10:00 AM (15 minutes ago)

    to me
    The latest politics update from the Australian Labor Party | Unsubscribe
    .
    Neville —

    Earlier this week Tony Abbott released his emissions reduction target which has put Australia well behind countries like the USA, Germany and the UK when it comes to action on climate change. This comes in the lead up to the Paris Climate Change Conference.

    Tomorrow I’ll be addressing this issue – and the costs of inaction on climate change – at UNSW. I’d like to invite you to join me at this free event in a discussion about how important reducing emissions and investing in renewables is for our economic growth and job creation.

    We can’t afford to let Tony Abbott hold Australia back from doing our part on climate change.

    We also need to ensure that Australia takes advantage of the billions of dollars of investment in renewable energy. That’s why I’ve announced that if elected Labor will ensure 50% of our energy comes from renewables by 2030.

    Please join me to discuss this and more at the event tomorrow from 10.30 am-11.30 am.

    Tickets are free, but RSVPs are essential. You can read more details here, and RSVP here.

    I hope to see you there,
    Bill

  • Your invitation Inbox x BILL SHORTEN

    More

    1 of 44

    Your invitation

     
    Inbox
    x

    Bill Shorten Unsubscribe

    10:00 AM (1 minute ago)

    to me
    The latest politics update from the Australian Labor Party | Unsubscribe
    .
    Neville —

    Earlier this week Tony Abbott released his emissions reduction target which has put Australia well behind countries like the USA, Germany and the UK when it comes to action on climate change. This comes in the lead up to the Paris Climate Change Conference.

    Tomorrow I’ll be addressing this issue – and the costs of inaction on climate change – at UNSW. I’d like to invite you to join me at this free event in a discussion about how important reducing emissions and investing in renewables is for our economic growth and job creation.

    We can’t afford to let Tony Abbott hold Australia back from doing our part on climate change.

    We also need to ensure that Australia takes advantage of the billions of dollars of investment in renewable energy. That’s why I’ve announced that if elected Labor will ensure 50% of our energy comes from renewables by 2030.

    Please join me to discuss this and more at the event tomorrow from 10.30 am-11.30 am.

    Tickets are free, but RSVPs are essential. You can read more details here, and RSVP here.

    I hope to see you there,
    Bill

  • Presenting SDSN’s interactive website on “Indicators and a Monitoring Framework for the Sustainable Development Goals”

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    Presenting SDSN’s interactive website on “Indicators and a Monitoring Framework for the Sustainable Development Goals”

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    Sustainable Development Solutions Network info@unsdsn.org via mail12.suw11.mcdlv.net 

    10:31 PM (4 minutes ago)

    to me
    New interactive website for “Indicators and a Monitoring Framework for the Sustainable Development Goals”
    Dear friends,

    On Sunday August 2nd, UN Member States agreed upon the Post-2015 outcome document, to be adopted by Heads of State and Government in September 2015. “Transforming Our World” sets out 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and a range of associated targets. Now the substance of the agenda has been agreed, attention is turning to implementation. Of particular importance are the indicators and the associated monitoring framework, which will be finalized in early 2016.

    The SDSN is excited to present an interactive website for its report Indicators and a Monitoring Framework for Sustainable Development Goals: Launching a data revolution for the SDGs. Through this site, you can easily view our proposed list of 100 Global Monitoring Indicators (GMI) and map them to the 17 goals and 169 targets. The platform also helps to illustrate interlinkages, demonstrating how individual indicators can cut across multiple goals and targets.

    Explore the Indicators
    The Indicators report is the result of over 18 months of consultations led by the SDSN with the contributions of nearly 500 organizations and thousands of individuals – previous versions of the report have so far been downloaded over 100,000 times. The full report is available at unsdsn.org/indicators.

    The list of Global Monitoring Indicators may be periodically updated as experts agree on metrics or new ones are developed to fill the identified gaps, and these updates will be reflected on the Indicators website.

    With best regards,
    Guido Schmidt-Traub
    Executive Director
  • Don’t miss the debate tomorrow Kate — Land Water Future

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    Don’t miss the debate tomorrow

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    Kate — Land Water Future <kate@landwaterfuture.org.au>

    5:23 PM (10 minutes ago)

    to me
    The coal seam gas debate: You can watch online from 10am.

    Neville,

    Tomorrow morning in the NSW Parliament, members of the Upper House will have the chance to vote to protect our land and water from coal seam gas.

    It’s an unprecedented opportunity.

    Over the past week thousands of us have told our MPs it’s time to do the right thing — to stop coal seam gas threatening our farms, forests, water catchments, and communities, once and for all.

    We’ve had some great wins in recent months, with many coal seam gas licences being cancelled. But the threat still exists for large areas of our state, including the Gloucester valley, Northern Rivers, the south west suburbs of Sydney, and the Pilliga Forest in north west NSW.

    Tomorrow our Upper House MPs can act to protect these areas from being industrialised by sprawling gasfields.

    If you’d like to watch the debate unfold, it’s due to kick off around 10am tomorrow.

    You can watch it streaming online from the NSW Parliament website (look for the Legislative Council webcast). We’ll also post a link tomorrow morning on our Facebook page and on Twitter.

    The public gallery will be open too, so if you’re in Sydney you can come along to the Legislative Council at Parliament House on Macquarie Street from 10am tomorrow. The nearest train stations are Martin Place and St James.

    We’ll be sure to keep you posted on what happens,

    Kate and the Land Water Future team

    PS Make sure your friends know about the debate — forward this email and share on Facebook:

  • Plebiscite or Referendum – What’s the Difference ANTONY GREEN

    « 2016 Prospects for the Abbott Government in South Australia | Main

    August 12, 2015