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  • Meltdown is a warning the world can’t afford to ignore

    Meltdown is a warning the world can’t afford to ignore


     





    The release of America’s spy satellite images of Arctic sea ice provides unexpected, dramatic new evidence about the dangers of global warming.


    These visions of dwindling ice cover confirm that changes in climate in the planet’s high latitudes are progressing much faster than originally expected. And what happens there is bound to have an impact elsewhere on our overheating world, in particular to its rising sea levels.


    It is not the actual loss of Arctic sea ice that is the danger, of course. Its melting will add nothing, directly, to rises in sea levels. But its dwindling will almost certainly have a profound knock-on effect – mainly on the great ice sheets that cover Greenland and Antarctica. Without sea ice to prop them up at their edges, these sheets will break apart at faster and faster rates and tip more and more ice into the oceans. And once changes have been triggered at their edges, these will be transmitted into the hearts of these great glaciers at remarkably fast rates, scientists predict.



     


    And here lies the threat to Earth. The destruction of the ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland will feed vast amounts of meltwater into the oceans, far more than has been calculated until very recently. For example, the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change contained little input from melting ice sheets in its estimates and concluded, instead, that sea-level rises would be constrained to around 20 to 60 centimetres by the end of the century.


    That figure now looks uncomfortably optimistic and current estimates put the likely rise at one metre or more by 2100 – a figure backed by the US Geological Survey, which this year warned that rises could reach as much as 1.5 metres. As a result, low-lying areas, including Bangladesh, Florida, the Maldives and the Netherlands, will undergo catastrophic flooding, while in Britain large areas of the Norfolk Broads and the Thames estuary could disappear. In addition, cities including London, Hull and Portsmouth will need new flood defences.


    And that is just the beginning. No matter what we do about carbon dioxide emissions – the key cause of this heating and melting – the world will continue to warm and its sea levels to rise beyond 2100. Reversing global warming will be a very long process. However, we have, if nothing else, been warned.

  • Canberra first to see electric car network

    Canberra first to see electric car network


    Posted 47 minutes ago



    The ACT Greens have welcomed moves to set up an electric car network in Canberra.


    Infrastructure provider Better Place Australia has chosen Canberra as the first site in the country to roll out its network of charge stations and battery swap points.


    The company will start building the network in two years and expects cars to come online in 2012.



     


    Greens MLA Amanda Bresnan says it is a positive step, but only part of the solution.


    “This is one thing we can do, but obviously public transport is that other major thing we have to do because not everybody is going to be able to afford to purchase electric cars,” she said.


    “We need to actually be putting in infrastructure that addresses the larger part of the population and also people on lower incomes.”

  • Carribbean Reefs Face Severe Summer Threat

    July 22, 2009, 5:03 pm

    Caribbean Reefs Face Severe Summer Threat








    Coral reefs in a broad swath of the Caribbean face a substantial risk of severe bleaching and die-offs through October, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said on Wednesday in its latest  Coral Reef Watch report.


    Similar conditions may develop in the southern Gulf of Mexico and central Pacific, the agency said. But the report said the widest area of high risk was in the southern Caribbean, from Nicaragua’s east coast across the south coasts of Haiti and the Dominican Republic and from Puerto Rico south along the Lesser Antilles. Rising ocean temperatures are contributing to the risk, the report said, noting that the National Climatic Data Center reported that in June the world’s  ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record.



     


    From the report:



    Scientists are concerned that bleaching may reach the same levels or exceed those recorded in 2005, the worst coral bleaching and disease year in Caribbean history. In parts of the eastern Caribbean, as much as 90 percent of corals bleached and over half of those died during that event.


    The forecast said there was substantial risk of bleaching in parts of the Pacific Ocean, as well, and noted that this did not include the extra heat anticipated from a developing El Niño warming of the tropical Pacific.

  • Climate insurance: what kind of deal can be made in Copenhagen

    Climate insurance: what kind of deal can be made in Copenhagen?


    One key challenge on the climate change agenda is a fairer system to protect the world’s poorest farmers from failing crops and extreme weather variations. From Climate Feedback part of Guardian Environment Network





    Katine drought ethiopia

    The results of crop failure from exceptional drought in Ethiopia. Photograph: Joel Robine/AFP


    As even the staunchest advocates will tell you, climate insurance is by no means a magic bullet. But clearly the tools of modern finance could certainly help make poor nations prepare for and respond to all manner of natural disasters big and small.


    We explore some of these ideas in this week’s issue of Nature, taking a quick look at how the insurance debate is playing out in the ongoing United Nations climate talks. The upshot is that some kind of insurance mechanism is likely to make it into whatever climate deal is struck in Copenhagen and beyond.


    One commonly cited option is index insurance, which is tied to things like rainfall that can be measured objectively. This cuts down on costs by eliminating the need for audits and investigations. In the case of something like crop insurance, moreover, it could put money in the hands of farmers immediately after the rains fail – and before the hunger sets in.



     


    Today these programmes are being paid for largely by the farmers and nations buying the insurance, but industrialised nations would likely subsidise any insurance programme deployed as part of an international climate agreement. The logic is that extreme weather variations – including droughts and heavy storms – are likely to increase in a warmer world, which means that both costs and premiums will rise as well.


    A key challenge moving forward is how to scale up programmes that benefit the world’s poorest farmers and communities. Dan Osgood, a researcher at Columbia University’s International Research Institute for Climate and Society, points out the pilot programmes that are under way today have generally been deployed in areas where information – regarding weather, crops and the like – is available. This means it will only get more difficult moving forward.


    In the case of the Ethiopian project discussed in our story, Osgood only had 15 years of satellite data on rainfall. The team has installed a rain gauge in the village of Adi Ha, which they hope to use in future years, but the team had no choice but to base their rainfall metrics on satellite data this year.


    Osgood says the insurance question could also increase pressure on scientists and insurance companies to tease out the long-term impacts of global warming at very local scales. He was forced to grapple with the problem when he analysed the satellite data and found a slight decline in precipitation around Adi Ha. Scientists can perhaps write that kind of trend off as an uncertainty and wait for more data. Insurance contracts, however, can’t ignore such trends, because they are, by their very nature, priced according to uncertainty. The bigger the risk, the more uncertainty, the higher the price.


    “It could be a climate trend, it could be just noise and uncertainty, or it could be a decadal process,” he says. “What’s cool about it is we don’t need to know in order to write the contract this year.”
    Jeff Tollefson


    • This article was shared by our content partner, Nature’s Climate Feedback blog, part of Guardian Environment Network


     

  • The plight of Britain’s ancient trees

    The plight of Britain’s ancient trees


    We are home to some 100,000 of the oldest trees in Europe. But is our neglect and ill-treatment in danger of killing them off





    ancient trees

    National Trust’s ancient tree expert Brian Muelaner in the woods in the Chilterns, Photograph: Graeme Robertson


    Above crumpled grey roots like the enormous feet of a prehistoric elephant, leaves form a vaulted roof as grand as a cathedral. Huge limbs stretch out for 24 metres on each side. They smell damp. Stand beneath “the Tree”, as this magical old beech is known to anyone who walks this corner of the Chilterns, and you feel in the presence of something living and breathing. Its trunk is polished smooth from admirers who have scrambled into its embrace, and it has even brought its charisma and great girth to bear on films such as Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire. This tree has lived for 400 years but now it is dying. Green summer weeds sprout on the ground below its huge canopy, sunlight now penetrating its thinning head of leafy hair. “The tree isn’t capturing all the light that it once did,” explains Bob Davis, head forester for the National Trust’s 5,000-acre estate at Ashridge. “It is slowly shutting down. We’ve decided not to do any surgery on it and allow it to decline naturally into senescence.”



     


    In its dotage, this great tree is being carefully nurtured. Across the country, however, many of our estimated 100,000 ancient trees – which could represent 70% of all ancient trees in Europe – are neglected or at risk of being felled. This week, they get a new guardian: Brian Muelaner, a forester turned conservationist, is to count all the ancient trees on land belonging to the National Trust, which could turn out to be the largest private owner of ancient and notable trees in northern Europe. Muelaner’s new job as the Trust’s ancient tree officer will help push along the Ancient Tree Hunt, a five-year project led by the Woodland Trust, which for the first time is recording every ancient tree in Britain. “If we don’t know where they are, we can’t protect them,” says Muelaner. “If we can’t protect them, we don’t know if they can survive.”


    A tree is defined as ancient if it is unusually old for its species. It is said that an oak spends 300 years growing, 300 years living and 300 years dying. Such a long-lived species would have to be 600 years old to be classified as ancient. Beeches are prone to fungal attack and are less long-lived: an ancient beech is anything over 300 years old. Birch trees have even shorter lives; one that has lived for two centuries is very old.


    Ancient trees are ecological treasures because they provide unique habitats for rare plants, insects, birds and mammals. When they become ancient, trees such as oaks and sweet chestnuts “grow down”, dying at the top and forming a new crown of leaves below so the tree shrinks and hunches like a very old man. Ancient trees also hollow out: fungi feed on the deadwood in the heart of the tree and invertebrates such as rare beetles move into the hollows, followed by birds and bats. Three-quarters of our 17 species of bat are known to roost in trees. Some plant species can only survive on ancient trees: over time, the pH of bark changes and certain rare lichens only grow on ancient bark.


    With a laughing Buddha around his neck, Muelaner looks like a hippie rock star, but he is not a tree-hugger. “That doesn’t do it for me, but I understand it,” he says. “The mood an ancient tree puts you in, it just takes your breath away; you know you are by something extremely important and significant. When you are under an ancient tree, it’s very good for your soul.” He compares a century-old beech nearby the 400-year-old tree. “It’s like the difference between an 80-year-old man who is full of knowledge and experience and a cocksure 15-year-old who thinks he knows everything. You can discard those people as doddery old folks or you could use them for their knowledge. You can learn so much from ancient trees about how a tree survives. How does an organism survive for 1,000 years in the same spot? It doesn’t get to move to a better position. So it adapts.”


    Standing beneath the huge old beech, contemplating its warty imperfections and huge stretch-marks where its trunk has bent and twisted, it seems incredible that it has stood witness to four centuries of humans scurrying around it. While this example partly owes its long life to being pollarded by humans over the centuries (the traditional way of harvesting its branches at head height, pollarding mimics the natural retrenchment of trees such as oaks, and ensures species like beech don’t grow too tall and fragile), trees have their own clever ways of prolonging their life. They can eat themselves. When fungus attacks the dead heartwood, a tree might send aerial roots into the hollow and start drawing the nutrients out, recycling itself so it lives longer. Trees can also walk. Slowly. If a branch touches the ground, it can send out roots and grow up again.


    Our wealth of long-lived trees is a happy accident: a legacy of our royal hunting forests, our domineering aristocracy and our lack of efficiency – compared with our north European neighbours – in harvesting our forests for timber. The last century, however, has not been kind to ancient trees. We have ploughed too close to them, grazed too intensively around them and used fertilisers and pesticides too wantonly, killing both trees and species of fungi that have a symbiotic relationship with them. Then there was the ripping out of native broad-leaved trees and planting of supposedly more productive non-native conifers after the second world war. “The Forestry Commission, the National Trust, private landowners, everyone was guilty in its day. There was a national drive for it,” says Muelaner. “Now we know the unique historical, cultural and biological importance of these trees, and there is a national movement to reverse the bad management of the past.”


    Trees may be impressively long-lived but they are more fragile than we imagine. Too many livestock sheltering under a tree and defecating there can fatally damage it. Even a footpath under a tree can compress its roots and destroy it. One day, Davis discovered a group of druids worshipping the great beech at Ashridge with a small fire. The tree did not look as if it had been harmed but even a mild scorching – with no visible damage – can cause a tree’s sap to boil and kill it. Ancient trees are often hollow: the holes make fantastic dens but children often light small fires in them. “You lose your ancient tree just like that,” Muelaner snaps his fingers. “We do things inadvertently and it’s gone. We can’t put it back. We can’t recreate that habitat like we can with grassland. If we kill an ancient tree, we have to wait 500 years to restore that habitat.”


    Trees can also die of sunburn. Close to the great beech at Ashridge, another beech is dying because a vast branch of another tree fell nearby, exposing this tree to the sun. Beech has thin bark and, just like a pale-skinned human, if it has grown up protected from the sun and is suddenly exposed, it burns horribly. Grey squirrels stripping bark is an increasing problem: holes in the bark allow fungal diseases in, which can weaken a tree and finally cause it to fall over. Fungal diseases introduced by squirrels also stain the quality beech wood that the Chilterns is renowned for, making it commercially worthless. “It’s a serious economic and ecological issue. It’s a total disaster,” says Muelaner.


    Ancient trees are not merely great statues to biodiversity, they document human history; they have a social and cultural significance, as well as an ecological one. The ancient trunk pictured at the top of this article bears the scars of decades of graffiti. “It is vandalism but then it becomes historic,” he says. During the second world war, American soldiers shot deer, chased local women and prepared for war in the woods at Ashridge. On 4 May 1944, a few weeks before D-Day, when many young men would perish, a group of GIs carved a “V” for victory and the names of their home states – from Texas to South Dakota – into the trunk of another Chiltern beech nearby. It is still there, a memorial in bark, the carving slowly fattening as the tree grows so you can rest a finger in the V now.


    Muelaner, whose post has been funded for three years by the Cadbury family, will accelerate the process of logging our ancient trees. So far, the Woodland Trust has logged 38,000 ancient trees through the work of ecologists and ordinary members of the public, who can record trees at ancient-tree-hunt.org.uk. Our great wealth of ancient trees may not remain unknown for much longer, but they are still relatively unprotected. Other countries preserve ancient trees by listing them like an old house or ancient monument. In Britain, the only protection is a tree preservation order, which can be circumvented by developers if it is proved trees are dead, dying or dangerous (and most ancient trees, by definition, are dying: it just takes them three centuries).


    Muelaner points to the enormous beech at Ashridge. “If France, Germany or the Scandinavian countries had a tree like that, there would be plaques everywhere and it would be a national monument,” he says. As well as better protection, he believes we need to create ancient tree-like habitat by planting young trees such as birches that age quickly and provide dead wood or by deliberately maiming some trees to create hollows and dead areas so beloved of smaller living things.


    “The speed of our societies nowadays mean that trees are that much more important to us as places where we are grounded and are at peace,” says Muelaner. “We need them now more than we ever needed them before”.

  • Tuvalu Sets Goal of 100 Percent Clean Energy by 2020

    July 22, 2009

    Tuvalu Sets Goal of 100 Percent Clean Energy by 2020


    The nation hopes its solar project will inspire climate talks.

    by Ghita Benessahraoui & Terry Collins

    Tuvalu [RenewableEnergyWorld.com]

    Amid worsening climate change-related problems for small island states, Tuvalu has established a national goal of being powered entirely by renewable energy sources by 2020.


    “There may be other, larger solar power installations in the world but none could be more meaningful to customers than this one.”





    Takao Shiraishi, General Manager, Kansai Electric Power Co.



    Government officials and the donors of Tuvalu’s first large-scale solar energy system alike hope the moves help inspire much larger nations later this year in negotiations of a successor to the Kyoto Protocol agreement on climate change.


    The solar system installed on the roof of Tuvalu’s largest football stadium now supplies 5 percent of the electricity needed by that nation’s capital, Funafuti.


    In its first 14 months, the operation has reduced Tuvalu’s consumption of generator fuel, shipped from New Zealand, by about 17,000 litres and reduced Tuvalu’s carbon footprint by about 50 tonnes.


    In the process, it has also reduced the risk of diesel spills around the archipelago of four low-lying coral islands and five atolls.


    Based on the project’s success, the country now aims to be powered entirely by renewable energy sources by 2020, a goal requiring an investment estimated at just over $20 million, according to government estimates.


    At their summit earlier this month in Italy, the richer G8 countries committed to help finance efforts by poorer nations to battle climate change.


    Tuvalu’s first grid-connected, 40-kilowatt solar energy system was implemented under the leadership of Japan’s Kansai Electric Power Co with the support of the Tokyo Electric Power Company, both members of the e8, an international non-profit organization of 10 leading power utilities from G8 countries.


    “There may be other, larger solar power installations in the world but none could be more meaningful to customers than this one,” says Takao Shiraishi, General Manager of the Kansai Electric Power Co.


    “The plight of Tuvalu versus the rising tide vividly represents the worst early consequence of climate change,” he adds. “For Tuvalu, after 3,000 years of history, the success of UN climate talks in Copenhagen this December may well be a matter of national survival.”


    The Tuvalu government is working to expand the initial US $410,000 e8 project from 40 to 60 kilowatts, and will extend solar power to outer islands, starting later this year with the commission of a US $800,000, 46-kilowatt solar power system for the Motufoua Secondary School in Vaitupu, being implemented with the support of the Italian government.


    With a population of 12,000, Tuvalu is halfway between Hawaii and Australia, 26 square km in size, with a maximum elevation of just 4.5 meters and most of its land less than a meter above sea level.


    Tuvalu is already experiencing flooding amid predictions of a large sea level rise this century.


    Says Kausea Natano, Minister for Public Utilities and Industries: “We thank those who are helping Tuvalu reduce its carbon footprint as it will strengthen our voice in upcoming international negotiations. And we look forward to the day when our nation offers an example to all – powered entirely by natural resources such as the sun and the wind.”


    The e8’s Tuvalu project was initiated after a series of regional renewable energy feasibility workshops, jointly organized by the Pacific Power Association (PPA) and the e8.


    e8 members agreed to donate and install the first facility, and are monitoring its success and building local expertise to ensure the project’s sustainability.


    Run by the state-owned Tuvalu Electricity Corporation (TEC), the system in Funafuti today powers households, healthcare facilities, small-and medium-sized enterprises and other facilities.


    Johane Meagher, Executive Director of the e8, expressed thanks for the support of the Pacific Power Association, with whom the e8 has established a long term collaboration to support development of small scale projects in the Pacific Islands and strengthen the capacity of the engineers and technicians of the islands’ utilities to enhance renewable energy power in the Pacific region.


    Meagher said, “We are proud of the role the e8 has played in creating this clean energy project, which was intended to generate far more than just electricity in Tuvalu. It is a message to the world about the urgent need to promote sustainable energy development and reduce greenhouse gas emissions on a massive scale.”


    Ghita Benessahraoui is Communications Coordinator of the e8 General Secretariat, Montreal and Mr. Terry Collins heads a Toronto-based firm specializing in international science communications.



    Sidebar: Who are the e8?


    Created in the wake of the 1992 Rio Summit, the e8 is a non-profit international organization, composed of 10 leading electricity companies from the G8 countries, whose mission is to play an active role in the international debate on global electricity issues and to promote sustainable energy development through electricity sector projects and human capacity building activities in developing and emerging nations worldwide.


    The e8, in partnership with UN agencies, key international organizations and local partners, contributes to enhancing access to energy for some of the two billion people around the world still without access to this essential resource.


    The e8 mission, with the fight against climate change and sustainable development at its core, translates into three key objectives:



    • To contribute to the development of common policies that create the foundations for global cooperation on sustainable energy development and the fight against climate change;
    • To participate in the global debate on key issues relating to the electricity sector, putting forward common positions and becoming a representative voice of the international electricity sector vis-à-vis the G8; and
    • To support developing and emerging countries in the effective and sustainable generation and use of electricity.

    The e8 members are:



    • American Electric Power, USA
    • Duke Energy, USA
    • Hydro-Québec, Canada
    • Ontario Power Generation, Canada
    • EDF, France
    • ENEL S.p.a., Italy
    • RWE AG, Germany
    • JSC “RusHydro”, Russia
    • Kansai Electric Power Company, Inc., Japan
    • Tokyo Electric Power Company, Inc., Japan