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  • New island off Greenland

    As the satellite pictures makes clear, Warming Island has been created by a quite undeniable, rapid and enormous physical transformation and is likely to be seen around the world as a potent symbol of the coming effects of climate change.

    But it is only one more example of the disintegration of the Greenland Ice Sheet, that scientists have begun to realise, only very recently, is proceeding far more rapidly than anyone thought.

    The second-largest ice sheet in the world (after Antarctica), if its entire 2.5 million cubic kilometres of ice were to melt, it would lead to a global sea level rise of 7.2 metres, or more than 23 feet.

    That would inundate most of the world’s coastal cities, including London, swamp vast areas of heavily-populated low-lying land in countries such as Bangladesh, and remove several island countries such as the Maldives from the face of the Earth. However, even a rise one tenth as great would have devastating consequences.

    Sea level rise is already accelerating. Sea levels are going up around the world by about 3.1mm per year – the average for the period 1993-2003. That is itself sharply up from an average of 1.8mm per year over the longer period 1961-2003. Greenland ice now accounts for about 0.5 millimetre of the total. (Much of the rest of the rise is coming from the expansion of the world’s sea water as it warms.)

    Until two or three years ago, it was thought that the break-up of the ice sheet might take 1,000 years or more but a series of studies and alarming observations since 2004 have shown the disintegration is accelerating and, as a consequence, sea level rise may be much quicker than anticipated.

    Earlier computer models, researchers believe, failed to capture properly the way the ice sheet would respond to major warming (over the past 20 years, Greenland’s air temperature has risen by 3C). The 2001 report of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was relatively reassuring, suggesting change would be slow.

    But satellite measurements of Greenland’s entire land mass show that the speed at which its glaciers are moving to the sea has increased significantly in the past decade, with some of them moving three times faster than in the mid-1990s.

    Scientists estimate that, in 1996, glaciers deposited about 50 cubic km of ice into the sea. In 2005, it had risen to 150 cubic km of ice.

    A study last year by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory of the California Institute of Technology showed that, rather than just melting relatively slowly, the ice sheet is showing all the signs of a mechanical break-up as glaciers slip ever faster into the ocean, aided by the "lubricant" of meltwater forming at their base. As the meltwater seeps down it lubricates the bases of the "outlet" glaciers of the ice sheet, causing them to slip down surrounding valleys towards the sea,

    Another discovery has been the increase in "glacial earthquakes" caused by the sudden movement of enormous blocks of ice within the ice sheet. The annual number of them recorded in Greenland between 1993 and 2002 was between six and 15. In 2003, seismologists recorded 20 glacial earthquakes. In 2004, they monitored 24 and for the first 10 months of 2005 they recorded 32. The seismologists also found the glacial earthquakes occurred mainly during the summer months, indicating the movements were indeed associated with rapidly melting ice – normal "tectonic" earthquakes show no such seasonality. Of the 136 glacial quakes analysed in a report published last year, more than a third occurred during July and August.

    The creation of Warming Island appears to be entirely consistent with the disintegrating ice sheet, coming about when the glacier bridge linking it to the mainland simply disappeared. It was discovered by Mr Schmitt, a 60-year-old explorer from Berkeley, California, who has known Greenland for 40 years, during a trip he led up the remote coastline.

    According to the US Geological Survey: "More islands like this may be discovered if the Greenland Ice Sheet continues to disappear."

    A self-governing dependency of Denmark, Greenland is the largest island in the world but is inhabited by only 56,000 people, mainly Inuit. More than 80 per cent of the land surface is covered by the ice sheet.

  • The heat is on for greenhouse gas methane

    A MATTER OF BALANCE

    "There are more difficult areas for methane from livestock and from rice agriculture where, at best, longer time scales are required to change practices in agriculture than you might need in industrial areas," Hare said.

    Rice paddies and other irrigated crops produce large amounts of methane, as do natural wetlands. Vast amounts of methane are also locked up in deposits under the ice in sub-polar regions, in permafrost or under the sea.

    Hare said there are lots of options being looked at, such as additives for cattle and sheep to cut the amount of methane in their burps and moving away from intensive livestock feed lots to range-fed animals.

    "And for example in rice, just changing the timing and when and how you flood rice paddies has great potential to reduce methane emissions."

    For the moment, the amount of methane in the atmosphere is steady after levelling off around 1999, said Fraser, leader of the Changing Atmosphere Research Group at Australia’s government-funded Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation.

    This is thought to be because the drying out of tropical wetlands seems to cancelling out a rise in emissions from the oil and gas industry. But how long this lasts is anyone’s guess.

    "Most people would agree that some time in the future methane is going to start growing again, just because of the world demand for natural gas, rice and cattle," Fraser said.

     

    POO POWER

    All the more reason why chicken manure and pig waste are hot commodities.

    Under the U.N.’s Kyoto Protocol, a system called the Clean Development Mechanism allows rich countries to keep within their emissions limits by funding projects that soak up greenhouse gases in poor countries, getting carbon credits in return.

    This has made huge pig farms in South America and poultry farms in India attractive investments.

    The waste is put into digesters and the methane extracted and burned to generate electricity or simply flared to create CO2 — not perfect, but a lesser greenhouse gas evil.

    And interest is growing in these kinds of projects, said N. Yuvaraj Dinesh Babu of the Singapore-based Carbon Exchange, which trades Kyoto carbon credits and helps broker emissions off-setting deals.

    The Kyoto system of emissions credits has proved popular and the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, which administers it, says dozens of methane-abatement projects have been approved in recent years with more being considered.

    But Stephan Singer of conservation group WWF thinks this is not the complete solution. He believes more attention should be paid to controlling carbon dioxide emissions and the sources of methane not so easily controlled.

    Only about 50 percent of all methane emissions are being controlled, namely from landfills, coal mines and the oil and gas industry, said Singer, head of WWF’s European Energy and Climate Policy Unit.

    "What worries me is the increased methane coming out of the stomachs of ruminants, mainly for increased beef consumption within an increasingly wealthy world. The diet of the West has a big impact on the atmosphere."

    In the United States, cattle emit about 5.5 million tonnes of methane per year into the atmosphere, accounting for 20 percent of U.S. methane emissions, the Environmental Protection Agency says. In New Zealand, emissions from agriculture comprise about half of all greenhouse gas emissions.

    But what worries Singer most is a rapid release of methane stored in sub-polar permafrost or in huge methane hydrate deposits under the sea. While this has not happened, some scientists suggest it might occur in a warmer world.

    "If methane hydrates leak, then we’re gone, then it’s over."

    Source: Reuters

    Monday April 30, 10:45 PM

     

  • UN Secretary-General: fight over resources will increase with climate change

    Reference: UN Security Council. SC/9000, 17 April 2007. Security Council 5663rd Meeting (AM & PM) Security Council Holds First-ever Debate on Impact of Climate Change on Peace, Security, Hearing over 50 Speakers. p. 8-9. The document is available at: http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2007/sc9000.doc.htm

    Erisk Net, 17/4/2007

  • Householders can now choose energy suppliers

    Retail competition update: Victoria, New South Wales, South Australia and ACT allow small customers to choose their supplier of both electricity and gas 

    Customers can choose supplier: Prior to the commencement of the market reforms for electricity and gas, small customers had no choice regarding their preferred supplier of energy. Instead, energy customers were required to take supply from the incumbent retailer for their region. Now Victoria, New South Wales, South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) allow small customers to choose their supplier of both electricity and gas. Tasmania has full retail contestability (FRC) for gas, and Queensland is currently introducing full retail contestability for its electricity and gas customers.

    Customer consumption thresholds: The small customer consumption threshold for electricity in NSW, Victoria, South Australia, Western Australia and the ACT was usage less than 160MWh per annum; less than 20GWh per annum in Tasmania and less than 100MWh per annum in Queensland. The small customer consumption threshold in gas was usage less than 1 TJ per annum in NSW, Queensland, Western Australia, South Australia and the ACT; less than 5TJ in Victoria; and less than 10TJ in Tasmania. See Retail Policy Working Group for more details, National Framework for Distribution and Retail Regulation Working Paper 1, November 2006, pp. 6-7, 8.

    Reference: Australian Energy Market Commission, Review of the effectiveness of competition in the gas and electricity retail markets, Statement of Approach, 19 April 2007, http://www.aemc.gov.au fc/fc/g4316_eweek_1.jpg

    19/4/2007p. 3

  • Revolution in Venezuala – podcast

    Wadzy interviews Green Left journalists Jim McIlroy & Coral Wynter about the revolution in Venezuala and its impact on environmental policy. Listen now The second part of the interview deals with Hugo Chavez’ approach to socialism and the reinvigoration of Che Guevara’s dream of a United States of South America. Listen to Part Two