Electricity prices spiral due to water shortages
By David Uren, Economics correspondent
The Australian
May 12, 2007
PANIC has developed over the Sydney Futures Exchange electricity futures contract as major consumers try to protect themselves from soaring prices while generators seek to profit.
Weekly turnover has leapt fourfold as the price of electricity for delivery in 2008 has jumped from $40 a megawatt hour to $70 in the space of the last six weeks.
"I’ve never seen anything like it," says Sydney Futures Exchange general manager of emerging markets Anthony Collins.
The daily spot and contract national electricity market has frequent spikes at points of peak demand but Collins says the change in the last six weeks has shifted electricity prices to a completely different level, stretching all the way out to 2011.
"It is being attributed to everything from water shortages to lack of investment in new generation, given the level of prices and all the uncertainty around emissions trading and the cost of carbon."
The electricity market is rife with rumours that at least one large generator is sitting on massive losses, having sold forward to secure a price but no longer having enough electricity to deliver on its contract as a result of water shortages.
New technology may bring new insights about method: But the bureau’s chief scientist, Dr Neville Smith, said the prolonged drought, and developments in technologies such as radar and satellite, suggested it was time to re-examine the viability of the practice. “When you have such significant stresses on your water resources, everyone is arguing – from the farmer to the politician – shouldn’t we at least look at this technology again?"
The 1,027-megawatt generator stopped automatically yesterday afternoon after a valve in the steam generator failed, Operator Asociacion Nuclear Asco-Vandellos said in a statement.