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  • Why it would be naive to abandon emissions negotiations at Copenhagen

    Why it would be naive to abandon emissions negotiation at Copenhagen


    A new report advocates exclusive emphasis on clean technology – but rejecting emissions caps is simplistic and will not work






    A new breed of climate sceptic is becoming more common. This new breed is not sceptical of the science, but of the policy response. The latest example is a new report by a group of leading academics: How to get climate policy back on course. It questions the approach to climate change action within the United Nations negotiations. Rather than the current approach that emphasises targets for emissions reductions, the report advocates support for low-carbon and energy-efficient technologies (PDF).



     


     


    The frustration of the report’s authors is understandable. The negotiations since the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change entered into force in 1994 have been painfully slow. For too long some industrialised economies – particularly the US – were either lukewarm or hostile to the negotiating process. The emissions reductions targets announced for 2020 by leading developed countries such as the US and Japan are not sufficient – this is despite Japan’s commitment to exclusively domestic action. Furthermore, long promised finance and technological assistance for developing countries has yet to materialise.


     


    However, we shouldn’t take this frustration too far and make an idealised climate change policy the enemy of the good. As the authors of the report emphasise, there is considerable economic, political and psychological capital invested in the current policy approach. This means that the negotiations in Copenhagen are the only game in town. But none of the measures advocated in the report will add up unless they are implemented within an overall limit on emissions. Caps on emissions are required as part of what Anthony Giddens has recently called the “ensuring State”. We need to know that the actions of individuals, businesses and communities are sufficient to limit emissions in line with climate science.


     


    Caps on emissions are more effective where they are implemented alongside policies to price carbon emissions. The EU emissions trading scheme does this, and there are provisions in the US climate change bill for a similar scheme. There is huge room for improvement in the EU, for example, by tightening caps and reducing the number of get out clauses for industries with large lobbying budgets. But again this is no excuse to dismiss the whole idea. Pricing carbon is necessary (though not sufficient) to move economies towards a more low-carbon pathway.


     


    The report’s authors recognise the value of pricing carbon to some extent. They advocate a “low ring-fenced carbon tax” to fund low-carbon technologies. But a low tax is unlikely to make any real difference. Furthermore, their emphasis on funding for low-carbon technologies and energy efficiency is only a partial solution – and sets up a false dichotomy between emissions caps and support for technology and efficiency. It echoes the view of President Bush who rejected the Kyoto treaty. Having done so, he used his 2007 State of the Union address to offer the alternative view that “the way forward is through technology”.


     


    Simply supporting cleaner, low-carbon technologies is not enough and is naive. Experience shows that pushing technologies with funding is just one part of a complex picture. There also needs to be a market for these technologies so that businesses and individuals adopt them. Markets for low-carbon technologies need to be created through a combination of carbon prices and regulations. Without them, a lot of good technology investment will go to waste.


     


    The emphasis on energy efficiency in the report is welcome, but not thought through. Almost all assessments of climate mitigation pathways conclude that energy efficiency should be done first because it saves us money. However, making energy production and use more efficient is not as easy as it seems, and can have unintended consequences. The “rebound effect” happens because the savings are used for other energy-consuming activities. This seldom makes energy efficiency a waste of time, but emissions caps are needed to limit such rebounds.


     


    Caps on emissions are therefore a vital component of a successful deal at Copenhagen. Without this and action on other crucial issues such as finance and technology, leading developing countries will not sign up – and will refuse to make commitments of their own. There are some positive signs. Good progress is being made in bilateral talks between the US and China about the conditions under which China could be brought into a new deal. Gordon Brown’s recent proposals on finance and technology have been widely welcomed in the developing world. We should support these initiatives while being critical when progress is too slow or lacks ambition. Rejecting emissions caps in favour of an exclusive emphasis on cleaner technologies is simplistic and will not work.


     


    • Jim Watson is director of the Sussex Energy Group at the University of Sussex

  • PM Kevin Rudd warns world on climate change

    PM Kevin Rudd warns world on climate change






    Lenore Taylor, National correspondent | July 10, 2009


    Article from:  The Australian


    KEVIN Rudd has warned world leaders they have 150 days to bite the bullet on climate change, after talks between environment ministers failed to break deadlocks threatening a global agreement at Copenhagen in December and G8 leaders managed only the vaguest consensus.


    Speaking as he prepared for critical climate change talks with leaders of 17 wealthy and developing countries on the sidelines of the G8 meeting in the Italian town of L’Aquila, the Prime Minister was blunt about the stalled negotiations and the urgent need for a breakthrough.


    On Wednesday, the G8 agreed to a long-term “goal” of reducing global emissions by 50 per cent by 2050, but Mr Rudd said that, if the Copenhagen negotiations were to succeed, there would have to be tough talk about the nearer term 2020 targets crucial to emissions trading schemes being developed around the world, including in Australia.



     


    “The key challenge is what can developed and developing nations do in terms of medium-term targets by 2020 and how can we reach agreement on that by the time we reach Copenhagen,” Mr Rudd said before attending the major economies forum meeting, to be chaired by US President Barack Obama.


    “That is the real challenge and when we get to L’Aquila later today I would hope to be having that level of discussion with our friends from around the world.


    “The clock is ticking on climate change and we can’t just shuffle around and hope that something falls out of trees. We have to actually land an outcome, our negotiators need fresh impetus, a fresh commissioning from their political leaders to try to forge an agreement.”


    The G8 leaders were putting a positive spin on their climate change communique, claiming it represented an agreement to stop global warming at 2C.


    In fact the communique said only that the leaders “recognised the broad scientific view” that global temperatures should not be allowed to climb more than 2C over pre-industrial levels and that rich countries could collectively reduce emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 as part of the global effort to achieve the 50 per cent cuts.


    A draft of the communique set to be issued by the major economies leaders – obtained by The Australian – contains even vaguer language. “We recognise the scientific view that the increase in global average temperature above pre-industrial levels ought not to exceed 2C. We will work between now and Copenhagen to identify a global goal for substantially reducing global emissions by 2050.”


    British Prime Minister Gordon Brown hailed the deal as historic and claimed it laid the foundations for a successful Copenhagen deal. American officials called it a “step forward”.


    But G8 member Russia quickly undermined it when President Dmitry Medvedev’s economic adviser said the 80 per cent emissions reductions would be impossible for Russia to achieve.


    “For us, the 80 per cent figure is unacceptable and likely unattainable,” Arkady Dvorkovich said. “We won’t sacrifice economic growth for the sake of emission reduction.”


    And both China and India have insisted the developed countries need to put medium-term cuts on the table before the developing countries commit to anything. “There have to be credible mid-term goals in the range of 25-40 per cent,” said Dinesh Patnaik, an Indian negotiator.


    Both the Rudd government and the opposition have promised cuts of between 5 and 25 per cent by 2020, the higher targets conditional on the ambition of any global deal.


    Mr Rudd said distant 2050 targets should not be the main game for the major economies forum, which includes the G8 and other countries, including China, India, Brazil and Australia.


    Conservation groups said the aspiration to limit global warming was weakened by the absence of medium-term targets.

  • Study suggests dry spells here to stay

    Study suggests dry spells here to stay 


    The author of a new climate study commissioned by the Federal Government says people in southern parts of Australia can expect the dry weather in many areas to continue indefinitely.


    The study by Australian National University (ANU) professor Will Steffen looked at scientific papers published since the Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change’s last major report in 2007.


    He found there is growing evidence that prolonged dry spells in certain parts of Australia are linked to climate change rather than nature.



     


    “The situation is becoming clear: I think we can say with some degree of confidence now that the drying in south-west Western Australia, the one in which Perth is suffering from, has a strong climate change signal so it’s going to be with us for some time,” he said.


    He says the situation is similar in south-east Australia.


    “We are also now starting to see a signal we think in the southern part of south-east Australia, that is the southern half of South Australia and Victoria,” he said.


    “The pronounced drying we have seen over the last decades appears to have a climate change signal in it as well, so there is a risk that that will continue for some time.”


    Tags: drought, environment, climate-change, science-and-technology, research, weather, australia, sa, vic, wa

  • Buyback plan fails Murray-Darling river system

    Buyback plan fails Murray-Darling river system






    Siobhain Ryan and Asa Wahlquist | July 09, 2009


    Article from:  The Australian


    ALMOST half the water entitlements purchased under the national Murray-Darling rescue plan last financial year will never reach the distressed Murray system except in times of flood.


    New figures reveal the Rudd government made NSW’s Lachlan, Gwydir and Macquarie catchments the top targets for its big-spending buyback program in 2008-09, despite the fact that they all terminate in wetlands.


    About 182,000 of the 397,000 megalitres of water entitlements bought across the basin last financial year are now confined to catchments that rarely flow into the main Murray system, which has been devastated by drought and over-extraction.



     


    NSW Irrigators Council chief executive Andrew Gregson said there seemed no logic to Canberra’s pursuit of cheaper and less reliable water entitlements in unconnected catchment areas.


    “It’s reflective of the lack of a strategy,” he said. “What are you trying to achieve, therefore what are you trying to buy?”


    The controversial buyback program, worth $3.1 billion over 10 years, has been fast-tracked to claw back water for the thirsty environment.


    Storages across the Murray-Darling Basin are at just 11 per cent of capacity after nine heartbreakingly dry years.


    Inflows for 2008-09 were the third-lowest in 118 years of records, with the soil so parched even the runoff from heavy rains in the northern basin have failed to make it south.


    But the federal push has struck major resistance from the states, with NSW boycotting further sales to the commonwealth while Victoria’s 4per cent limit on the trading of water out of individual irrigation areas remains in place.


    South Australia is pushing ahead with a High Court challenge to the Victorian policy, further undermining Kevin Rudd’s promise to end the blame game on the Murray-Darling system.


    The barriers to trade have limited the purchase options, with the latest federal Water Department statistics showing many of the 2008-09 entitlements come from some of the basin’s least reliable water sources.


    The Lachlan, Gwydir and Macquarie purchases, for example, which cost taxpayers about $260 million in total, will deliver the government its full water entitlements only three to four years out of 10.


    By comparison, only a fifth of the entitlements bought by the commonwealth in 2008-09 were “high security”, giving it full flows for at least nine out of 10 years.


    And Australian Conservation Foundation healthy rivers campaigner Arlene Buchan said those reliability estimates were already out of date, because they failed to take account of climate change.


    “That’s really where the rubber hits the road – will the entitlements bought deliver real water to the environment in 20 years’ time?” she said.


    A spokeswoman for federal Water Minister Penny Wong yesterday defended the selections made in the buyback program, citing a landmark CSIRO audit of the basin which rated the Gwydir and Lachlan catchments as in poor and very poor health respectively.


    She said both included wetland sites that were recognised as nationally or internationally important and provided homes for threatened or migratory species.


    “The water acquired through the purchase program will be managed by the Commonwealth Environmental Water Holder and delivered to the sites that deliver the greatest environmental benefits at the time when allocations become available to these entitlements,” she said. But as of July 3, the Environmental Water Holder had only 64,000 megalitres at its disposal, about a sixth of the 2008-09 buyback total. Less than 10,000ML are understood to have been returned to the environment last financial year.


    The department gave no prices, sources or reliability data for more than a quarter of the entitlements bought in the year to June 30 because of privacy reasons, making it impossible to calculate the government’s total spending on the program.


    “The commonwealth … is saying they want an open, accountable and transparent (water) market but… are not providing information that’s open, accountable and transparent,” Mr Gregson said.

  • G8 leaders agree to emissions cuts and to limit temperatue rise to 2C

    G8 leaders agree to emissions cuts and to limit temperature rise to 2C








     




    UPDATE: Philip Webster and Nicola Berkovic | July 09, 2009


    Article from:  The Times


    BARACK Obama and other leaders have backed historic new targets for tackling global warming in an agreement designed to pave the way for a world deal later this year.


    For the first time, America and the other seven richest economies agreed to the goal of keeping the world’s average temperature from rising more than 2C.

    They also agreed to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 as they strove for a worldwide deal at Copenhagen in December.





    The moves were designed to put the squeeze on the world’s developing nations, most of whose leaders will join the G8 for a debate chaired by Mr Obama today.

    There were signs last night that the G13 – the eight joined by China, India, Mexico, South Africa and Brazil – would also sign up to the 2C limit.

    Climate Change Minister Penny Wong, who took part in a marathon meeting of world environment ministers in Rome yesterday, ahead of a meeting of leaders of 17 major economies today, welcomed the G8’s agreement.

    “We welcome the G8 statement today which says quite clearly climate change is a global challenge, it commits these economies to working together and recognises the science that we need to restrain global warming to around two degrees if we are to avoid dangerous climate change,” Senator Wong told the ABC this morning.

    However, Senator Wong said there was still a long way to go to reach agreement on binding targets before December’s global climate change conference in Copenhagen.

    Hopes of an international deal remain on a knife edge because earlier yesterday China and India declined to support the objective of halving their greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, and Hu Jintao, the Chinese President, flew home to deal with escalating problems in his own country.

    While there are signals that India may be prepared to move, G8 leaders do not expect agreement from the developing countries to halve emissions.

    The G8 agreement was also immediately undermined by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s top economic aide, who dismissed the target for developed countries to cut emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 as unacceptable.

    “For us the 80 per cent figure is unacceptable and likely unattainable,” Arkady Dvorkovich said.

    “We won’t sacrifice economic growth for the sake of emission reduction.”

    Mr Dvorkovich declined to reveal Russia’s precise targets, saying they ranged from 20 per cent to 60 per cent by 2050.

    “We still have the time to agree our positions before Copenhagan,” Mr Dvorkovich said.

    Even so, the G8 deal was being hailed by leaders.

    British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said the agreement was historic.

    “Today in Italy we have laid the foundations for a Copenhagen deal that is ambitious, fair and effective. The change from where we were two, three, four years ago is significant. The world has now agreed that the scientific evidence on climate change is compelling,” he said.

    The agreement marks a significant step in efforts to limit greenhouse gases, which are blamed for the world’s rising temperature. The G8 previously had not been able to agree on that temperature limit as a political goal.

    It remains only a target, however, and it is far from clear that it will be met, especially as China, India and other rapidly industrialising nations generate and consume more energy from coal and other sources.

    Climate change experts say that the 2C threshold would not eliminate the risk of runaway climate change, but would reduce it. Even a slight increase in average temperatures could wreak havoc on farmers around the globe.

    Mr Brown also welcomed an agreement from the G8 that “significant risks” remained in the world economy and it was too early to start preparing to exit from growth plans at the moment.

    Some leaders, such as Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, have been calling for early spending cuts to reduce deficits but has been opposed by Britain and America.

    Mr Brown pointed to a sentence in the communique saying that exit strategies should only be put into effect “once the recovery is assured”.

    At a press briefing he said that the G8 had decided to take all necessary steps individually and collectively to deliver global growth. He had been saying that the G8 needed to sound a second wake-up call on the world economy. “That wake-up call is being heard loud and clear,” he said.

    Welcoming the agreement on climate change – made possible by America’s change in stance since Mr Obama succeeded George Bush as president – Mr Brown said: “For the first time the G8 has agreed what I believe are vital decisions that take us on the road to Copenhagen and change the way we look at energy policy.

    “We have agreed for the first time that average global temperatures must rise by no more than 2C. We have agreed as G8 that we want to cut our emissions by 80 per cent by 2050 and we believe this will allow the world to reduce its emissions by 50 per cent.”

    In chairing the major economies forum today, Mr Obama is signalling that he wants to play a big role in the run-up to Copenhagen. The G8 also called on Iran to allow foreign diplomats and visitors to be allowed to conduct their business unhindered. After the violence following the contested election result a number of British Embassy staff were arrested.

    The G8 said embassies in Iran should be allowed to go about their normal business in accordance with the Vienna Convention.

  • Banning the bottle puts Bundy on the map

    Banning the bottle puts Bundy on the map


    By Rebecca Bruce for AM



    Posted 2 hours 18 minutes ago
    Updated 1 hour 46 minutes ago



    Local businesses have promoted the plan.

    Local businesses have promoted the plan. (ABC News)



    The New South Wales Southern Highlands town of Bundanoon has voted overwhelmingly to ban the sale of bottled water, attracting attention from around the world.


    A community meeting last night took the unusual step, making it the first town in Australia, possibly the world, to ban the sale of bottled water.


    The Bundy on Tap campaign will see still bottled water replaced by reusable plastic bottles that can be bought, then filled up for free at water stations throughout the town.


    The campaign is the brainchild of Huw Kingston, who owns the bike shop in the town of 2,500 people. Mr Kingston says he is happy with decision but surprised by the overwhelming interest in his idea.


    After doing more than 70 media interviews yesterday, Mr Kingston was still fielding calls from the BBC, as well as New Zealand and Japanese media last night.


    “To have that international coverage certainly took me a little bit by surprise and I’m pretty amazed that I’m still able to talk,” he said.


    The locals are also stunned by their new-found fame.


    “To think that the media in London and in Japan are interested in this issue and that Bundanoon will be put on the map as such, I think that’s great,” one local said.


    “I’ve been watching it on the net and I was really surprised when it first started and it just kept on unravelling throughout the day,” another resident said. “It’s remarkable.”


    Idea catches on


     


    It’s not just the media that’s tapping into the idea. Hot on the news of the planned ban yesterday, NSW Premier Nathan Rees ordered all State Government departments and agencies to stop buying bottled water.


    “As a principle, we want to move away from bottled water because of the degradation to the environment that the discarded bottles cause,” he said.


    Last night, more than 350 people turned out to vote on Bundanoon’s proposal to ban the sale of pre-packaged bottled water by the end of the year.


    It was possibly the biggest event ever to be held in Bundanoon’s Memorial Hall.


    A representative of the bottled water lobby stood in front of the gathering to defend the industry.


    But only one local resident was brave enough to voice his opposition to the initiative.


    “There’s a far bigger health issue, which is the diabetes issue and if we’re taking away water at the point of sale that is full of sugar drinks I think we’re on the wrong track,” he said.


    But a show of hands made clear that Bundy locals were ready to ban the bottle.


    Huw Kingston says those looking to snap up a Bundanoon souvenir better hurry.


    “Anybody who wants to buy a souvenir bottle of packaged water in Bundanoon might want to come down here over the next couple of months,” he said.