Category: Uncategorized

  • Extreme weather is changing minds on climate

    Extreme weather is changing minds on climate

    Benjamin Schneider / Published June 26, 2013 in Climate

    Share this on Facebook
    Share this on Twitter
    Nasa/flickr

    Less than a year after extreme weather events like Hurricane Sandy and severe droughts ravaged American communities, it was welcome news that President Obama included climate change adaptation as a central component of his new Climate Action Plan. Extreme weather is on the rise, and last year showed us far too often what can happen when we are not prepared.

    Considering the trend, perhaps it is little wonder that a recent study from Yale’s School of Forestry and Environmental Studies is the latest to affirm a trend that’s been developing for some time: clear majorities of Americans increasingly believe extreme weather events are linked to climate change.

    You can read the full report here, but here are a few highlights:

    • Nearly six in ten Americans believe climate change “is affecting weather in the United States.”
    • Just 10% of Americans don’t believe climate change is real.
    • Two out of three Americans believe the nation’s weather has grown worse in the past few years.
    • A large majority of Americans – 85% – say they experienced extreme weather in the last year.

    That last point in particular may help explain why we’re seeing more people make a connection. Traditional messages about the dangers of a warming planet – a scary future for our grandchildren, rising sea levels, etc. – have long resonated with the environmental movement, of course. But they usually fall on deaf ears when directed at conservatives and moderates. Many people simply don’t relate to something that seems as big and remote – as “global” – as climate change.

    But the increase in extreme weather means more and more people are able to see the impact firsthand, on their families and communities, of events like Hurricane Sandy and last year’s drought in the Midwest. It’s these real-world, observable, and sometimes local impacts that appear to be changing minds among Americans who used to be skeptical about climate change.

    It’s good that more people are seeing the connection. But we still have a long way to go. The issue of climate change and its causes are still sharply divided along partisan lines. More than twice as many Democrats as Republicans believe there is scientific consensus that climate change is largely caused by human activity.

    Still, the tragic and devastating consequences of extreme weather do appear to be conveying the dangers of climate change to new people. And hopefully Obama’s plan will prompt more conversations among all people – whatever their political stripes about the reality of climate change and what’s needed to stop it.

    You might also enjoy:
  • A Stepping-Stone for Oxygen On Earth

    A Stepping-Stone for Oxygen On Earth

    June 26, 2013 — For most terrestrial life on Earth, oxygen is necessary for survival. But the planet’s atmosphere did not always contain this life-sustaining substance, and one of science’s greatest mysteries is how and when oxygenic photosynthesis — the process responsible for producing oxygen on Earth through the splitting of water molecules — first began. Now, a team led by geobiologists at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech) has found evidence of a precursor photosystem involving manganese that predates cyanobacteria, the first group of organisms to release oxygen into the environment via photosynthesis.


    Share This:

    The findings, outlined in the June 24 early edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), strongly support the idea that manganese oxidation — which, despite the name, is a chemical reaction that does not have to involve oxygen — provided an evolutionary stepping-stone for the development of water-oxidizing photosynthesis in cyanobacteria.

    “Water-oxidizing or water-splitting photosynthesis was invented by cyanobacteria approximately 2.4 billion years ago and then borrowed by other groups of organisms thereafter,” explains Woodward Fischer, assistant professor of geobiology at Caltech and a coauthor of the study. “Algae borrowed this photosynthetic system from cyanobacteria, and plants are just a group of algae that took photosynthesis on land, so we think with this finding we’re looking at the inception of the molecular machinery that would give rise to oxygen.”

    Photosynthesis is the process by which energy from the sun is used by plants and other organisms to split water and carbon dioxide molecules to make carbohydrates and oxygen. Manganese is required for water splitting to work, so when scientists began to wonder what evolutionary steps may have led up to an oxygenated atmosphere on Earth, they started to look for evidence of manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis prior to cyanobacteria. Since oxidation simply involves the transfer of electrons to increase the charge on an atom — and this can be accomplished using light or O2 — it could have occurred before the rise of oxygen on this planet.

    “Manganese plays an essential role in modern biological water splitting as a necessary catalyst in the process, so manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis makes sense as a potential transitional photosystem,” says Jena Johnson, a graduate student in Fischer’s laboratory at Caltech and lead author of the study.

    To test the hypothesis that manganese-based photosynthesis occurred prior to the evolution of oxygenic cyanobacteria, the researchers examined drill cores (newly obtained by the Agouron Institute) from 2.415 billion-year-old South African marine sedimentary rocks with large deposits of manganese.

    Manganese is soluble in seawater. Indeed, if there are no strong oxidants around to accept electrons from the manganese, it will remain aqueous, Fischer explains, but the second it is oxidized, or loses electrons, manganese precipitates, forming a solid that can become concentrated within seafloor sediments.

    “Just the observation of these large enrichments — 16 percent manganese in some samples — provided a strong implication that the manganese had been oxidized, but this required confirmation,” he says.

    To prove that the manganese was originally part of the South African rock and not deposited there later by hydrothermal fluids or some other phenomena, Johnson and colleagues developed and employed techniques that allowed the team to assess the abundance and oxidation state of manganese-bearing minerals at a very tiny scale of 2 microns.

    “And it’s warranted — these rocks are complicated at a micron scale!” Fischer says. “And yet, the rocks occupy hundreds of meters of stratigraphy across hundreds of square kilometers of ocean basin, so you need to be able to work between many scales — very detailed ones, but also across the whole deposit to understand the ancient environmental processes at work.”

    Using these multiscale approaches, Johnson and colleagues demonstrated that the manganese was original to the rocks and first deposited in sediments as manganese oxides, and that manganese oxidation occurred over a broad swath of the ancient marine basin during the entire timescale captured by the drill cores.

    “It’s really amazing to be able to use X-ray techniques to look back into the rock record and use the chemical observations on the microscale to shed light on some of the fundamental processes and mechanisms that occurred billions of years ago,” says Samuel Webb, coauthor on the paper and beam line scientist at the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory at Stanford University, where many of the study’s experiments took place. “Questions regarding the evolution of the photosynthetic pathway and the subsequent rise of oxygen in the atmosphere are critical for understanding not only the history of our own planet, but also the basics of how biology has perfected the process of photosynthesis.”

    Once the team confirmed that the manganese had been deposited as an oxide phase when the rock was first forming, they checked to see if these manganese oxides were actually formed before water-splitting photosynthesis or if they formed after as a result of reactions with oxygen. They used two different techniques to check whether oxygen was present. It was not — proving that water-splitting photosynthesis had not yet evolved at that point in time. The manganese in the deposits had indeed been oxidized and deposited before the appearance of water-splitting cyanobacteria. This implies, the researchers say, that manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis was a stepping-stone for oxygen-producing, water-splitting photosynthesis.

    “I think that there will be a number of additional experiments that people will now attempt to try and reverse engineer a manganese photosynthetic photosystem or cell,” Fischer says. “Once you know that this happened, it all of a sudden gives you reason to take more seriously an experimental program aimed at asking, ‘Can we make a photosystem that’s able to oxidize manganese but doesn’t then go on to split water? How does it behave, and what is its chemistry?’ Even though we know what modern water splitting is and what it looks like, we still don’t know exactly how it works. There is a still a major discovery to be made to find out exactly how the catalysis works, and now knowing where this machinery comes from may open new perspectives into its function — an understanding that could help target technologies for energy production from artificial photosynthesis. ”

    Next up in Fischer’s lab, Johnson plans to work with others to try and mutate a cyanobacteria to “go backwards” and perform manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis. The team also plans to investigate a set of rocks from western Australia that are similar in age to the samples used in the current study and may also contain beds of manganese. If their current study results are truly an indication of manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis, they say, there should be evidence of the same processes in other parts of the world.

    “Oxygen is the backdrop on which this story is playing out on, but really, this is a tale of the evolution of this very intense metabolism that happened once — an evolutionary singularity that transformed the planet,” Fischer says. “We’ve provided insight into how the evolution of one of these remarkable molecular machines led up to the oxidation of our planet’s atmosphere, and now we’re going to follow up on all angles of our findings.”

    Funding for the research outlined in the PNAS paper, titled “Manganese-oxidizing photosynthesis before the rise of cyanobacteria,” was provided by the Agouron Institute, NASA’s Exobiology Branch, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, and the National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellowship program. Joseph Kirschvink, Nico and Marilyn Van Wingen Professor of Geobiology at Caltech, also contributed to the study along with Katherine Thomas and Shuhei Ono from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

    Share this story on Facebook, Twitter, and Google:
  • Climate Tug of War Disrupting Australian Atmospheric Circulation Patterns

    Climate Tug of War Disrupting Australian Atmospheric Circulation Patterns

    June 26, 2013 — Further evidence of climate change shifting atmospheric circulation in the southern Australian-New Zealand region has been identified in a new study.


    Share This:

    The study, in the Nature journal Scientific Reports, demonstrates that mid-latitude high pressure zones (30oS-45oS) are being pushed further into the Southern Ocean by rising global temperatures associated with greenhouse warming. This is despite more frequent occurrences of strong El Niños in recent decades, which should have drawn the high pressure zones in the opposite direction toward the equator.

    “What we are seeing,” says study lead author, Mr Guojian Wang “is a ‘tug of war’ between stronger El Niños driving the winds north and the greenhouse gas-warming effect driving the winds south.”

    Mr Wang, said the result confirms the robustness of the Southern Hemisphere circulation changes over the past three to four decades as the global temperature rose, “so much so that it overode the influence from strong El Niños during this period.”

    Study co-author, Dr Wenju Cai said the most conspicuous change is a rising sea level pressure in the mid-latitude bands and a decreasing sea level pressure over the Southern high latitudes (55o-70oS), a pattern referred to as the Southern Annular Mode. The changing pressures indicate a poleward or southward expansion of the tropical and subtropical atmospheric zones.

    In turn, this indicates that over the long-term, there is a relationship between a rising global mean temperature and an upward trend of the Southern Annular Mode.

    “The research reinforces our past work that climate change is altering Southern Hemisphere circulation and increases our confidence in this conclusion,” Dr Cai said.

    Dr Cai has previously reported on changes in atmospheric circulation that have been shifting and strengthening the Pacific Ocean winds poleward and in turn strengthening the ocean circulation, pushing the East Australian Current further south down the Australian coast.

    He said during El Niño, the warmer ocean releases heat to the atmosphere and global average temperatures increase. At the same time, warm ocean surface temperatures along the equator cause the tropical and subtropical atmospheric belts to move toward the equator, generating a ‘negative’ phase of the Southern Annular Mode.

    “On year-to-year time scales, higher global temperatures are associated with a negative phase of the Mode but over the past 35 years, when El Niño has been strong and conducive to a negative trend, we are seeing an opposite trend with the circulation systems moving southward impacting on regional climate,” he said.

    The project was funded through the Australian Climate Change Science Program.

    Share this story on Facebook, Twitter, and Google:
  • Location of Upwelling in Earth’s Mantle Discovered to Be Stable

    Location of Upwelling in Earth’s Mantle Discovered to Be Stable

    June 26, 2013 — A study published in Nature today shares the discovery that large-scale upwelling within Earth’s mantle mostly occurs in only two places: beneath Africa and the Central Pacific. More importantly, Clinton Conrad, Associate Professor of Geology at the University of Hawaii — Manoa’s School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST) and colleagues revealed that these upwelling locations have remained remarkably stable over geologic time, despite dramatic reconfigurations of tectonic plate motions and continental locations on the Earth’s surface. “For example,” said Conrad, “the Pangaea supercontinent formed and broke apart at the surface, but we think that the upwelling locations in the mantle have remained relatively constant despite this activity.”


    Share This:

    Conrad has studied patterns of tectonic plates throughout his career, and has long noticed that the plates were, on average, moving northward. “Knowing this,” explained Conrad, “I was curious if I could determine a single location in the Northern Hemisphere toward which all plates are converging, on average.” After locating this point in eastern Asia, Conrad then wondered if other special points on Earth could characterize plate tectonics. “With some mathematical work, I described the plate tectonic ‘quadrupole’, which defines two points of ‘net convergence’ and two points of ‘net divergence’ of tectonic plate motions.”

    When the researchers computed the plate tectonic quadruople locations for present-day plate motions, they found that the net divergence locations were consistent with the African and central Pacific locations where scientists think that mantle upwellings are occurring today. “This observation was interesting and important, and it made sense,” said Conrad. “Next, we applied this formula to the time history of plate motions and plotted the points — I was astonished to see that the points have not moved over geologic time!” Because plate motions are merely the surface expression of the underlying dynamics of the Earth’s mantle, Conrad and his colleagues were able to infer that upwelling flow in the mantle must also remain stable over geologic time. “It was as if I was seeing the ‘ghosts’ of ancient mantle flow patterns, recorded in the geologic record of plate motions!”

    Earth’s mantle dynamics govern many aspects of geologic change on the Earth’s surface. This recent discovery that mantle upwelling has remained stable and centered on two locations (beneath Africa and the Central Pacific) provides a framework for understanding how mantle dynamics can be linked to surface geology over geologic time. For example, the researchers can now estimate how individual continents have moved relative to these two upwelling locations. This allows them to tie specific events that are observed in the geologic record to the mantle forces that ultimately caused these events.

    More broadly, this research opens up a big question for solid earth scientists: What processes cause these two mantle upwelling locations to remain stable within a complex and dynamically evolving system such as the mantle? One notable observation is that the lowermost mantle beneath Africa and the Central Pacific seems to be composed of rock assemblages that are different than the rest of the mantle. Is it possible that these two anomalous regions at the bottom of the mantle are somehow organizing flow patterns for the rest of the mantle? How?

    “Answering such questions is important because geologic features such as ocean basins, mountains belts, earthquakes and volcanoes ultimately result from Earth’s interior dynamics,” Conrad described. “Thus, it is important to understand the time-dependent nature of our planet’s interior dynamics in order to better understand the geological forces that affect the planetary surface that is our home.”

    The mantle flow framework that can be defined as a result of this study allows geophysicists to predict surface uplift and subsidence patterns as a function of time. These vertical motions of continents and seafloor cause both local and global changes in sea level. In the future, Conrad wants to use this new understanding of mantle flow patterns to predict changes in sea level over geologic time. By comparing these predictions to observations of sea level change, he hopes to develop new constraints on the influence of mantle dynamics on sea level.

    Share this story on Facebook, Twitter, and Google:
  • Floods to close NSW bridges and ferries

    Floods to close NSW bridges and ferries

    Updated: 06:18, Thursday June 27, 2013

    Floods to close NSW bridges and ferries

    NSW bridges and ferry services may close after the State Emergency Service (SES) issued several flood warnings and Warragamba Dam peaked.

    Warragamba Dam, which began to spill around noon, peaked at 128,000 ML/day around 9pm on Wednesday, the State Emergency Service (SES) said.

    The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) said Warragamba Dam peak spill, combined with peak flows from the Nepean River, will cause minor to moderate flooding at Penrith, North Richmond and Windsor during Thursday.

    It is expected that the North Richmond and Windsor bridges will closed on Thursday.

    The SES said Yarramundi Bridge is expected to be closed on Wednesday night which could cause isolation at Yarramundi from the eastern side of the Hawkesbury River.

    The Lower Portland Ferry and the Sackville Ferry are also likely to close.

    The SES said the Webbs Creek Ferry and the Wisemans Ferry may close over the next couple of days dependent on river conditions.

    The SES is advising those that rely on these bridges and ferries to make alternative travel arrangements.

    It has also issued a flood evacuation warning for low lying areas in Richmond Lowlands, Pitt Town and Gronos Point.

    ‘Wherever possible, people should go and stay with family or friends, or make other accommodation arrangements,’ the SES said in a statement.

    ‘For people who need assistance an evacuation centre has been set up by community services.’

    SHARE THIS ARTICLE:

  • International attention focuses on a climate change ‘trigger’

    International attention focuses on a climate change ‘trigger’

    [Date: 2013-06-26]

    Illustration of this article

    The science of climate change has led international EU-funded researchers to an area thought to be responsible for redistributing and controlling heat around the globe.

    The Agulhas Current off the coast of South Africa is said to stimulate the so-called overturning circulation of the Atlantic that plays a significant role in the northward flow of the Gulf Stream and hence climate of Northwest Europe and beyond. At regional scales the Agulhas influences extreme weather events while annual rainfall variations in southern Africa are correlated with warm and cold anomalies in the Agulhas system, in turn associated with several Indian Ocean climate modes.

    However, despite its crucial role, the Agulhas system has largely been ignored as a potential trigger of climate variability. That is until the arrival of the Marie-Curie Actions project GATEWAYS (‘Multi-level Assessment of Ocean-Climate Dynamics: A Gateway to Interdisciplinary Training and Analysis’).

    Professor Rainer Zahn, the project coordinator, from the Institute of Environmental Science & Technology at the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, says; ‘The project is innovative because it combines new and established analytical methodologies not normally available in single research projects.
    It links modern ocean and climatic processes with the analysis of materials collected from water column sampling and sediment traps in order to verify the degree to which the collected materials represent ocean processes,’ he explains.

    Using cutting-edge high-resolution modelling, the GATEWAYS team has discovered that the atmosphere can impact oceanography in the Indian-Atlantic Ocean corridor south of Africa in a way not intuitively expected. The strong winds in one direction can generate a surface ocean current going against the wind, hence directly driving the water transports from the Indian to the Atlantic Ocean. This discovery was an unexpected outcome of the project, and heavily influenced the way the team now look at wind-driven ocean currents, including strong surges of the water exchange between the two oceans.

    ‘While this is hypothetical, it is a physically plausible result which reveals that the suggested circulation patterns fitted the database that the marine palaeoclimatiology community compiled in the project. Hence this is a true highlight and a new area of scientific knowledge,’ reveals Professor Zahn.
    The GATEWAYS consortium, consisting of scientists from Spain, Germany, Israel, The Netherlands, the UK and South Africa, formed an interdisciplinary partnership including expertise in physical oceanography, meteorology, ocean and atmospheric numerical modelling, and marine and terrestrial palaeoclimatology.

    The latter enabled the research to apply analytical protocols on a wide range of materials linking marine with terrestrial palaeoclimatic expertise to perform the often postulated, but rarely conducted, land-ocean palaeoclimatic linking, the professor suggests.

    He believes that it is due to this cross-disciplinary collaboration that the project has been so successful.

    ‘It took pains, time, patience and, above all, “out-of-the-box” thinking by all sides to make progress with our collaboration. And it has to be said, that we made substantial steps forward. But it is clear that the learning has to continue long after our project has come to an end,’ Prof. Zahn concludes.

    For more information, please visit:

    Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
    http://www.uab.es/english/

    Gateways project factsheet
    http://cordis.europa.eu/projects/rcn/92711_en.html