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  • On fracking and wind we are having the wrong debates

    On fracking and wind we are having the wrong debates

    Discussion of climate change and the wider public interest has been jettisoned in the rush to lobby against alternatives

    • Matt Kenyon 1904

      Illustration by Matt Kenyon

      It’s been a big week for alternative energy sources. On Tuesday, the British Geological Survey effectively greenlit fracking, with its conclusion that the earthquake risk was low. Tomorrow National Opposition to Windfarms launches its campaign in the House of Lords. My instincts are pro-wind and anti-fracking, from a straight climate change perspective: wind is renewable and not harmful, while shale gas is not renewable and contributes as much or more – much more, according to a study by Cornell University – to the greenhouse effect than either oil or coal.

      The anti-fracking lobby should just stick with this argument – that if you’re serious about halting global warming you have to concentrate on energy sources that don’t contribute to it. However they don’t want to – believing, possibly correctly, that the political will to prevent irreparable climate change just isn’t there.

      Instead, the anti-frackers range freely around in their opposition; some of it’s grounded and some isn’t. What strikes me is the similarity in approach from the anti-wind camp and the anti-frackers.

      First, they talk about the aesthetics of these energy sources – National Opposition to Windfarms talks about windfarms destroying tourism, and their opening gambit is that the area becomes so unspeakably unattractive that people will simply stop going there. In the Ribble Valley and across the areas affected by fracking, the sheer ugliness of industry is emphasised.

      There’s a counter-argument in both cases. The aesthetics of windfarms are pretty subjective – some people like them. National Opposition to Windfarms quotes a survey from the Welsh Tourist Board in which 71% of respondents said turbines spoilt the environment; Renewables UK quotes a survey in which an almost identical proportion, 75%, finds the effect of turbines either positive or neutral.

      Fracking occurs predominantly underground, so while heavy machinery is rarely attractive, it’s nothing like as ugly as a coal mine or a nuclear power station. But, more important, unless you’re prepared to stop using energy or you have an alternative, “I don’t like the look of it” isn’t enough. “It’s too expensive to produce” isn’t enough, either – it will look a lot less expensive when the existing energy sources run out.

      Windfarms are ahead of frackers in the way they comprehend their obligations. They pay rent to landowners but also £1,000 per megawatt a year to the community – and this sector is also creating a new model for small-scale finance. You can, from Saturday, invest in a wind turbine in the Forest of Dean for as little as £5, with the expectation of a return. More on that another day; there are so far no small-scale investment plans for fracking the Bowland Basin in Lancashire.

      But there is a huge swath of shale gas in the north of England; the mineral rights are owned by the crown. That money could be sucked into the centre, or it could be kept in Lancashire, dispersed to local authorities. What would the north-south divide look like then? Is there any requirement to privilege local companies in the granting of contracts, either for wind energy or shale gas? Where there isn’t, why isn’t there?

      What would society look like if the shareholders in its major energy companies were regular people on median incomes? What would it look like if the people living above the gas supplies were its beneficiaries? These questions will affect the wealth distribution of this country for the next 200 years. And yet what does the debate concentrate on? How many jobs are created building a road to the well site? How much a unit of wind energy costs to produce? It’s so narrow as to be a distraction.

      Finally, both the anti-winds and the anti-frackers are guilty of such overstatement as to collapse their arguments. Respectable anti-windfarmers generally don’t make the case for adverse health effects, but on the ground protesters are still talking about infrasound and flicker, and how they cause suicide. National Opposition to Windfarms claims losses to bird life that are disputed by crowning bird fanciers the RSPB. Anti-frackers claim that France has a moratorium on fracking because it has learned and understood the lessons of the film Gasland.

      If this is true, it is remarkable: not just because France’s geology is different to that of the film’s US location, but also because the scientific arguments lodged in that film are nothing like a done deal. There’s a scene in which someone turns on a tap, and gas comes out that you can light with a match. Scientists contest that this was localised methane in the aquifer and nothing to do with the fracking process. Thermogenic methane is associated with gas production, while biogenic methane isn’t, and it’s apparently easy to tell the difference.

      People counter with “well, they would say that, wouldn’t they?” – that point was made by the Oil and Gas Conservation Commission of Colorado – but you can’t cherrypick the science that suits you and reject that which doesn’t. Frackers, incidentally, believe France’s moratorium is linked to lobbying by the nuclear industry. As enjoyable as it is to see big businesses eat each other for a change, it’s not exactly the sight of everything working in the public interest.

      I remain pro-wind and anti-fracking; but my main worry is that both will go ahead, and the real concerns of energy users – proximal or not – won’t be resolved or even discussed, just swamped under anxious misinformation.

      Twitter: @zoesqwilliams

      • This article was amended on 20 April. The original referred to the British Geological Society. This has been amended

  • Greens urge Gunns to update market

    Greens urge Gunns to update market

    ABCApril 22, 2012, 12:25 pm
    The man was convicted of manslaughter and spent four years in prison

    ABC © Enlarge photo

    The Tasmanian Greens have called on the timber giant Gunns to inform the Australian Securities Exchange about developments in a court case it is fighting.

    Last week Gunns lost a bid to have the Tasmanian Conservation Trust pay a $400,000 bond to cover court costs if the TCT’s legal challenge to the Gunns Tamar Valley pulp mill failed.

    Justice Stephen Holt dismissed the bid on the basis the TCT’s legal challenge was not weak and did not lack merit.

    The Tasmanian Greens’ Kim Booth said the court decision was of such significance that Gunns needed to inform the stock market immediately.

    “They should be putting out an ASX statement detailing what’s happened in the courts because this was an application by Gunns to try and prevent the TCT arguing this case unless they stumped up $300 to $400,000 upfront,” Mr Booth said.

    “That’s been a successful strategy in the past but it’s failed because the courts have ruled against Gunns.”

    A spokeswoman for Gunns said the company does not comment on matters before the court.

  • Should Obama be Trusted to Stop Iran’s Nukes?

    News 2 new results for DANGER TO US NUCLEAR PLANTS
    Morning letters: Unwise to pull the nuclear-power plug
    OCRegister
    I compliment Sforza for pointing out the power blackout danger if the only two power plants capable of supplying us with affordable energy in southern California are shut down. After the hydroelectric power supplied by Hoover Dam, the most affordable
    See all stories on this topic »
    Should Obama be Trusted to Stop Iran’s Nukes?
    Arutz Sheva
    Citing unnamed diplomatic sources, the New York Times reported that the western allies plan to demand the immediate closing and ultimate dismantling of Iran’s underground nuclear reactors, a halt in the production of uranium fuel and the shipment of
    See all stories on this topic »


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  • Optimistic Visions of the World After the Oil Runs Out

    News 3 new results for PEAK-OIL
    A Primer on Peak Oil
    Credit Writedowns
    I ran across three separate articles on peak oil at well-regarded financial news sites today: The Economist, The Financial Times and Le Figaro. I thought I’d give you a run down of what they were saying and what it means for the economy and investing.
    See all stories on this topic »
    Optimistic Visions of the World After the Oil Runs Out
    io9
    But what are the optimistic scenarios for a post-peak oil future? We went looking, and here’s what we found. For starters, let’s get one thing out of the way. This article doesn’t include any science fiction stories where somebody discovers a
    See all stories on this topic »
    Will IBM’s Battery 500 Project Disrupt The Automobile Industry?
    Daily Disruption
    By Duane Barnhart | @dailydisrupt | April 20th, 2012 During the last few decades, environmental impact of the petroleum-based transportation infrastructure, along with the peak oil, has led to renewed interest in an electric transportation
    See all stories on this topic »
  • Motions of No-Confidence

    With the current turmoil in our Federal Parliament, this is a real possibiilty.

    Labor has only to lose 2 seats and the Governor General may choose to dissolve the parliament

    and call an election. This is a knife edge situation. Parliament could well be untenable with the

    hostility the current speaker will face. Labor will now try to protect 2 members facing serious charges.

    Will the Labor Govt. run it’s full term? This must now be in doubt.

     

    A motion of no confidence (alternatively vote of no confidence, censure motion, no-confidence motion, or (unsuccessful) confidence motion) is a parliamentary motion whose passing would demonstrate to the head of state that the elected parliament no longer has confidence in the appointed government.

    Typically, when a parliament passes a vote of no confidence in an existing government, the head of state must respond in one of two ways:

    In determining whether another individual can command the confidence of parliament, the head of state examines whether that individual has the backing of a parliamentary party, a coalition of parties and MPs, or an agreement of support with enough parliamentary seats to withstand any confidence challenges. If this cannot be done, parliament is dissolved and a general election is called.

    In some cases, the sitting government will request that the head of state dissolve the elected parliament and call a new election without seeking the forming of another Government, such that it would remain in power during the election period. The head of state may agree to do this, depending on factors such as time until a mandated election, reasonable expectation of the forming of another government or in very rare circumstances, on royal prerogative alone. However, where the head of state believes the government no longer has the confidence of the responsible house (i.e., the directly elected lower chamber which can select and dismiss it; in some states both houses of parliament are responsible), a head of state may refuse a request for a parliamentary dissolution, so forcing an immediate resignation.

    This procedure is either formalized through constitutional convention, as is the case in Westminster style parliaments such as the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia,[citation needed] or explicitly stated in a written constitution, as is the case with Germany [1] and Spain.[citation needed]

    Sometimes, the government will choose to declare that one of its bills is a motions of confidence. This may be used to prevent dissident members of parliament from voting against it. Sometimes (depending on the country) a government may lose a vote because the opposition ends debate prematurely when too many government members are away.

    In the Westminster system, the defeat of a supply bill (one that concerns the spending of money) automatically requires (by convention) the resignation of the government or dissolution of Parliament, much like a non-confidence vote, since a government that cannot spend money is hamstrung. This is called loss of supply.

    Where the upper house of a Westminster system country has the right to refuse supply, such as in Australia during the events of 1975, the convention becomes a grey area as Westminster governments are not normally expected to maintain the confidence of the upper house.

  • Mexicans on alert as volcano rumbles to life

    News 9 new results for volcanoes
    Mexicans on alert as volcano rumbles to life
    Houston Chronicle
    By Dudley Althaus A plume of ash and steam rises from Popocatepetl, the volcano that awakened eight days ago, spewing ash and steam and causing President Felipe Calderon to order precautionary measures. / AP A plume of ash and steam rises from
    See all stories on this topic »
    Mexicans frightened as volcano rumbles to life
    Ya Libnan
    PASO DE CORTES, Mexico — From the oak and pine forest below Popocatepetl’s seething caldron, the volcano’s buzzing growl sounds much like the choppy beating of blades. “To me it is like a helicopter just starting up,” said Juan Ochoa,
    See all stories on this topic »

    Ya Libnan
    Explosions Continue at Popocat?petl as Mexico Prepares for an Eruption
    Wired News
    A report from the BBC says that volcanic bombs are being thrown over a kilometer from the vent and “60 opening” have appeared on the volcano. I actually have no idea what that means – are there cracks at the summit or just lots of fumarolic activity
    See all stories on this topic »

    Popocatepetl Volcano Rumbles in Mexico
    Prensa Latina
    20 de abril de 2012, 15:39Mexico, Apr 20 (Prensa Latina) Mexican volcano Popocatepetl is still active and in the first hours of Friday it shot ashes and smoke with at least 12 medium intensity exhalations, as reported by the National Disaster
    See all stories on this topic »


    VOLCANO WATCH: Popocatepetl vs. Tungurahua
    Hispanically Speaking News
    Though given the adorable-sounding nickname “El Popo” the Volcán Popocatépetl (Smoking Mountain) in Mexico is one seriously threatening volcano. Still, it is not the only volcano causing worry. In Ecuador, the Tungurahua volcano, known as the “Throat
    See all stories on this topic »

    Hispanically Speaking News
    Ash cloud from short Cleveland Volcano eruption dissipates
    Anchorage Daily News
    The Alaska Volcano Observatory said a brief eruption at Cleveland Volcano in the Aleutian Islands on Thursday sent up an ash cloud that quickly dissipated. Geophysicist Dave Schneider said the cloud rose as high as 15000 feet and dissipated in about
    See all stories on this topic »

     


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