Author: admin

  • THE NEW CLIMATE CHANGE DICE (DR JAMES HANSEN)

    New Climate Dice

    Inbox
    x

    James Hansen jimehansen@gmail.com via mail129.us2.mcsv.net
    1:35 PM (7 minutes ago)

    to me
    Email not displaying correctly? View it in your browser.
    The New Climate Dice
    Several people have asked for a referenceable version of our paper “Public Perception of Climate Change and the New Climate Dice”, so we have placed the current version on arXiv, the permanent storage for physics preprints.  This is the version of the paper submitted to Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. with favorable reviews by Tom Karl and Andrew Weaver, so presumably it is the final version.  In any case, arXiv is a permanent storage place of this version.  You can find it at arXiv with referencing information or get a PDF from my web site or directly here.

    Part A of the first figure in the paper (available as a PDF from my web site) makes clear why extreme anomalies are beginning to pop up all over the place.  Summer anomalies over land are the most important, as discussed in the paper.  Averaged over a decade the frequency distribution of seasonal mean temperature anomalies is shifting rapidly toward more extreme hot anomalies, and the distribution is becoming broader (greater extremes).  Because the planet is out of energy balance, we can conclude that next decade the distribution will be shifted even further to the right.

    The way to stop that continued progression is, of course, to rapidly slow fossil fuel emissions, as discussed in our previous post (Case for Young People).

    ~Jim

  • Nuclear alerts.

    News 9 new results for DANGER TO US NUCLEAR PLANTS
    US officials debate magnitude of Hezbollah threat
    Jerusalem Post
    By REUTERS Intelligence and law enforcement officials says Shi’ite group poses threat to US targets, but whether it is imminent or extensive is far from clear. By REUTERS/Jim Bourg WASHINGTON – The warning last month from Representative Peter King,
    See all stories on this topic »
    Residents Rethink a Nuclear Neighbor
    Wall Street Journal
    Federal and plant officials have taken notice of the growing unrest, sending emissaries to speak at community meetings and city council sessions. On Friday, Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chairman Gregory Jaczko will visit the plant with US Sen.
    See all stories on this topic »
    Feds monitor SC nuclear plant that lost power
    Sacramento Bee
    AP YORK, SC — Federal regulators are continuing to monitor a northern South Carolina nuclear plant that has lost external power. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission said Thursday that it’s keeping an eye on the Catawba Nuclear Station through its
    See all stories on this topic »
    Power shortages a concern with nuke plant offline
    Huffington Post
    MICHAEL R. BLOOD | April 5, 2012 09:34 AM EST | AP LOS ANGELES — It will take more than the flip of a switch to replace power lost from the troubled San Onofre nuclear plant. State energy officials have already warned of rotating blackouts in the
    See all stories on this topic »
    San Onofre Power Plant Offline, Energy Officials Warn Of Power Outages
    Huffington Post
    8, 2011 file photo shows the nuclear power plant shut down in San Onofre, Calif. There were no catastrophes caused by the widespread outage that knocked out power in a region with a population of nearly 6 million spanning both sides of the US-Mexico
    See all stories on this topic »
    California’s Nuclear Power Woes
    OilPrice.com
    Given the rising concern about global warming, nuclear advocates never ceased to point out that nuclear power plants (NPPs) produced zero greenhouse gas emissions, unlike fossil fuel fired thermal power plants burning coal or oil.
    See all stories on this topic »
    US to sink tsunami ‘ghost ship’
    Herald Sun
    They have been working with federal counterparts to gauge the danger of debris including material affected by a damaged nuclear power plant, to see if Alaska residents, seafood or wild game could be affected. In January, a half dozen large buoys
    See all stories on this topic »
    US report: Progress of Iran nuclear program hit obstacles in 2011
    Haaretz
    By Amir Oren Tags: Iran nuclear Iran threat Iran Iran continued to advance its nuclear program in 2011, a CIA report indicated this week, adding, however, that Tehran’s nuclear ambitions were frustrated by what the survey said were “some obstacles.
    See all stories on this topic »

    Haaretz
    Law Enforcement trains for larger scale “unusual events” at Catawba Nuclear
    WBTV
    Neighbors near the plant there on Lake Wylie in York County reported hearing loud noises. The sound was steam being released from the station as part of the shut down process. No radioactive material was released or was there ever any danger posed to
    See all stories on this topic »
  • Grid-Scale Energy Storage to be worth $113.5 Billion per year by 2017

    Grid-Scale Energy Storage to be worth $113.5 Billion per Year by 2017

    Posted: 04 Apr 2012 03:06 PM PDT

    Lux Research, an independent research and advisory firm providing strategic advice and on-going intelligence for emerging technologies, have recently released a bottom-up evaluation of energy storage technologies for grid-scale application. In their report, “Grid Storage under the Microscope: Using Local Knowledge to Forecast Global Demand”, they predict that by 2017 annual demand for grid-scale energy storage will be at 185.4 gigawatt hours globally, and worth $113.5 billion a year. They forecast an average annual demand growth of…

    Read more…

    Why America will become an Export Powerhouse

    Posted: 04 Apr 2012 11:20 AM PDT

    At least three forces are likely to combine to make the United States an [increasing] export powerhouse.First, artificial intelligence and computing power are the future, or even the present, for much of manufacturing. It’s not just the robots; look at the hundreds of computers and software-driven devices embedded in a new car. Factory floors these days are nearly empty of people because software-driven machines are doing most of the work. The factory has been reinvented as a quiet place. There is now a joke that “a modern textile mill…

    Read more…

    You are subscribed to email updates from OilPrice.com Daily News Update
    To stop receiving these emails, you may unsubscribe now.
    Email delivery powered by Google
    Google Inc., 20 West Kinzie, Chicago IL USA 60610
  • AVAAZ Where will you be on May 5

    Where will you be on May 5?

    Inbox
    x

    May Boeve – 350.org organizers@350.org
    7:34 AM (2 hours ago)

    to me
    Images are not displayed. Display images below – Always display images from organizers@350.org

     

    There’s just one month left until Climate Impacts Day on 5/5, when the world will connect the dots between extreme weather and climate change.

    Where will you be on 5/5?Connect the Dots Buttonwww.climatedots.org

    Dear friends,

    “What can we do to create the public outcry that we need?”

    That’s the big question President Mohammed Nasheed of the Maldives asked me when he was in New York City last week. His country, just 1.5 meters above sea level, is in imminent danger of disappearing beneath the Indian Ocean. Nasheed is an inspiration and a true climate champion, and his question has stayed with me as we prepare for Climate Impacts Day on May 5th.

    We have just one month to go until 5/5, the next big global day of action where together we will try to answer President Nasheed’s question. Already hundreds of local communities are on the map for Climate Impacts Day on 5/5, all of them busily planning actions that will help wake the world up to our new shared reality.

    All sorts of local events are in the works — from presentations to protests, from climate solutions to community rebuilding. In Jammu, India, a local group of 350 activists will spend 5/5 rebuilding homes destroyed in record-breaking storms. In New Mexico in the USA, a group of firefighters who are fed up with drought are switching to solar energy, and will put up big “climate dots” on their fire station where they’ll be installing solar panels. The list of incredible events just goes on and on — and it’s growing every day.

    Each event will feature a huge “climate dot” representing the local impacts being felt around the world — and together we will connect those dots to make something truly unignorable.

    Visit ClimateDots.org to join in, and register your local event or search the map to find one in your community.

    A month might not seem like much time, but organizing a local event doesn’t need to be hard. Our team will provide you with everything you need in our downloadable “Event Toolkit”, complete with customizable posters, banner templates, sample press-releases, action plans, and an easy way for your friends and neighbors to sign up to join you. We’ve also got a guide to making you can take a great photo of your local Climate Dot, no matter the size of your event.

    Perhaps the most useful way to think of a month is as four distinct weeks, more than enough time to plan a great local event. Here’s how:

    Week 1: You just need to get your community on the map by registering your event on ClimateDots.org. It only takes 5 minutes and you can change your information later, so if you’ve been thinking about hosting a local action you might as well register your event right now.

    Week 2: Link up with friends or neighbors and decide what kind of action you’re going to have — it could be a climate solutions project (like planting a community garden) or some grassroots climate education (like presenting the “Connect the Dots” slideshow our team is putting together.) Or really anything that connects the dots between extreme weather and climate change.

    Week 3: Work out the logistical details, spread the word in your community, and start planning out your big “climate dot” to display at your local event.

    Week 4: Make sure absolutely everyone knows about your local event (including media and local politicians!) and get ready for the big day!

    (All of this is covered in the super-helpful 10-step Action Plan in the Climate Impacts Day Event Toolkit)

    That’s it. And while the month might pass by in a flash, the real ticking clock is the looming climate crisis. We must do everything we can with the time we have to rise to this planetary challenge — to move from disbelief and desperation to solidarity and solutions. As a global movement, we can help answer President Nasheed’s question by raising a public outcry on climate change too big to be ignored.

    We’ll start by connecting the dots. All of us, all together, all around the world.

    Please join us on May 5 and help Connect the Dots.

    Onwards,

    May Boeve for the whole 350.org Team

    P.S. Whether you can host a local event or not, it’s important that you spread the word about the day of action — sometimes a little nudge can go a long way in moving your friends to take action with you. Click here to share the day of actions with your friends on Facebook, and click here to share with your followers on Twitter.


    350.org is building a global movement to solve the climate crisis. Connect with us on Facebook and Twitter, and sign up for email alerts. You can help power our work by getting involved locally and donating here.

    What is 350? Go to our website to learn about the science behind the movement.

  • Fair Work Report to be released

    Fair Work Australia (FWA) has agreed to release in four to six weeks the report of its investigation into the Health Services Union’s national office.

    But the report will not be tabled in the Senate until FWA general manager Bernadette O’Neill has finished considering which of 181 contraventions of workplace laws found by investigators should be taken to the Federal Court for civil action.

    In correspondence to the Senate Education, Employment and Workplace Relations Committee, Ms O’Neill said it would “prejudice” her consideration of the report and action she might take if the committee were given a copy while she was still examining the document.

    “I propose to provide a copy of the report to the committee … as soon as I have completed my consideration which I presently anticipate to be within four to six weeks from today,” she said.

    The report has made findings against three former or serving HSU officials, and one other individual.

    One of the former officials is believed to be former HSU general secretary and now federal Labor MP Craig Thomson, on whom the Labor minority government relies to stay in power.

    The NSW MP maintains his innocence and Prime Minister Julia Gillard has expressed confidence in him

  • Transport thinking stuck on a bureaucratic black box

    Transport thinking stuck in bureaucratic black box

    0

    SYDNEY needs rescuing. Past and future generations expect us to be smart, and the Premier promised to stop the stupidity. Those who don’t understand history are bound to repeat its mistakes.

    Do not underestimate our forebears’ commitment to us about a century ago: £27 million towards a rail and tram bridge, electric railways and CBD “metro”.

    And just as we started the 20th century with a real planning inquiry, which produced a planning consensus, we need the same now. Melbourne has had one recently, London too; but Sydney keeps repeating its “black box” approach of navel-gazing within central bureaucracies. Sydney is the world champion of compromise.

    Our radial railways and roads no longer match where we live, work and play. About two-thirds of commuters on the East Hills and Bankstown lines, and many on the Illawarra and Main West lines, will be working in the Norwest/Macquarie Park end of the “global arc” in 20 years or less. Their trains currently pass through the CBD and then out again. That’s pretty dumb. The transport bureaucrats are trying to justify a second Harbour crossing, reinforcing that historical anomaly.

    In fact, most people need cross-regional routes of suitable modes, where cross-regional means from Hurstville to Strathfield by heavy rail or trams, and Ryde to Kensington via the ANZAC Metro, as examples.

    If we started to adjust our great legacy to meet future needs, we could possibly move trains off the Illawarra, East Hills, Bankstown and Main West lines (and out of the CBD and Harbour crossings) and run them into the North West, providing a greater service than the NW link alone.

    Clover Moore wants to replace buses with trams, increasing congestion around the transfer points. Looking at Tokyo and like places, we could take all heavy traffic out of the CBD by developing a circumferential by-pass or ring road. Two former main roads commissioners thought this worth an inquiry.

    The tram route along Barangaroo will not pick workers and visitors up from where they live and will intensify congestion at the interchange points with the rail, bus or ferry systems. It will relocate congestion, not solve it. That route would impede the extension of trams to the west (Balmain), north via the Harbour Bridge, or east to Moore Park or Bondi, should future generations decide to do so.

    The current extension from Lilyfield is one of two alternatives assessed in Carl Scully’s 1999 report. The alternative through Leichhardt would service Sydney Uni, the Broadway Centre, the Catholic Uni, Fraser’s Brewery and UTS and carry at least 10 times more fare-payers. It was forgotten by the previous government and ignored by the current one.

    The Anzac Metro announced in 2007 would take buses off Victoria and Parramatta Roads, the CBD, Oxford St and Anzac Parade, potentially servicing four universities. Where did that go? It is the only “metro” route likely to be a successful PPP.

    We need that Eddington approach ex London and Melbourne. We need to get the thinking, the scenarios, right. We need to build public transport webs, instead of straight lines of fixed routes, especially where space is expensive – such as around beaches, regional centres and hospitals/universities.

    This means new Personal Rapid Transit systems as in the UK. This will help us to stop thinking about Parramatta as the only alternative CBD. We have a city of centres: Hurstville, Liverpool, Chatswood, Campbelltown, Blacktown and Penrith are vitally important, as are Gosford and Wollongong.

    Other cities work out long-term ways of raising money and paying off costs instead of relying on development levies and tools. Sydneysiders have shown a willingness to pay for services which help them so long as fairness rules apply. Many have paid taxes to support services in privileged areas but now are expected to pay excessive amounts for their own services.

    The Daily Telegraph’s People’s Plan is an excellent start; but Barry O’Farrell needs to meet the standards COAG agreed to in 2009, that all states would have city plans meeting agreed planning criteria.

    We can’t complain if we allow “black box” processes – bureaucratic, remote processes and tired thinking which have only nominal community engagement links and unknown “scenarios” – to continue and dominate.

    Robert Gibbons is a former manager of planning coordination and executive director planning at the NSW Ministry of Transport