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  • Citigroup calls for end to coal

    Disappointingly, Labor’s new environment spokesperson Peter Garrett, has chosen to kick off his tenure by restating his predecessor Anthony Albanese’s proposition that we can reduce CO2 emissions whilst continuing to use coal. Citing Australia’s coal resources as a “blessing”, Garrett’s endorsement of the ‘clean coal’ myth made it clear how far the ALP line is from the environment movement’s. His comments were in stark contrast to his successor as current ACF President, Ian Lowe. Speaking in Newcastle last Monday night, Lowe stated the obvious: “The only way the world can meet its carbon reduction targets is to burn a lot less coal”, and endorsed as “wise” the resolution of Newcastle Council to cap coal exports and introduce a ban on new coal mines in the Hunter Valley.

    Garrett’s position is the standard ALP line; that you can somehow massively expand Australia’s coal export industry and continue to rely on coal for the majority of our domestic power yet still reduce CO2 emissions. The inadequacy of this position is revealed by looking at the policy of the NSW Government on greenhouse gas (ghg) reductions. The Premier, Morris Iemma, has committed to stabilising ghg emissions at 2000 levels by 2025. Given that we are near to those levels now this means that, in the next 19 years, emissions cannot increase. In effect, this is a de facto moratorium on new coal-fired power stations in NSW. Indeed, when you factor in population growth; in new vehicles driven by Labor’s car-centred transport policies; and routine growth in emissions, it may be impossible to meet the 2025 target without actually reducing use of coal-fired power. Moreover, it is inevitable that the Iemma Government’s target will be superseded by more ambitious targets in the future as governments get serious about tackling climate change. To only achieve a stabilisation by 2025 would lead to a climate change induced nightmare.

    As far as Australia’s coal exports go, both major parties commit rhetorically to engaging in an international process, which will lead to deep reductions in ghg emissions. Yet any international regime that does achieve this will inevitably put pressure on, and indeed reduce use of, coal. How can it not? Coal is the most carbon-intensive of the fossil fuels and reducing reliance on coal through efficiency, switching to gas or developing renewables are among the easiest and quickest ways to reduce C02 emissions from the electricity sector.

    The standard response to this of course, is that so-called ‘clean coal’ will solve the problem. Firstly, clean coal is a furphy, the equivalent of ‘healthy cigarettes’. Coal is dirty, as even the Prime Minister has begun to acknowledge. And the claims being made by the coal industry that the technology to bury emissions is nearly available do not stand up to scrutiny. The World Coal Institute recently conceded that by 2020 it was likely that only nine projects using carbon capture and storage (CCS) would exist. That’s too little too late. We have about 10 years to start reducing emissions dramatically or we will likely pass the `tipping point’ at which dangerous climate change will be unavoidable. By 2020 we need to have our emissions at about 30% below 1990 levels. Yet we may not even know if CCS works by then and, as the United Nation’s expert panel on climate change stated in their recent special report on CCS, commercialisation will take even longer. So CCS is simply not even available during the next critical decade, and may never prove to be viable. To use it as political cover to keep opening new coal mines, expanding our coal exports and refusing to support efficiency and renewables is unconscionable.

    The real question now is not whether we have to quit coal, but how quickly we can make the transition and how we can ensure those people dependent on coal for jobs and income are not left stranded. That, coupled with ambitious policies to stop energy wastage and promote renewables, will see Australia start to use the other resources with which we are “blessed”: sun, wind and ingenuity. Climate change can be solved, but not without quitting coal. The time to move on is now.

    Ben Pearson
    Greenpeace Energy Campaigner

  • Renewable energy numbers released

    Household electricity bills would rise by just $1.23 a week if a quarter of Australia’s energy came from renewable sources, a report has found.

    The report by three green groups says setting a renewable energy target of 25 per cent by the year 2020 would deliver more than 16,000 new jobs, slash greenhouse gas emissions by 69 million tonnes and generate $33 billion in investment.

    Although the average power bill would rise by $64 a year, continuing to rely on current power sources would cause prices to jump by $234 a year.

    The study, A Bright Future, was released Monday by the Australian Conservation Foundation, Greenpeace and the Climate Change Action Network.

    It warns Australia is missing out on the economic benefits of renewable energy that are flowing to California and European nations which have boosted their renewable energy targets.

    In 1997, the federal government set a mandatory renewable energy target of two per cent, on top of existing supply.

    At present, about 10 per cent of Australia’s energy comes from renewables like wind, solar and hydro.

    "With current policies, (Australia’s) electricity emissions will reach 260 million tonnes by 2020, more than double 1990 levels," the report said.

    "Generating a quarter of our electricity from renewable energy and reversing electricity growth from 2010 onwards by ambitious energy efficiency measures would reduce overall electricity emissions to 160 million tonnes.

    "The reduction of about 100 million tonnes, compared to business as usual, would be equivalent to removing all the road transport in Australia.

    "Provided we put Australia on track for sustained renewable energy development, costs should fall to below the cost of fossil fuels over the next 15 years."

    Under the plan, coal’s share of power generation would fall from three-quarters to 59 per cent, drastically reducing greenhouse emissions.

    The study said allowing Australia’s energy use to continue rising would ultimately cost the country far more than switching to renewable sources now and becoming more energy-efficient.

    Australia was blessed with abundant renewable energy resources yet was lagging behind countries like Germany, which was less windy and received less sunlight.

    Greenpeace campaigner Mark Wakeham said Australia should be a world leader in renewable energy.

    "Yet due to current government policies, we’re throwing away our competitive advantage and renewable companies are moving offshore," he said.

    The European Union has set a renewable energy target of 21 per cent by 2010 and California is aiming for 33 per cent by 2020.

  • Ethanol needs scarce water

    It remains uncertain whether the company proposing the $165 million plant, Gulfstream Bioflex Energy LLC, will succeed. Neighbors have battled the company to a standstill in Webster County Circuit Court over water.

    The case, which could be decided in the next several weeks, has implications for the fast-growing Springfield, Mo., region and potentially elsewhere as citizens groups challenge the ethanol industry.

    Water hogs

    The Great Ethanol Boom rumbling across the Midwest is a positive force in many ways, bringing farmers extra cash for their crops, offering the potential to stem decay in tiny towns, and providing the nation with an alternative to foreign oil. The United States already has 115 ethanol plants in operation, including four in Missouri and seven in Illinois. Another 80 or so are under construction around the country, and many more are planned.

    But all the costs of ethanol don’t get tallied until later. And one of the biggest of those costs, one now generating tension throughout the Midwest and elsewhere, is water.

    The ethanol industry says it takes about 3 gallons of water on average to produce a gallon of ethanol and that recycling and other water-saving innovations will reduce that amount.

    Sometimes that consumption is understated: In Minnesota, one of the few states that require reporting of water use, a state study in 2005 found that ethanol plants used an average of 4.5 gallons for every gallon of ethanol.

    The water drawn for ethanol is a cost borne by communities — or whole regions — and a price sometimes ignored in the planning stages for new plants, experts say.

    In St. Louis, National Corn Growers Association CEO Rick Tolman said his organization has advised ethanol plant builders about the limitations of water. "The water question will not be an impediment to ethanol expansion overall, but it certainly will limit expansion in certain locations," he said.

    The subject has special currency in Iowa, which produces about 30 percent of the nation’s ethanol.

    Richard Cruse, director of the Iowa Water Center at Iowa State University, pointed to potential conflicts when the ethanol industry seeks to use the same pure water that people drink and give to their livestock.

    "I’m not suggesting they’re maniacs running wild not thinking about water," Cruse said. "But with the industry growing so fast and drawing so much water, it can become a risk issue. When we go for three, four or five months with shallow aquifers being drawn down to the point where we have to limit or ration high-quality water, who has the priority?"

    ‘Best place to build’

    Water for an ethanol plant might come from a river, from wells drilled into underground aquifers or from lakes. For the Rogersville plant, the several hundred million gallons of water that would be needed to produce 100 million gallons of ethanol annually would be drawn from the Ozark aquifer, part of a sprawling underground system that provides water from rock formations hundreds of feet under ground.

    Southwest Missouri differs from many locales selected for ethanol plants because little or no corn grows in the Ozarks’ thin soils. Nonetheless, the site near Rogersville, 20 miles east of Springfield, appealed to promoters for other strategic reasons: It is tucked between a busy four-lane highway, U.S. 60, and a railroad line, perfect for hauling in corn and dispatching tank cars full of ethanol. There’s a natural gas pipeline nearby to power the plant.

    Promoters point to a state report a decade ago that estimated that more than 12 trillion gallons of water lay beneath Webster County. That would be enough, they say, to operate the plant for thousands of years.

    "Webster County is the best place to build the ethanol plant, based on those figures," Bryan Wade, a lawyer for the Gulfstream partners, argued last month in court.

    Promoters have not identified principal funding sources other than to say they have been working with investors in New York. One of the Gulfstream founders is Greg Wilmoth, a trucking company executive from Mount Vernon, Mo., who has drawn extra attention because of family connections: He is a cousin, once removed, of the state’s most prominent ethanol booster, Gov. Matt Blunt.

    On the witness stand last month, Wilmoth described one significant benefit of the plant: 40 to 50 jobs paying between $30,000 and $35,000 a year. Later, he was asked by the lawyer for those suing to stop the ethanol plant what would happen if it gets built and the groundwater system fails.

    "I’ve got a $165 million white elephant," he replied, a predicament that the company does not expect to confront.

    Relying on rain

    The Rogersville plant is one of three in Missouri that Gulfstream Bioflex says it wants to build. Another would be in Monroe County, near Hannibal, where water is not an issue because it would draw from an aquifer replenished regularly by the Mississippi River. A location for the third has yet to be identified.

    James Kaiman, a St. Louisan and former chemical company executive who recently joined the Gulfstream Bioflex enterprise as its president, asserted that people in southwest Missouri who oppose the plant — about 400 or so neighbors and other opponents have signed petitions — constitute only a fraction of the county’s 33,000 inhabitants.

    "They look at it and say, ‘I don’t want this in my backyard.’ It’s a little surprising," he said in an interview.

    Landowners near the site of the proposed plant say they have ponied up $100,000 since last fall to fight the plant. In December, they won a temporary restraining order on construction after arguing in court that water consumption and plant pollution would constitute a public nuisance.

    Now, after the two-day trial last month in Webster County Circuit Court, a decision is expected soon. Both sides brought paid experts to court to buttress their opinions about the sufficiency of water in the Ozark aquifer.

    Some underground aquifers, particularly those near rivers and streams, readily refill after depletion. By contrast, the Ozark aquifer is classified as a confined aquifer, which means that it has little connection to other underground water sources and must rely on rain and snow to become recharged.

    Nobody can say for sure what will happen deep underground with such continuous pumping and how readily the Ozark aquifer can recharge itself. The two sides in the debate offer competing perspectives on whether there will be enough water to go around.

    But trends are already troubling.

    Dropping water tables

    As a result of over-pumping in the region, a "cone of depression" — a lowered water table from pumping — began forming in the 1970s and has continued to grow, according to a groundwater study two years ago at Missouri State University.

    In response to declining water levels in the early 1990s, Springfield completed construction of a 40-mile pipeline and pumping station in 1996 to deliver water from Stockton Lake in Cedar County. But other towns, among them Nixa, Ozark, Republic and Battlefield, continue to rely on water from the Ozark aquifer.

    According to the Missouri State study, the aquifer outside of Springfield dropped as much as 140 feet in places from 1987-2004 — but in some places water levels remained constant or even rose.

    Meanwhile, rural dwellers have reported well problems that began showing up a few years ago. More than half of nearly 300 well owners in northern Greene County reported problems with their wells in a survey five years ago by the Watershed Committee of the Ozarks, a nonprofit dedicated to preserving water supplies in the region. Local landowners and well-diggers say the problems have worsened.

    Bob Schulteis, a water specialist at the University of Missouri Extension, was the chairman of a Webster County-appointed committee that concluded that the plant could harm both the quantity and quality of local waters.

    "Already we’re seeing the water tables in that location dropping, so adding an additional high-demand well or two at the location would likely accelerate that," he said.

    Nathan Jones, whose business sells solar-powered pumps, said his Greene County water well situated above the Ozark aquifer had dropped at least 140 feet in nine years.

    ‘Our dreams all exploded’

    Gulfstream Bioflex says it would drill wells deeper into the aquifer or supply better pumps if landowners around the plant have problems. New wells cost about $10,000 in Webster County.

    James Kaiman, the company’s new president, said he’s confident it won’t come to that.

    "We wouldn’t be doing this if we felt that we were going to be impacting neighbors," he said.

    William McDonald, who is representing opponents of the plant, argued that water uncertainties also threaten the plant. "There is no Plan B," he said. "If the groundwater system fails, not only will it be catastrophic for people in the area, it will be catastrophic for Gulfstream Bioflex."

    Besides blocking the plant thus far, the resistance by neighbors also has prevented closing on the company’s purchase of the 252-acre Porter family farm, for $12,000 an acre in a county where the typical price for an acre of land is $2,500 to $3,000. Larry Porter, who has been shunned by some of his neighbors since plans for the plant were announced last fall, declined to be interviewed.

    Opponents are nervous about what comes next if Gulfstream Bioflex wins the court case: The company would be dealing with the Missouri Department of Natural Resources, which handles permits for ethanol plants in the Blunt administration.

    Wilmoth, Gulfstream’s vice president, is not the only Blunt relative to plunge into the ethanol business. Andy Blunt, the governor’s younger brother, was identified last year as an investor in another Missouri ethanol venture.

    Matt Blunt, like other Midwestern governors, has championed biofuels expansion. He backed the state law requiring 10 percent ethanol in fuels starting next year, supported paying off unfulfilled state financial commitments to ethanol producers, and lobbied for a pending federal government rules change that would relax air pollution standards for ethanol plants.

    Blunt spokeswoman Jessica Robinson said his administration would not stint on regulating the industry in Missouri. Family ties have nothing to do with his ethanol policies, she said.

    "His support of ethanol is nothing new to anyone, whether they be Missourians or relatives," she said.

    Meanwhile, people who live near the proposed plant in Rogersville envision drying times — and perhaps crying times.

    "Our dreams all exploded at one time," Dean Alberty remarked while driving to his family’s Red Oak Bed & Breakfast near the proposed plant. Alberty, whose family is among those who sued to stop the plant, has put off building a new home until the case is decided.

    Added his wife, Maja: "Ethanol is not a bad thing. But you can’t put it where it will take our water."

    blambrecht@post-dispatch.com

  • Climate change now a global security issue

    But China’s deputy ambassador, Liu Zhenmin, was blunt in rejecting the session. His nation’s economy is growing fast and still depends heavily on coal and other fossil fuels that scientists say are contributing to climate change.

    “The developing countries believe that the Security Council has neither the professional competence in handling climate change, nor is it the right decision-making place for extensive participation leading up to widely acceptable proposals,” he said.

    Russia, China, Qatar, Indonesia and South Africa, among others, also said the Security Council was not the place to take concrete action, though no resolution is expected.

    Pakistan argued against the debate on behalf of 130 developing nations, with many saying the Council was encroaching on more democratic bodies, like the 192-member United Nations General Assembly.

    Other developing nations, like Peru and Panama and small island states, among the most threatened by climate change, agreed with Britain. So did Secretary General Ban Ki-moon. “Projected changes in the earth’s climate are thus not only an environmental concern,” Mr. Ban said. “And, as the Council points up today, issues of energy and climate change can have implications for peace and security.”

    The United States, the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases that spur climate change, opposes mandatory caps on emissions but has instead pushed alternative fuels and energy efficiency.

    The acting American ambassador, Alejandro D. Wolff, said the issue must be dealt with in a way that does not effect economic growth and development.

    Most industrial nations, including the European Union, agreed with Britain. As did Papua New Guinea, head of the Pacific small island states, which fear they may disappear under rising oceans levels as the earth warms up.

    “The dangers that the small island states and their populations face are no less serious than those nations threatened by guns and bombs,” Ambassador Robert Guba Aisi of Papua New Guinea told the Council.

    Italy’s deputy foreign minister, Vittorio Craxi, said members should support Mr. Ban’s effort to create a new United Nations Environmental Organization to coordinate action on climate change.

    “It is clear that climate change can pose threats to national security,” said Ambassador Kenzo Oshima of Japan. “In the foreseeable future climate change may well create conditions or induce circumstances that could precipitate or aggravate international conflicts.”

  • Russia forms Gas Cartel with Arabs

    There is a growing feeling in Europe that Moscow is consciously working towards the establishment of a "gas cartel," stretching from Algeria to Central Asia, to use as a political and economic weapon in its dealings with Europe.

    Although the officials of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF), which was created in May 2001, claim it to be a talking-shop only and not a cartel-in-the-making, the Europeans are quite wary of its proceedings.

    In a recent report by Nato’s economic committee, there is a detailed description of how Moscow has been trying to a draw Algeria, Libya, Qatar and central Asian countries into a Russian-backed cartel, "Opec for gas," which will straddle about two-thirds of the world’s total gas reserves and wield huge control over the gas market.

    During the three-day tour that took him to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan, Putin consciously worked in the direction of increasing cooperation among the major gas producers, and even openly broached the possibility of the so-called gas-cartel.

    "Who said that we rejected the idea of creating a gas cartel? We haven’t rejected anything. I said that it was an interesting proposition. Are we going to create this cartel, do we need it, that’s another discussion," he said while responding to media reports about Moscow’s controversial role in concocting a gas cartel.

    Putin’s visit to Qatar, which has the world’s third largest gas reserves after Russia and Iran, was indirectly focused on selling the cartel idea. Whereas, in Saudi Arabia, his main intent was to project Russia as a potential and reliable partner who could provide "cost-effective" military hardware, as well as technological support in the field of telecommunication.

    Apart from offering to build the much-desired civilian nuclear-energy technology in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf, Putin announced that Russia would launch six Saudi-made information satellites for Saudi Arabia this year.

    At the same time, he discussed the possibility of selling 150 Russian T-90 battle tanks and an unknown number of Mi 17 helicopters to Saudi Arabia.

    Furthermore, his team also signed numerous MoUs – ranging from cooperation in the fields of culture, aviation and banking — with the Saudi counterparts.

    On the last leg of his tour, with a view to making Russia’s presence felt in the Palestinian issue, Putin went to Jordan to exchange ideas on the subject with King Abdullah II.

    Washington’s influence in the Middle East is a blatant reality with which Moscow has been living for decades — though with a visible uneasiness. Putin’s visit was a direct attempt to make inroads there and take full advantage of Washington’s current predicament in Iraq, which has drastically shaken America’s image as a dependable guarantor of security and stability in the region.

    The Bush administration’s growing precariousness on the question of its Iraq policy has indubitably created unprecedented anxiety among its close, traditional allies in the region.

    In such a shaky scenario, where President Bush is finding it hard to assuage the genuine apprehensions of the regional leaders Putin, being a shrewd player, has made a move to carve a role for Russia in the Middle East political arena.

    To achieve this, Putin is even ready to swallow the involvement of some Arab countries’ alleged support to the Chechen fighters.

    In fact, during his Middle East yatra, he kept on chanting the unusual mantra of Russia’s multi-ethnic and multi-religious complexion, and the role of Russian Muslims in the development of the country.

    In its capacity as a member of the Quartet — along with the US, the European Union and the United States — Russia has been involved in the Middle East process, but its involvement has always been eclipsed by the belligerent attitude of Washington, which has close ties with both Tel Aviv and the Arab capitals.

    President Bush’s fiasco in Iraq, and his desperation to "show" some progress on the Palestinian issues in the last half of his stint have certainly provided an opportunity to Vladimir Putin to jump into the fray and encroach upon the Americans’ influence in the Middle East.

    The apparent success of his recent Middle East visit indicates that Putin’s strategy is working well.

    _____

    Dr Imran Khalid is a freelance contributor to The Daily Star.