Category: Climate chaos

The atmosphere is to the earth as a layer of varnish is to a desktop globe. It is thin, fragile and essential for preserving the items on the surface.150 years of burning fossil fuel have overloaded the atmosphere to the point where the earth is ill. It now has a fever. Read the detailed article, Soothing Gaia’s Fever for an evocative account of that analogy. The items listed here detail progress on coordinating 6.5 billion people in the most critical project undertaken by humanity. 

  • We fiddle while the Indus drowns

    We fiddle while the Indus drowns

    Water, water everywhere, and not a drop to drink

    Coleridge, The Ancient Mariner

    Predictions that the Global North would cynically turn its back on Climate refugees as drought, heatwaves and floods decimate the population of the Global South this week appear both reasonable and prescient. As I write this in my comfortable home in the pleasant evening of an Australian spring with a belly full of warm soup, 30 million Pakistanis seek shelter from 35 degree heat and 66% humidity without roads, rooves, freshwater or sanitation. The thousand people who have died during 8 weeks of torrential down pour now confront thirst, starvation and disease and, those who survive, a daunting rebuilding operation that affects literally millions of devastated homes, and thousands of kilometres of road. In addition, a sizable fraction of the nation’s infrastructure has been torn asunder as glacial lakes burst out of their mountain strongholds and joined the petalitres of water that has fallen from eight separate monsoon events far into the northern regions of the Indus valley.

    Read the rest at GeoffEbbs.com or hear it on SoundCloud

    Europe fiddles while the Indus drowns
  • Mould moves in

    Mould moves in

    The big wet has Brisbane renters tearing apart sharehouses, burning leather clothing and scrubbing walls with clove and tea tree oil, mixed with vinegar and warm water in a battle with an unwanted, microbial, housemate; mould.

    Mouldy leather is de rigeur on East Coast Australia this winter

    Christine Schindler wrote in Westender last week “The mould ripened, it invited friends and propagated indiscriminately on brick and wood. An odd smell led to bigger questions, who’s responsible – the landlord or tenant?” Tenants Queensland and the Rental Tenancies Authority conclude that that depends, and the widespread and insistent nature of the problem forces tenants to clean up the effects, even if the landlord is responsible for the causes.

    Schindler’s recipe? “Dry the place out by creating a well-ventilated space, then add a bucket full of sunshine and not a drop of moisture. Unfortunately, Bunnings does not sell these things.”

    Trimmed, with permission, from https://westender.com.au/mould-the-new-housemate/

  • Hollowing out the Liberals

    Hollowing out the Liberals

    The rise of the Green-Teal tide on the weekend speaks volumes about environmental politics.
    Geoff Ebbs reflects on the implications for the Liberals and the Greens

    The destruction of the Liberal Party by Scott Morrison has many dimensions including integrity, misogyny, gender wars, culture wars and climate wars. Both the Teal independents and the Greens benefited from Labor’s luke-warm stance on any of these issues as they pacify their dominant right wing. Plenty of political commentators will ruminate on those general dimensions of the fundamental shift in Australian politics. This piece specifically focuses on the lessons to be learned from the environmental politics of the last three decades for those of us in a position to shape the future. Two points deserve special attention: the hollowing out of the Liberal Party and the impact of capitalists for climate change (Climate 200) on the environment movement. This article deals with the first.

    Howard Hollowed the Liberal Left

    Guy Pearse – High & Dry 2008

    There is plenty of analysis about the loss of the Liberal moderates and the challenges of the pathway back. The historical part of that analysis has the function of identifying past mistakes to avoid them in the future and to map the path forward. Since Saturday night many Liberals and commentators have identified their pet point: Simon Birmingham nominated Abbott’s choice to blow up the party rather than implement the National Energy Guarantee, Michael McCormack thinks Barnaby may have had something to do with it, others blame Morrison for sacrificing inner-city moderates in a deliberate move to attract outer suburban tradies with huge tax-breaks, injections of cash into domestic construction and dog-whistling on gender politics. In a very nasty outburst on election night, journalist Annabelle Crabbe got stuck into Simon Holmes a Court for interfering in the “normal” political process by funding independents.

    All these miss the point that the hollowing out of the Liberal Party was well under way two decades ago under Howard. I interviewed Guy Pearse in 2008 on the launch of his book High and Dry. The snip of him discussing the clearing out of the left of the Liberal Party in the 1990s (25 years ago) and its impact on climate policy is highly instructive. The full version of that interview is available in Part 1 and Part 2 on the EcoRadio website.

  • Grappling with forest management

    Grappling with forest management

    Deforestation is a significant contributor to climate chaos, biodiversity loss and depletion of groundwater. It requires significant effort on a number of levels.

    There are global certification bodies that provide a form of policing, including the capacity to interrogate the source of timber products using a chain of custody, or record of the handling of the product from forest to retail product. They are far from perfect, however.

    There are also significant global reforestation projects that deserve examination for both their success and their failures.

    This article provides a quick overview

    What’s the problem?

    The European Comission provides some clear definitions of sustainable management and the degrees of damage that we need to avoid.

    • Degradation is the initial phase in which natural forests become damaged, either by unsustainable logging (tree removal in an unselective or concentrated way so that the original forest canopy cannot recover) or by competing land uses such as mining, infrastructure, agriculture, and the resettlement of populations. Often these occur in combination.
    • Deforestation occurs if degradation goes unchecked. Most or all forest cover is lost. If left undisturbed and not eroded by the elements, many deforested areas can partially or fully recover to their former state. More often however, the pressures from other land use prevents this and result in permanent deforestation.
    • Desertification happens in areas where the forest cover (continuous canopy) is largely or totally lost and climatic conditions (rain, wind, snow, etc.) intervene destructively so as to impoverish, deplete, or remove soil.

    Some of the facts presented by the EC demonstrate the nature of the problem.

    Unsustainable management in many tropical countries has led to forest degradation and deforestation, and has contributed 17.5% of all greenhouse gas emissions. 

    In 2009, the forest certification schemes covered some 74.7 Mha or 42% of EU forests. Globally, they cover only 15% of forests. More than 90 % of certified forests are in OECD countries.

    While the figures have changed in the last decade, it is clear that the problem of tropical forest management remains a major challenge.

    https://ec.europa.eu/growth/sectors/raw-materials/related-industries/forest-based-industries/sustainable-forest-management_en

    Certification bodies

    Next, lets identify the two major forest certification bodies.

    The Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) claims to be the most rigorous form of certification and facilitates and supports a chain of custody,  as a commercial service provided by certifying agencies.

    The Forestry Stewardship Council certifies forests, timber and operators

    The Program for Endorsement of Forest Certification (PEFC) collects and collates information and efforts by national certification authorities. It is known in Australia as Responsible Wood and you can get the general tenor of their approach in this article from 2017.

    Geoff interviews the director and marketing officer of Responsible Wood

    Natasha Stevenson posted this handy summary of the differences between the two organisations on her linked in feed. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/5-differences-between-fsc-pefc-natasha-stevenson/

    Top Down” vs. “Bottom Up”

    FSC is an international standard which is nationally adapted to act as an independent monitoring body, ensuring forestry is working to certain standards -> a “top down” approach
    PEFC is active in over 30 countries and assesses independent forestry management schemes against international criteria for sustainable forestry -> a “bottom up” approach

    The Scale

    FSC covers 187 million hectares of forest (30 000 certificates)
    PEFC covers 260 million hectares of forests (17 800 certificates)

    Purpose

    FSC was created to prevent illegal timber being consumed and is more focused on the environmental aspects
    PEFC is essentially a build on from FSC to facilitate certification of sustainable forestry, but adapted especially for small scale land owners 

    Certificate Types- Level of Commitment

    FSC: Forest management, chain of custody and controlled wood
    PEFC: Forest management, chain of custody and project certification

    Certification

    FSC is a second party certification; the organisation issues the certificates
    PEFC is a third party certification; they use certified institutions

    Are they working?

    The following article is taken from Yale 360 e, an environmental publication of the University.

    https://e360.yale.edu/features/greenwashed-timber-how-sustainable-forest-certification-has-failed

    In a 2014 report, Greenpeace, an FSC member, accused FSC-certified logging companies in Russia of “wood-mining” forests the way they might strip-mine coal, as a non-renewable resource, and of harvesting “areas that are either slated for legal protection or supposed to be protected as a part of FSC requirements.”

    • In 2015, the U.S. flooring company Lumber Liquidators pleaded guilty to smuggling illegal timber from the last habitat of the Siberian tiger in the Russian Far East. Its main supplier of solid oak flooring was a Chinese company named Xingjia, which held an FSC “chain of custody” certification, meaning it was licensed to handle FSC-certified timber. According to an investigator in the case, another Chinese company marketing to the United States offered to put an FSC label on illegal wood flooring in exchange for a 10 percent markup.
    • In Peru, investigators determined in 2016 that more than 90 percent of the timber on two recent shipments bound from the Amazon to Mexico and the U.S. was of illegal origin. In what it called an “unprecedented enforcement action,” the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative last October banned the main exporter in those shipments from the U.S. market. That company, Inversiones La Oroza, still boasts on its website that it “complies with the principles and criteria of Forest Stewardship Council (FSC),” though FSC finally suspended its certification in 2017.
    • In 2015, an undercover investigation implicated an FSC-certified Austrian company, Holzindustrie Schweighofer, in illegal logging in Romania, including some in national parks and other protected areas. An FSC expert panel subsequently recommended that the organization “disassociate” from Holzindustrie Schweighofer based on “clear and convincing evidence” of illegality. FSC opted at first for suspension instead. An outcry from environmentalists soon pushed it to break ties with the company, but FSC is already working on a “roadmap” to bring Schweighofer back into certification.

    The cases in China, Peru, and Romania all resulted from undercover operations by the Environmental Investigation Agency, a Washington, D.C.-based nonprofit. “We didn’t mean to go after FSC,” says David Gehl, that group’s Eurasia programs coordinator. FSC just kept turning up in the same places as a lot of illegal logging, he says. Many logging companies appeared to obtain an FSC certification for management practices on one forest, and then use it to cast a halo over their far more extensive dealings in forests elsewhere, with little regard for sustainability or even legality.

    The Great Green Wall

    Started in 2007, the Great Green Wall is an enormous project intending to plant a “barrier against climate change running across the Sahel region. This semiarid region of western and north-central Africa extends from Senegal to Djibouti. It forms a transitional zone between the arid Sahara desert to the north and the belt of humid savannas to the south.”

    The United Nations and the World Bank have worked with 11 nations across Africa and spent billions of dollars with mixed success.

    https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/blog/scaling-great-green-wall

    The challenges faced in such an ambition project include failure to engage local land management practice, exclusion of marginalised groups such as youth, women, or ethnic minorities because of local culture, economics and politics, predatory land trading and agricultural interference, a lack of measurement methods to monitor outcomes, and lack of follow through to ensure that planted forests remain cared for until well established.

    The international organisations have worked hard to learn lessons from these struggles and overall, most people consider the project a significant success. The world bank independent assessment group writes …

    Many unqualified statements have and continue to attribute Sahelian greening entirely to the actions of farmers.

    There  are a number of academic studies of the impact of the project. Leonardson et al (2021) available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105656.  quote a range of research.

    One specific example of this is described by FAO specialists Moctar Sacande and Nora Berrahmouni (2016). Investigating four cross-border regions of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger located in dryland ecosystems of the Sahel, they used local farming expertise to identify the selection of suitable native species for large-scale natural capital restoration in the framework of the GGW. Starting from the assessment of local farming needs, the most environmentally well-adapted and economically relevant species were prioritized, quality seeds were collected, and nursery seedlings produced, all under the technical supervision of the villages. Consequently, ‘‘from 2013 to 2015, 55 woody and herbaceous species were planted to initiate restoration of 2,235 ha of degraded land. On average, 60% of seedlings survived and grew well in the field after three rainy seasons” (Sacande & Berrahmouni, 2016:479).

    It is clear then, that while European nations have implemented highly monitored and sophisticated forest management practices, the rest of the world has a long way to go and we have much to learn about supporting nations with limited resources to participate in this important global project.

    https://au.fsc.org/en-au/about-fsc/faqs

    https://www.greatgreenwall.org/results

    https://e360.yale.edu/features/greenwashed-timber-how-sustainable-forest-certification-has-failed

    https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/5-differences-between-fsc-pefc-natasha-stevenson/

  • Creeping decarbonisation begs degrowth

    Creeping decarbonisation begs degrowth

    The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis published a report this week showing that governments are not reducing their use of coal as promised at Paris and, even if they did, it would not be enough to meet the emission reduction promises consistent with 2degrees of warming.

    The graphs outlining the energy descent required to meet the Paris targets are so far removed from the actual projections of governments, it is almost certain that climatic chaos will seriously undermine civilisation.

    From the Production Gap report 2021

    On the other hand, there are indications that the use of coking coal, used to make steel, is beginning to decline as new, cleaner methods of steel production come online. Electric arc furnaces can be used to recycle existing steel and direct reduction processes using hydrogen are moving into production. The decarbonisation of the economy is beginning, but is not happening fast enough, according to the report.

    The real kicker in the conversation, though, is that urgent as greenhouse gas emissions are, they are only one of the existential threats to human life. Biodiversity loss, falling water tables, microplastic pollution, nutrient imbalance and a string of other challenges are just as significant and a lot more difficult to solve. Australia and the US need to reduce our emissions by seven eighths to make the Paris targets, we need to limit our overall consumption by a similar amount to help restore other global systems to balance.

    Carbon tunnel vision ignores the other, urgent existential threats
    https://soundcloud.com/thegeneratornews/carbon-tunnel-vision-and-degrowth
    Listen to the full rave on Soundcloud

    You can read a longer version of this article, based on the on air analysis linked above, at Geoff Ebbs’ blog. Here are links to some of the sources, used to put this together.

    https://productiongap.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/PGR2021_web_rev.pdf

    https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/f1d724d4-a753-4336-9f6e-64679fa23bbf/Coal2021.pdf

    https://ylyp.news/75-embrace-embodied-energy/

    https://www.globalreporting.org/about-gri/news-center/cop26-avoiding-carbon-tunnel-vision/

    https://johnmenadue.com/sunday-environmental-round-up-30-january-2022/
  • Greenwash exposed by YesMen at COP26

    Greenwash exposed by YesMen at COP26

    A poster for a documentary about the Yes Men

    Two official COP26 “Net Zero” programs were exposed as harbouring large elements of greenwash this week by New York based ‘YesMen” and UK-based Glasgow Calls Out Polluters (GCOP).

    The official “Race to Zero” and “Science based Targets” initiatives have been criticised by many academics and environmentalists including Greta Thunberg who tweeted that “net-zero targets [are] being used as excuses to postpone real action.”

    The details of this week’s expose concerns an airline services company, Yasava, who claims to facilitate net-zero flight technology. The real company was falsely included in the official program as a prank by the Yes Men. Other members of these official UN initiatives include major polluters Maersk, Chevron, Halliburton, Delta, United, American, DL Piper, Edelman, JP Morgan, Hitachi, Iberdrola and Unilever.

    https://www.globalcitizen.org/en/content/race-to-zero-net-zero-emissions-climate/

    https://www.greenbiz.com/article/net-zero-faces-fierce-criticism

    https://theyesmen.org/project/yasava/fakerelease

    https://www.gcop.scot/

    https://press.theyesmen.org/press-archive/yasava-thenationalscotland-images/yasava-thenational1.png