Category: General news

Managing director of Ebono Institute and major sponsor of The Generator, Geoff Ebbs, is running against Kevin Rudd in the seat of Griffith at the next Federal election. By the expression on their faces in this candid shot it looks like a pretty dull campaign. Read on

  • Major cities at risk of Brisbane-like flooding

    This includes the Nepean Flood Plains

    Major cities at risk of Brisbane-like flooding

    Updated February 16, 2012 21:33:28

    Flood engineers say the huge floods that devastated Brisbane last year could also happen on a similar scale in Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide, the Gold Coast and Newcastle.

    They argue that thanks to Australia’s three levels of government, flood planning around the country is patchy at best, allowing for houses to be built where they should not.

    On Wednesday, ABC Radio’s PM aired the first of a two-part look at Australia’s flood planning. Now it looks more broadly at how well Australia is prepared for flooding and the battle between development and nature.

    Last week Federal Minister for Emergency Services Robert McLelland stood on a levee bank as floods surrounded the southern Queensland town of Charleville. He liked what he saw.

    “We’ve literally stood up on the levee bank – dry on one side – looking over the moving water on the other,” Mr McLelland said.

    “It unquestionably, unquestionably saved the town and I think from the long-term point of view of resilience, we need to methodically go through these areas that have been effected and look at mitigation steps we can take.”

    Talk to any flood engineer and they will tell you that is an admirable proposal, but they want more.

    Steve Molino, a consultant who has advised on flood plain planning for 20 years, says places which have not flooded recently also need to be examined.

    “You do need to look at the places that have flooded but you also need to look at the places that did not flood,” he said.

    “There’s many places in Queensland that got out of the floods this year and got out of the floods last year scot free, but are at just as much risk of flooding as many of the places that flooded last year or this year.

    “Those places need to be encompassed in any studies that are done.”

    And that is just Queensland.

    Mr Molino says the potential flood risk across all of Australia is “huge”.

    Hayden Betts, who has a PhD in flood plain management and works for KPR consulting engineers in Brisbane, agrees.

    “I’m not sure how many hydrologists and hydro-engineers there are in the country – must be a thousand or two. If they applied their mind to it, I think there’d probably be enough work to keep them going for a decade or three,” he said.

    Patchy preparation

    But Mr Molino says Australia’s flood preparation is patchy.

    “We have places where there are good structural works in place; there are places where structural works are needed,” he said.

    “There are places where there is good town planning place; there are many places where better town planning is needed.”

    All our major cities have been built for historical reasons around rivers and on flood plains, so there are parts of our cities where we really do need to rethink whether those areas should be vacated and put over to other uses.

    Steve Molino

     

    And therein lies the big problem – just who is responsible for planning and dealing with floods in Australia?

    “The responsibility falls to local, state and federal government but it varies around the country,” Mr Molino said.

    Steve Opper, the director of community safety with the New South Wales State Emergency Service, thinks New South Wales has got the balance about right.

    “Our situation I believe is extremely robust,” he said.

    “The State Emergency Service in New South Wales is unique nationally in that we control the management of floods in an emergency context all the way from state level to local government level.

    “In other jurisdictions, quite often it might be just the local council that’s responsible for planning and they may just not have enough expertise to do that.”

    Money is also an issue.

    Take the problem of levees – the raised banks which can protect towns from floods.

    Often state governments might provide the funds to build levees but then leave it to local government to do the maintenance.

    “There are levees that have been built, have settled over decades and are now providing a lower level of protection than they were originally designed to provide,” Mr Molino said.

    “And there are many levees that have just been left to their own devices; there’s been no maintenance undertaken on them and therefore there’s cracks appearing in them, there’s trees growing in them.”

     

    Then there is the problem of protecting our big cities.

    Mr Molino points to the fact that there have been a number of one-in-a-thousand flood events in Australia in the past five years.

    Luckily they have been in sparsely-populated areas, but Mr Molino says the damage would be far worse if a rare flood were to occur in a bigger city.

    “If a flood of that frequency were to occur somewhere like the Gold Coast, on the Hawkesbury Nepean river or on the Georges River – they’re major rivers running through Sydney – floods of that type of frequency, and they do occur around the world all the time, were they to occur in one of those areas, we’re talking about tens of thousands of houses under water and many of those homes washed away,” he said.

    “And Melbourne is not immune. Melbourne has the Yarra and the Maribyrnong River and other rivers – as Melbourne expands – going into other catchment areas.

    “The Torrens through Adelaide hardly ever flows, but it can flood.

    “The Swan River in Western Australia.

    The balance between how much development we put in an area and the flood risk is a very complex one; between what you can achieve to create housing and places for people to live against the risk that you place when you live almost anywhere.

    Steve Opper

     

    “All our major cities have been built for historical reasons around rivers and on flood plains, so there are parts of our cities where we really do need to rethink whether those areas should be vacated and put over to other uses.”

    National leadership

    For Mr Opper, who has drawn up the plan for evacuating tens of thousands of houses in western Sydney, proper town planning is part of flood preparation.

    “The balance between how much development we put in an area and the flood risk is a very complex one; between what you can achieve to create housing and places for people to live against the risk that you place when you live almost anywhere,” he said.

    Last year, the state and federal governments signed off on a national strategy for disaster resilience, which deals with floods.

    It makes note that all levels of government must share the responsibility.

    But some people believe that system does not work.

    Dr Anthony Bergin, the director of research at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, says the federal government should be taking the lead.

    “Now’s the time for the Commonwealth to take a leadership role in natural disaster planning, particularly flood plain planning,” he said.

    “The new Federal Emergency Management Minister Robert McLelland needs to be arguing an economic case for disaster mitigation around micro-economic reform, because a dollar spent in mitigation – flood mitigation – does save somewhere between two and $10 in reduced disaster response and recovery costs.

    “And this could be the opportunity for him to leave a legacy of national leadership around disaster management.”

    Topics:floods, emergency-planning, federal-government, states-and-territories, local-government, australia, sydney-2000, surfers-paradise-4217, adelaide-5000, melbourne-3000

    First posted February 16, 2012 20:44:15

  • Science daily:Severe Weather news

    ScienceDaily: Severe Weather News


    Time of year important in projections of climate change effects on ecosystems

    Posted: 15 Feb 2012 12:53 PM PST

    Based on more than 25 years of data, ecologists looked at how droughts and heat waves affect grass growth during different months of the year.

    Extreme summer temperatures occur more frequently in U.S. now, analysis shows

    Posted: 15 Feb 2012 11:31 AM PST

    Extreme summer temperatures are already occurring more frequently in the United States, and will become normal by mid-century if the world continues on a business as usual schedule of emitting greenhouse gases. By analyzing observations and results obtained from climate models, a new study has shown that previously rare high summertime (June, July and August) temperatures are already occurring more frequently in some regions of the 48 contiguous United States.

    NASA science aircraft to travel the globe in 2012

    Posted: 15 Feb 2012 06:58 AM PST

    With missions scheduled throughout the year, 2012 is shaping up to be an extraordinary time for NASA’s Airborne Science Program and Earth system science research. Multiple aircraft and specialized instruments will operate in the United States, Europe, Asia and South America this year in support of studies conducted by NASA and the Earth science community, improving scientists’ understanding of our planet.

    Research yields better seasonal climate forecasts

    Posted: 13 Feb 2012 10:30 AM PST

    Arctic sea ice is rapidly retreating. Within a few decades the North Pole could be completely ice-free in summer. How will that affect our weather? In the research project “Seasonal Predictability over the Arctic Region” (SPAR), scientists in Norway have made some discoveries that may lead to more reliable seasonal forecasts.

    You are subscribed to email updates from ScienceDaily: Severe Weather News

  • More on Volcanoes

    Vicious Volcanoes Around the World
    CTV.ca
    Whether they’re erupting lava, exploding or throwing ash sky high, volcanoes are a sight to be seen. CTVNews.ca looks at 10 of the world’s most violent volcanoes of the past two decades. AP Photos / CTVNews.ca Popocatepetl is one of Mexico’s most
    See all stories on this topic »

    USGS opens volcano observatory
    The Almanac Online
    The US Geological Survey, however, also thinks “volcanoes.” CalVO, their new volcano observatory, opened Feb. 9 at the Menlo Park branch of the USGS. The list of volcanoes currently on CalVO’s watch list includes Mount Shasta, Medicine Lake Volcano,
    See all stories on this topic »
    Terrible Noise — Volcano as imagery is apt
    Yakima Herald-Republic
    One I am drawn to is songs about volcanoes. And books. And movies, though I will say right here that in my experience, the only good film ever made about a volcano is “Return of the King,” and that’s going a little off-message.
    See all stories on this topic »
    Exploring eruptions: Research on volcanoes could one day help save lives
    PhysOrg.com
    John Lyons near a microseismicity station located below Antisana volcano, in Ecuador. Cara Shonsey photo Geology takes the long view. It is a field, after all, in which the pace of change spans billions of years. John Lyons, however, is interested in
    See all stories on this topic »

    PhysOrg.com


    SB COUNTY MUSEUM: Why the earth is a place of earthquakes and volcanoes
    Press-Enterprise
    “I will explore why there is a ‘Ring of Fire’ circling the Pacific Rim, producing numerous earthquakes and volcanoes, and the culprit in the great Tohoku earthquake and tsunami of last year, as well as our own San Andreas Fault.
    See all stories on this topic »

    Press-Enterprise
    UW geologist becomes National Geographic Explorer
    Casper Star-Tribune Online
    He walks into smoldering volcanoes, through war zones and takes samples from Earth’s most remote freezing places. Sims is equal parts scientist and explorer. He doesn’t go into the field simply for the adventure. He also doesn’t propose a project
    See all stories on this topic »
    Scientists discover reason Mt. Hood tends to be quiet
    Albany Democrat Herald
    CORVALLIS — For a half-million years, Mount Hood has towered over the landscape, but unlike some of its cousins in Oregon’s Cascade Mountains and many other volcanoes around the Pacific “Rim of Fire,” it doesn’t have a history of large,
    See all stories on this topic »
  • Catastrophic flood could sink Sydney suburbs

    Catastrophic flood could sink Sydney suburbs

    Updated February 16, 2012 11:02:51

    As Queensland carries out an inquiry into deadly flooding in that state, the spotlight has turned to other parts of Australia and how well they would be prepared for a catastrophic flood.

    The Hawkesbury Nepean Valley in Sydney’s outer suburbs has a history of massive floods, and while there has not been a big one for more than a century, plans are in place for such an event.

    The suburbs of Penrith and Emu Plains straddle the high banks of the Nepean River in what is a typical picture of Australian suburbia – lots of brick houses, probably built around the 1960s and ’70s.

    But up to 70,000 people would have to be evacuated if a major flood was to hit the area.

    The suburbs sit in a flood plain, and if a flood like the one which hit in 1867 was to occur, the whole area could go under.

    Newspaper reports from the time describe an inland sea that destroyed houses, farms and crops and killed at least 13 people. The town of Windsor, downstream from Emu Plains, was submerged.

    The enormous body of water rushing down with relentless force on its way to the sea could not be easily described, nor its effects conceived.

    About the neighbourhood of Windsor, now that the waters are fast subsiding, the scene is most dreary, and the destruction caused becomes every day more apparent.

    The feeling of bitter anguish expressed not in words but in the blank look of utter despair would move the most hardened.

    John Thomas Smith, Sydney Morning Herald, July 2, 1867

     

    Steven Molino is principal of Molino Stewart, an environment and natural hazards consultancy that has been working on flood plain management for 20 years.

    “The 1867 flood was around 19.5 metres here. So all of these houses would be flooded at least to the eaves, if not higher, in a repeat of the 1867 flood,” he said.

    He says a major flood today would probably destroy many houses in Emu Plains.

    ‘Hard to comprehend’

    Steve Opper, director of community safety with the State Emergency Service, says the Hawkesbury Nepean Valley has a unique shape that can lead to catastrophic flooding.

    “The Hawkesbury Nepean Valley is throttled down by a narrow gorge down near what’s called Sackville, which is just upstream of Wiseman’s Ferry,” he said.

    “The result of that is that the water can flow into the top of the system very, very rapidly, can’t get out, and so you get very dramatic rises in the level of the river.

    “So normal river level might be two metres; if you’re at the town of Windsor and in the most extreme thought possible, that could rise up to 26 metres, which is a number that’s quite hard to comprehend.”

    That is seven metres higher than the 1867 flood which submerged the valley.

    Even if the 1867 flood was repeated, tens of thousands of people would have to be moved.

    Mr Opper has designed the evacuation plan for the valley.

    “Our contingency planning for evacuation for that valley indicates that we would have to evacuate between 40,000 and 70,000 people just depending on the level of flooding that we’re expecting,” he said.

    “It’s a very large number; it would no doubt be probably the largest evacuation of its kind in New South Wales.”

    Fatal depths

     

    Alan Ashworth’s house in Emu Plains overlooks the Nepean River and is in the firing line. It is a double-storey house set high on his block and seems way above the level of the river below.

    But the historic record shows his house could be flooded.

    Mr Ashworth says he does not have a detailed flood plan.

    “Basically anything downstairs you’d move upstairs. By the time we get water on this section of the road, basically you’ve lost Richmond, Windsor and all that,” he said.

    Even so, Mr Opper says moving everything upstairs may not be good enough.

    “The difference with this valley is that if people stay there, then the depths the water could get to are almost certainly fatal,” he said.

    “And so you can’t even take an option of saying well, maybe if people don’t get out it’ll be OK because they’ll be able to survive in their house; that’s just not an option in this valley.”

    Because of this, a spillway has been built on the Warragamba Dam upstream from the river and roads have been built and upgraded to help with the evacuation.

    These measures will help, but when a big flood comes – and the odds say it will – it will not be stopped.

    Mr Molino says the 1867 flood had about a one-in-200 chance of occurrence.

    “It can happen. And we have sedimentary evidence from the gorge upstream of Penrith that there’s been at least one, if not more floods as large as or larger than a one-in-500 flood in this valley,” he said.

    “Elsewhere in the country we’ve had floods of that probability.

    “These things do happen. They don’t always happen where there’s people or houses, but when they do we have a major catastrophe.”

    This report is the first of a two-part look at Australia’s flood planning.

    On ABC Radio’s PM on Thursday, David Mark will look more broadly at how well Australia is prepared for flooding and the battle between development and nature.

    Topics:disasters-and-accidents, floods, emu-plains-2750, nsw, penrith-2750

    First posted February 15, 2012 21:06:33

  • WORLD OCEAN CURRENTS

    WITH ICEMELT AND SEA-LEVEL RISE THESE CURRENTS WILL LIKELY ALTER AND SEA- LEVEL RISES MAY NOT BE UNIFORM. OCEANOGRAPHY IS FASCINATING. NOTE THE CURRENTS OFF THE QUEENSLAND COAST, WHICH WILL AFFECT OUR EASTERN COASTLINE AS SEA-LEVEL RISES

     

    Ocean current

    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    Jump to: navigation, search

    The ocean currents

    Perpetual Ocean.ogv

    Distinctive white lines trace the flow of surface currents around the world

    An ocean current is a continuous, directed movement of ocean water generated by the forces acting upon this mean flow, such as breaking waves, wind, Coriolis effect, cabbeling, temperature and salinity differences and tides caused by the gravitational pull of the Moon and the Sun. Depth contours, shoreline configurations and interaction with other currents influence a current’s direction and strength.

    Ocean currents can flow for great distances, and together they create the great flow of the global conveyor belt which plays a dominant part in determining the climate of many of the Earth’s regions. Perhaps the most striking example is the Gulf Stream, which makes northwest Europe much more temperate than any other region at the same latitude. Another example is the Hawaiian Islands, where the climate is cooler (sub-tropical) than the tropical latitudes in which they are located, due to the effect of the California Current.

    Contents

    [hide]

    [edit] Function

    Major ocean surface currents, (Source: NOAA)

    Device to record ocean currents

    Surface ocean currents are generally wind-driven and develop their typical clockwise spirals in the northern hemisphere and counter-clockwise rotation in the southern hemisphere because of the imposed wind stresses. In wind-driven currents, the Ekman spiral effect results in the currents flowing at an angle to the driving winds. The areas of surface ocean currents move somewhat with the seasons; this is most notable in equatorial currents.

    Ocean basins generally have a non-symmetric surface current, in that the eastern equatorward-flowing branch is broad and diffuse whereas the western poleward-flowing branch is very narrow. These western boundary currents (of which the gulf stream is an example) are a consequence of basic fluid dynamics.

    Deep ocean currents are driven by density and temperature gradients. Thermohaline circulation, also known as the ocean’s conveyor belt, refers to the deep ocean density-driven ocean basin currents. These currents, which flow under the surface of the ocean and are thus hidden from immediate detection, are called submarine rivers. These are currently being researched using a fleet of underwater robots called Argo. Upwelling and downwelling areas in the oceans are areas where significant vertical movement of ocean water is observed.

    Surface currents make up about 10% of all the water in the ocean. Surface currents are generally restricted to the upper 400 m (1,300 ft) of the ocean. The movement of deep water in the ocean basins is by density driven forces and gravity. The density difference is a function of different temperatures and salinity. Deep waters sink into the deep ocean basins at high latitudes where the temperatures are cold enough to cause the density to increase.

    Ocean currents are measured in Sverdrup (Sv), where 1Sv is equivalent to a volume flow rate of 1,000,000 m3 (35,000,000 cu ft) per second.

    [edit] Importance

    A 1943 map of the world’s ocean currents.

    Knowledge of surface ocean currents is essential in reducing costs of shipping, since they reduce fuel costs. In the sail-ship era knowledge was even more essential. A good example of this is the Agulhas current, which long prevented Portuguese sailors from reaching India. Even today, the round-the-world sailing competitors employ surface currents to their benefit. Ocean currents are also very important in the dispersal of many life forms. An example is the life-cycle of the European Eel.

    Ocean currents are important in the study of marine debris, and vice versa. These currents also affect temperatures throughout the world. For example, the current that brings warm water up the north Atlantic to northwest Europe stops ice from forming by the shores, which would block ships from entering and exiting ports.

    [edit] OSCAR: Near-realtime global ocean surface current data set

    The OSCAR near-realtime global ocean circulation data set is based on NOAA and NASA satellite data (sea level altimetry, surface vector winds, and SST). The data set extends from 1993–present and is available at 1-degree and 1/3-degree resolution. The OSCAR data are continuously updated on an interactive website from which users can create customized graphics and download the data. A section of the website provides validation studies in the form of graphics comparing OSCAR data with moored buoys and global drifters.

    OSCAR data are used extensively in climate studies. Monthly maps and anomalies have been published in the monthly Climate Diagnostic Bulletin since 2001, and are used routinely to monitor ENSO and to test prediction models. OSCAR currents are routinely used to evaluate the surface currents in Global Circulation Models (GCMs), for example in NCEP Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Data and relevant publications and references are available on the OSCAR website.

    [edit] See also

  • Research on Volcanoes

    Exploring Eruptions: Research on Volcanoes Could One Day Help Save Lives
    Michigan Tech News
    By Dana Yates John Lyons near a microseismicity station located below Antisana volcano, in Ecuador. Cara Shonsey photo Geology takes the long view. It is a field, after all, in which the pace of change spans billions of years.
    See all stories on this topic »

    Michigan Tech News
    Mount Hood eruption ‘style’ studied
    UPI.com
    Studies show the volcano has never experienced an explosive eruption exhibited by other volcanoes in Oregon, Washington and across the Pacific “ring of fire” despite having similar chemical magma composition and gas content, a university release said
    See all stories on this topic »
    Dr. Shanaka de Silva Answers Your Questions About Supervolcanoes, Uturuncu and
    Wired News
    Are so called ‘supervolcanoes’ regular strato/shield volcanoes before their first major eruption? Dr. de Silva: These are great questions that deal with something very close to my heart which is the critical importance of heat delivery to a volcanic
    See all stories on this topic »
    Weatherman Sean Batty finds out more about the Icelandic climate
    stv.tv
    The STV weatherman travelled to Iceland to find out how Icelandic volcanoes affect the climate and weather. Scotland is well known for being a cold, wet and windy country, with an unpredictable climate that can go from being sunny one minute to pouring
    See all stories on this topic »

    stv.tv
    Unknown volcanes caused the Little Ice Age
    Canada Free Press
    Now, a new computer “study” announced that volcanoes caused the Little Ice Age! A research team led by Gifford Miller of the University of Colorado says eruptions of four volcanoes just before AD 1300 spewed huge amounts of sulphates into the air,
    See all stories on this topic »
    Hawaii’s volcanic gases spur renewed disaster declaration for the agriculture
    Live Insurance News
    The state is well known for its many volcanoes, which have become an attraction for tourists around the world. While the volcanoes are famously beautiful and awe inspiring, they are also the source of dangerous emissions that can kill plant life and
    See all stories on this topic »

    Live Insurance News
    Exploring the myths of the Yellowstone supervolcano
    High Country News (blog)
    Nor did the earthquake swarm indicate a potential volcano eruption. In fact, earthquake swarms are common in the park. They have occurred as recently as January 2010, when the northwestern edge of the Yellowstone Caldera started to experience what
    See all stories on this topic »

     


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