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  • Can energy utilities keep their customers, or will they flee the grid? Giles Parkinson

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    Daily update: Can energy utilities keep their customers, or will they flee the grid?

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    2:34 PM (10 minutes ago)

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    Research says one-third of electricity customers will change suppliers or quit the grid – what will the utilities do? Plus: A heartfelt solar plea to Abbott; BHP’s climate concession; 1000s set to attend Friday rallies for RET; why the future energy giants will not be the usual suspects; federal MP’s rant against environmentalists taps into terror; UN climate summit special briefing; how gas is ruining it for renewables; the truth about the Arctic ice melt; and more big solar moves from SolarCity.
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    Energy utilities have decided to take solar and storage seriously after all, as new research says one third of customers will take their energy supply elsewhere, or even leave the grid, as solar, batteries and electric vehicles provide new options.
    A 2MW solar plant Conergy Australia is building in New Caledonia will be heart-shaped: a message to the Abbott government to ‘start loving solar.’
    BHP Billiton says it is factoring climate into all its investments, unlike the Australian government. The statement comes as Ian Dunlop says he will run again for the board.
    Thousands of renewables workers and supporters set to picket government offices across Australia to demand support for the 41,000GWh by 2020 RET.
    Australia could be a big winner in global race towards an energy-efficient, renewable energy future. But it would mean cannibalising existing energy industries, a challenge ducked by Kodak.
    Federal MP George Christensen equates environmental activism with terrorism, says ‘gutless green germs’ are attacking Australian livelihoods.
    A summary of the major announcements on climate pledges, climate finance and forestry, and whether they are new.
    New study suggests  push toward natural gas is not only a distraction from “decarbonizing” the U.S., it could also make climate change worse.
    According to polar scientist Dr Dirk Notz, the question isn’t why is Arctic sea ice melting so fast, it’s how come we have any left at all?
    SolarCity strikes a deal with New York for solar manufacturing plant. The projected economic boost is good news today. Will it continue into the future?
  • This year’s Arctic sea ice minimum is sixth lowest on record

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    This year’s Arctic sea ice minimum is sixth lowest on record

    • 22 Sep 2014, 17:39
    • Robert McSweeney

    The eight lowest measurements of Arctic summer sea-ice extent occurred in the last eight years, scientists confirmed today.

    The findings were presented by Professor Julienne Stroeve from the National Snow & Ice Data Centre (NSIDC) at a Royal Society conference on Arctic sea ice reduction.

    On the 17th September satellites recorded the Arctic summer minimum extent at 5.01 million square kilometers (sq km). Stroeve confirmed that this year’s summer sea-ice extent is the sixth lowest on record, in a series of satellite measurments stretching back over thirty years.

    Sea-ice minimum

    Mid to late September marks the end of the Arctic summer, and the point when Arctic ice is at it’s smallest extent, before it freezes up again as temperatures fall in the autumn.

    Measurements of sea ice taken over the past decades suggest the rate of sea-ice loss is accelerating.

    Between 1979 and 1996 Arctic sea ice declined at around 36,000 sq km a year, on average. Since 1997, the rate of loss has accelerated to dramatically, to 130,000 sq km per year.

    The two trends are statistically different from each other, which means there is less than five per cent chance the change has happened by chance. “We can argue that in the last several years there is an accelerated rate of decline,” Stroeve says.

    She also says there’s a clear link to rising temperatures. While sea ice conditions vary a lot from one year to the next, the summers with the warmest summer temperatures have seen the lowest sea ice extents:

    “If you look at the last two minimum [Arctic sea-ice] low years – 2007 and 2012 – especially 2007 it was very warm… 2007 is the warmest summer we’ve had.”

    Arctic sea ice - conditions in context.

    Thick ice

    Scientists have also found that the amount of older, thicker ice is diminishing. Stroeve’s research finds a reduction in the amount of ice at least five years old.

    Usually around 90 per cent of old ice persists through the summer melt season and into the winter. In recent years this has dropped to around 70 percent, she says.

    This is important because old ice will be replaced by new, thinner ice as the sea refreezes in winter. Thin ice is more susceptible to being broken up by storms and will melt more easily the following year, say scientists. Only around 30 per cent of first-year ice survives the average summer.

    During the 1980s or 1990s, in an average year, around 54 to 58 per cent of ice in the Arctic would be first-year ice. Last year it was 77 per cent.

    Melt season

    Another important factor in monitoring changes in the Arctic is the length of the melt season. Ice melt is starting earlier and lasting longer, says Stroeve.

    In particular, scientists have found a delay in when the sea-ice starts to freeze again after the summer. For example, in some areas of the Beaufort Sea north of Canada and Alaska, the sea isn’t freezing again until almost two months later than usual.

    Stroeve points to warmer sea surface temperatures as the likely cause. While this might not come as a surprise, this could suggest a link between the sea surface temperature at an earlier point in the year and the length of the meltwater season.

    This could allow scientists to predict when the melt season is going to end and when the ice would start to freeze again.

    A later session at the conference examined the current state of Antarctic sea ice, that we’ll be covering tomorrow.

  • Daily update: Australia’s economic and political strategy – deny climate change

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    2:57 PM (14 minutes ago)

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    Australia’s economic and political strategy is to pretend climate change isn’t happening. Plus: Did the NY Climate Summit deliver?; Four stunning graphs to show how renewables compete with fossil fuels; ARENA boosts coffers with Geodynamics funding cut; What 100% renewables looks like globally; Obama’s climate speech; transitive energy; are EVs cheaper than petrol cars yet?; and How Malmö Sweden is leading on sustainability.
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    Australia’s energy blueprint, and its international politicking, is based on the hope that fossil fuels continue to rule. Given the momentum of international investors, it’s a hopelessly misguided strategy.
    …Depends who you ask. A summary of the practical outcomes of the UN Climate Summit in New York shows there was some level of success.
    Graphs from Lazard underline how wind and solar is competing with fossil fuels, offering low cost abatement, and pushing out gas peakers.
    ASX-listed geothermal outfit Geodynamics agrees to $30m reduction to ARENA grant, as Agency recoups funds from scrapped projects.
    Whichever you cut a zero emissions energy scenario for Australia, solar accounts for more than half of energy demand.
    World Future Council produces handbook which covers all energy, not just electricity & with a focus on cities and communities in various parts of the world.
    Obama says U.S. is committed to climate action and that it wants to cooperate with other countries in finalizing a meaningful global climate treaty.
    Debating how to treat solar vs. non-solar customers is mostly focused on what are the costs and benefits associated with serving the former.
    Are EVs finally cheaper to buy than the traditional petrol car? Analysis shows they are, particularly with solar.
    From A Decaying Industrial Area to an Eco-Friendly City: Malmö, Sweden is Leading the Way
  • Disasters could cost world $421B by 2030: Report

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    Disasters could cost world $421B by 2030: Report

    21 Hours Ago

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    COMMENTSJoin the Discussion

    The increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events could cost the world 328 billion euros ($421 billion) per year by 2030, the Red Cross and the European Commission warned on Monday.

    “Disasters take lives and ruin prospects, often making the situation of already impoverished people even worse,” said European Union Commissioner for International Cooperation, Humanitarian Aid and Crisis Response Kristalina Georgieva in a news release from the Red Cross on Monday.

    Peter Macdiarmid | Getty Images

    The warning came as the Red Cross—a global humanitarian aid charity—and the European Commission—the executive body of the European Union—launched a joint communications campaign on the importance of preparing for disasters.

    In the last 20 years, the impact of extreme weather has affected 4.4 billion people worldwide, killing 1.3 million people and causing 1.5 trillion euros in economic losses, according to the Red Cross. It calculates that every 0.77 euros spent on disaster risk reduction saves 11.47 euros in return.

    This year, several European countries have suffered severe flooding. In May, floods hit entire regions of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia, resulting in several dozens of casualties in both countries. Damages and economic losses amount to around 2 billion euros in Bosnia and 1.5 billion euros in Serbia.

    Read MoreSerbia comes in from the cold with EU ambitions

    Earlier in the year, heavy storms flooded around 6,000 homes in the U.K. The country experienced the wettest January on record and widespread flooding continued into February.

    The Red Cross/European Commission warning came one day ahead of the United Nations’ Climate Summit in New York.

    Although the Red Cross drew no direct link between extreme weather events and climate change in its news release, it forecast that around 375 million people would be hit by climate-related disasters each year by 2015.

    10 economies hit hard by climate change

    Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah, Reuters

    Last week, a report by the Global Commission on the Economy and Climate concluded that action against climate change need not sacrifice economic growth—despite widely held views to the contrary.

    “The low-carbon growth path can lead to as much prosperity as the high-carbon one, especially when account is taken of its multiple other benefits: from greater energy security to cleaner air and improved health,” concluded the 70-page Better Growth Better Climate report, which was published last Tuesday.

    Read MoreIs climate change key to the spread of Ebola?

    World energy demand will grow by a third by 2030, according to Felipe Calderon, the former president of Mexico who chairs the global; climate commission. During that time, some $90 trillion is seen being invested in infrastructure affecting the world’s cities, land use and energy systems.

    For climate change activists like Calderon, this represents an opportunity to move away from reliance on high-carbon pollutants.

    At present, carbon usage varies widely across developed world cities. According to Calderon, carbon emissions per person from public and private transportation in Atlanta, Georgia, are 10 times higher than in Barcelona, Spain. The U.S. city is marked by urban sprawl and spotty public transport, while Spain’s second-biggest city is more compact and has invested heavily in mass transit.

    These states are at the biggest risk of disaster

    Source: CoreLogic2014

    “We are not suggesting decoupling economic growth from energy demands; but decoupling from carbon emissions,” said Calderon.

    “Although many jobs will be created, and there will be larger markets and profits for many businesses, some jobs will also be lost, particularly in high-carbon sectors,” said the authors of the report.

  • The coming climate revolt (climate Code Red)

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    climate code red


    The coming climate revolt

    Posted: 22 Sep 2014 09:56 PM PDT

    by Chris Hedges, first published at TruthDig

    New York climate march, 21 September 2014

    Author and columnist Chris Hedges made these remarks on Saturday 20 September 2014 at a panel discussion in New York City titled “The Climate Crisis: Which Way Out?” The other panelists were Bill McKibben, Naomi Klein, Kshama Sawant and Sen. Bernie Sanders. The event, moderated by Brian Lehrer, occurred on the eve of the People’s Climate March in New York City. For a video of some of what the panelists said, click here.

    We have undergone a transformation during the last few decades—what John Ralston Saul calls a corporate coup d’état in slow motion. We are no longer a capitalist democracy endowed with a functioning liberal class that once made piecemeal and incremental reform possible. Liberals in the old Democratic Party such as the senators Gaylord Nelson, Birch Bayh and George McGovern—who worked with Ralph Nader to make the Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act, the Mine Safety and Health Act, the Freedom of Information Act and the OSHA law, who made common cause with labor unions to protect workers, who stood up to the arms industry and a bloated military—no longer exist within the Democratic Party, as Nader has been lamenting for several years. They were pushed out as corporate donors began to transform the political landscape with the election of Ronald Reagan. And this is why the Democrats have not, as Bill Curry points out, enacted any major social or economic reforms since the historic environmental laws of the early ’70s.

    We are governed, rather, by a species of corporate totalitarianism, or what the political philosopher Sheldon Wolin describes as “inverted totalitarianism.” By this Wolin means a system where corporate power, while it purports to pay fealty to electoral politics, the Constitution, the three branches of government and a free press, along with the iconography and language of American patriotism, has in fact seized all the important levers of power to render the citizen impotent.

    The old liberal class, the safety valve that addressed grievances and injustices in times of economic or political distress, has been neutered. There are self-identified liberals, including Barack Obama, who continue to speak in the old language of liberalism but serve corporate power. This has been true since the Clinton administration. Bill Clinton found that by doing corporate bidding he could get corporate money—thus NAFTA, the destruction of our welfare system, the explosion of mass incarceration under the [1994] omnibus bill, the deregulation of the FCC, turning the airwaves over to a half dozen corporations, and the revoking of FDR’s 1933 Glass-Steagall reform that had protected our banking system from speculators. Clinton, in exchange for corporate money, transformed the Democratic Party into the Republican Party. This was diabolically brilliant. It forced the Republican Party to shift so far to the right it became insane.

    By the time Clinton was done the rhetoric of self-professed liberals was a public relations game. This is why there is continuity from the Bush administration to the Obama administration. Obama’s election did nothing to halt the expanding assault on civil liberties—in fact Obama’s assault has been worse—the Bush bailouts of big banks, the endless imperial wars, the failure to regulate Wall Street, the hiring of corporate lobbyists to write legislation and serve in top government positions, the explosion of drilling and fracking, the security and surveillance state as well as the persecution of government whistle-blowers.

    This audience is well aware of the Democratic Party’s squalid record on the environment, laid out in detail in a new Greenpeace report written by Charlie Cray and Peter Montague, titled “The Kingpins of Carbon and Their War on Democracy.” The report chronicles what it calls “a multi-decade war on democracy by the kingpins of carbon—the coal, the oil, and gas industries allied with a handful of self-interested libertarian billionaires.”

    The Obama administration, in return for financial support from these kingpins of carbon, has cynically undermined international climate treaties, a fact we discovered only because of the revelations provided by Edward Snowden and WikiLeaks. It uses its intelligence agencies, these revelations revealed, to spy on those carrying out climate negotiations to thwart caps on carbon emissions and push through useless, nonbinding agreements. The Obama administration has overseen a massive expansion of fracking. It is pushing through a series of trade agreements such as the TPP and the TAFTA that will increase fracking along with expanding our exports of coal, oil and gas. It authorized the excavation of tar sands in Utah and Alabama. It approved the southern half of the Keystone pipeline. It has permitted seismic testing for offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, the East Coast and in parts of Alaska, a process that kills off hundreds of sea mammals. It authorized drilling within four miles of the Florida coastline, violating one of Obama’s 2008 campaign promises. This expansion of offshore drilling reversed 20 years of federal policy.

    If we appeal to self-identified liberals in the establishment who have no capacity or desire to carry out the radical reforms, we will pour energy into a black hole. And this is what the corporate state seeks. It seeks to perpetuate the facade of democracy. It seeks to make us believe what is no longer real, that if we work within the system we can reform it. And it has put in place a terrifying superstructure to silence all who step outside the narrow parameters it defines as acceptable.

    The Democratic Party speaks to us “rationally.” The party says it seeks to protect civil liberties, regulate Wall Street, is concerned about the plight of the working class and wants to institute reforms to address climate change. But in all these areas, and many more, it has, like its Republican counterpart, repeatedly sold out the citizenry for corporate power and corporate profits—in much the same manner that Big Green environmental groups such as the Climate Group and the Environmental Defense Fund have sold out the environmental movement.

    To assume that Obama, or the Democratic Party, because they acknowledge the reality of climate change, while the lunatic fringe of the Republican Party does not, is better equipped to deal with the crisis is incorrect. Republicans appeal to one constituency. The Democrats appeal to another. But both parties will do nothing to halt the ravaging of the planet.

    If Wolin is right, and I believe he is, then when we begin to build mass movements that carry out repeated acts of civil disobedience, as I think everyone on this panel believes we must do, the corporate state, including the Democratic Party, will react the way all calcified states react.  It will use the security and surveillance apparatus, militarized police forces—and, under Section 1021 of the National Defense Authorization Act, the military itself—to shut down all dissent with force. The legal and organizational mechanisms are now in place to, with the flip of a switch, put the nation effectively under martial law. When acts of mass civil disobedience begin on Monday morning with Flood Wall Street and later with Occupy the U.N., the face of the corporate state will, as it did during the Occupy movement, reveal itself.

    If the response of the corporate state is repression rather than reform then our strategy and our tactics must be different. We will have to cease our appealing to the system. We will have to view the state, including the Democratic Party, as antagonistic to genuine reform. We will have to speak in the language of … revolution. We will have to carry out acts of civil disobedience that seek to cripple the mechanisms of corporate power. The corporate elites, blinded by their lust for profit and foolish enough to believe they can protect themselves from climate change, will not veer from our path towards ecocide unless they are forced from power. And this means the beginning of a titanic clash between our corporate masters and ourselves.

  • Daily update: Australia urged to set 50% renewables target by 2030

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    Australia urged to go to 50% renewables by 2030 as first step to zoo carbon energy by 2050, South Australia aims for 50% renewables by 2025; been energy paper focuses on gas, coal and nuclear; fossil subsidies may amount to $39bn a year says new report, how solar will bring about a people’s energy revolution, why Rockefellers dumped Big Oil for renewables. And more:
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    Australia urged to set 50% renewables target by 2030 Giles Parkinson
    Major new report from ClimateWorks suggests Australia should aim for 50% renewables by 2030, as important stepping stone to zero-carbon economy by 2050 – when we will still have air-conditioning, drive cars, and enjoy a thriving economy.
    Abbott energy green paper mentions gas 434 times, coal 100 times and nuclear 67. Storage gets 32, solar 26, and wind energy just 13 mentions.
    Australia could go to zero net emissions by 2050, without compromising prosperity and with new economic opportunities if the world goes low carbon.
    Report says unpriced CO2 pollution is biggest energy subsidy ‘by far,’ costing Australia $14-39bn in damage to economy, environment, health, and security.
    South Australia says it has already met its 33% renewable target, and will lift this to 50% for 2025 – if the national RET stays in place.
    Solar power is the spark to energize a new energy economy from the bottom up.
    EU collaboration including Australia’s Carnegie Wave Energy closes in on developing standardised, self-contained offshore electricity generator.
    The heirs to the fortune of US oil tycoons John and William Rockefeller have divested their funds fossil fuel investments and reinvested them in renewables.
    Citigroup says annual solar installations will more than double in Australia by 2020, with global market set to jump to 51GW in 2015.
    Team UOW’s net-zero energy Illawarra Flame House – based on a converted fibro shack – wins another award, this time for engineering excellence.
    Penetration rates of no-carbon generation have increased from 50% to 56% in recent years in Europe.