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  • Popular Cities Battling Sea Level Rise

    Popular Cities Battling Sea Level Rise

    Jul 2, 2013 06:30 AM ET // by Tim Wall
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    Popular Cities Battling Sea Level Rise

    New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina.

    Mark Moran, U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

    The world’s coastal cities are some of the most beautiful, culturally vibrant and heavily populated urban areas. They are also some of the most popular places for summer vacations. However, rising sea levels threaten these areas.

    The Earth’s oceans rose by an average 7.7 inches (195 mm) between 1870 and 2004, according to a study in Geophysical Research Letters. Projections by the U.S. National Research Council warn that the seas could rise a further 22 to 79 inches (56 to 200 cm) during the 21st century.

    Here are nine popular areas endangered by the encroaching ocean.

    New Orleans Surge Barrier Put to First Test: Analysis

    New Orleans

    New Orleans faces a double threat from both land and sea.

    The muddy foundation of the city is not firm enough to support the city. As New Orleans sinks into its feet of clay, the Gulf of Mexico is rising around it.

    The disastrous flooding after Hurricane Katrina in 2005 put the Big Easy on defense mode, but even the best efforts may not be enough.

    Much of New Orleans already lies 5 to 10 feet (1.5 to 3 meters) below sea level. A report from the U.S. Geological Survey warned that the ocean could rise 8 to 13 feet (2.5 to 4 meters) above the city by 2100.

    Rockaway New York , Nov. 11, graffiti signed with the message Global Warming on Rockaway beach in front of a home destroyed by Hurricane Sandy.

    Julie Dermansky/Corbis

    New York City also experienced havoc wrought by the surging seas during a storm. After Superstorm Sandy submerged parts of the city and took the lives of 43 people, Mayor Michael

  • World view of global warming – ocean acidification (photos)

    World view of global warming – ocean acidification (photos)

    Posted: 02 Jul 2013 04:55 AM PDT

    Shellfish growers in the Northwest adapt to a changing ocean, treat seawater to maintain chemistry for tiny oyster larvae.

    The record high amounts of carbon dioxide being spewed into the atmosphere by humans is causing more than global warming and changes across the land. The ocean absorbs CO2 in a natural part of the carbon cycle, but since the industrial revolution and human fossil fuel burning began, a great deal more has been absorbed than in centuries past. NOAA says that when carbon dioxide is absorbed by seawater, chemical reactions occur that reduce seawater pH, carbonate ion concentration, and saturation states of biologically important calcium carbonate minerals. These chemical reactions are termed “ocean acidification.” Calcium carbonate minerals are the building blocks for the skeletons and shells of many marine organisms. Historically, the average pH of seawater around the globe is 8.2. Since the industrial age began, the average pH of surface oceans has decreased to 8.1, a 30% increase in acidity. This change is beginning to affect all ocean creatures which build shells, including reef-building corals which are already under stress from ocean warming. Especially affected are plankton, the tiny plants and animals at the base of the ocean food chain, including the larvae of shellfish. In the Pacific Northwest, the oyster industry, with an $84 million yearly value and employing 3,000, is already seeing and reacting to the effects of unhealthy ocean water.

     

    On Dabob Bay, across Puget Sound from Seattle on Hood Canal near Quilcene Washington, is the oyster hatchery of Taylor Shellfish Farms. Water is drawn from the cold Puget Sound water for the oysters, clams and the algae grown at this facility. Water pollution had been the greatest concern here until recently. Now ocean uptake of human CO2 emissions has increased the acidity of seawater and decreased the amount of available calcium carbonate that shellfish need to grow and keep their shells. The hatchery has just begun treating the incoming water to maintain the optimum pH and carbonate chemistry for their oysters.

    Hatchery Production Manager Benoit Eudeline checks the water chemistry monitors at Taylor Shellfish Farms hatchery on Hood Canal, Puget Sound, Washington. The hatchery draws water from deep and shallow intakes. In the past, deep water was better, colder, less polluted. Now, the more immediate danger of acidification and resulting changes in the carbonate chemistry has caused the hatchery to draw more water from 3-4 feet deep shallower water, which is usually more alkaline. The newly installed monitors show the pH of seawater being pumped on the day these photos were made (May 20, 2013) to be pH 7.35 in the deep water and pH 8.1 in the shallower water. Historically, the average pH of seawater around the globe is 8.2. Since the industrial age, the average pH of surface oceans has decreased to 8.1, a 30% increase in acidity. The water here is continuously monitored for concentration of CO2, alkalinity, pH, temperature and carbonate chemistry levels. The hatchery strives to maintain a pH of 8.0 and optimum carbonate chemistry for raising oysters from the egg stage to young oysters ready to plant in beds. To do so, for the first time this year, Eudeline’s staff treats the more acidic seawater with sodium carbonate as it enters the hatchery.

    In these scanning electron microscope images by Elizabeth Brunner and Dr. George Waldbusser of Oregon State University, Pacific oyster larvae from the Taylor Shellfish Hatchery are shown affected by acidic, unfavorable chemistry of ocean water (right) compared to healthy larvae of the same age raised in favorable water chemistry. The scientists say the images show signs of impaired shell growth, defects, and creases and suggestions of the shells being dissolved. From the very first day of their life, oysters begin to build shells using just the energy in their yolks, and that can be inhibited by acidity and cause the shell buiding may fail.

    The first few days of growth are crucial, Waldbusser told news media: “They must build their first shell quickly on a limited amount of energy–and along with the shell comes the organ to capture external food,” said Waldbusser. The unfavorable ocean water has high amounts of pCO2 (determined by dissolved CO2 and carbonic acid), and low concentration of aragonite, the kind of calcium carbonate used by shellfish to grow their shells. Such water conditions occur at Dabob Bay, home of the Taylor hatchery and Netarts Bay, OR, where the Whiskey Creek Shellfish Hatchery is located. Whiskey Creek was a close collaborator in recent research by Waldbusser, Brunner and colleagues, showing how oysters are affected by ocean changes brought on by CO2 emissions.

    (NOTE: each larva shown is a different organism, and should not be interpreted as the same larvae ageing through time. The scale bar in the upper right panel is 0.1 mm, or approximately the diameter of a human hair.) Photo courtesy Taylor Shellfish from OSU.

    Taylor Shellfish Farms hatchery on Hood Canal, Puget Sound, Washington, grows seven to eight different species of algae, also in water treated for the correct chemistry, to feed the oyster larvae as they develop. The oysters begin as fertilized eggs and grow for about three weeks into tiny oysters ready to find a home – to settle — on the company’s beds in Washington and Hawaii.

    Benoit Eudeline checks on the growth of oyster larvae in an experiment using different kinds of algae for food. All the algae and oyster larvae tanks are filled with water treated to combat acidification. Taylor Shellfish Farms hatchery on Hood Canal, Puget Sound, Washington.

    A row of 10,000 gallon tanks are filled overnight with more than 1 billion oyster eggs from the spawning of selected oysters at Taylor Shellfish Farms hatchery on Hood Canal, Washington. The fertilized oyster larvae are pumped into the giant tanks shown here which are filled with seawater treated with carbonate and containing algae, the oysters’ food. The oyster larvae begin immediately to make shells within their first 24 hours increasing from from microsopic (see photo 3) to about 300 microns, about half to one third size of a newspaper period, in about two weeks. “Since the very early larvae are making shell from aragonite (calcium carbonate) and they must go from no shell to a shell within 24 hrs,” hatchery manager Benoit Eudeline says, “the first few days are critical” — thus the need for treating the water to counteract acidity and low carbonate saturation.

    Chief larval technician Vicki Jones filters oyster larvae from the giant rearing tanks at Taylor Shellfish Farms hatchery in Washington. The mesh screen she is using catches eight day old oysters that are roughly 140 microns (about the width of a human hair) and larger. Some of these younger larvae are being shipped to Kona, Hawaii, where they will be grown until ready to settle on beds at that Taylor facility. Other young larvae will continue to grow for another one to two weeks at this hatchery.

    Taylor Shellfish has been experimenting with continuous flow tanks for growing the oysters from eggs to tiny shellfish ready to be settled on oyster beds in the bay. Instead of very large tanks, the oyster larvae — looking like silt being poured into this tank — are in smaller tanks in which measured quantities of algae food and water treated to the optimum pH with calcium carbonate are continuously circulated.

    Chief larval technician Vicki Jones weighs out drained oyster larvae which looks like mud because the individual oysters are nearly invisible like silt and they have taken on the color of the algae they eat. At this stage of growth, about eight days old, there are about one million larvae in 1.2 grams of the material. Bags of larvae in this state are trucked and Fed Ex shipped to Taylor Shellfish Farms oyster beds in Washington and Hawaii.

    Seen through a microscope, a healthy 12 day old oyster larvae, with its cilia for motion and gathering in algae to eat and form its tiny shell, has the color of the algae it has been eating. Acidification and reduction of saturated argonite (calcium carbonate) in the ocean due to CO2 emissions can inhibit shell growth in these tiny (300 micron) animals. When they are slightly larger they are ready to take a fixed position on a substrate like shell fragments on commercial oyster beds.

    For more information on the latest research and how carbon dioxide emissions affect the ocean please see NOAA at http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/What+is+Ocean+Acidification%3F and National Science Foundation’s story on recent research at Oregon State University. http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=128228

    Gary Braasch, World view of global warming, July 2013. Article and photos.

  • WA population growth rate almost double the national average: Tim Lawless

    WA population growth rate almost double the national average: Tim Lawless

    By Tim Lawless
    Tuesday, 02 July 2013

    According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australia’s population grew to record 22.9 million people now living in the country at the end of 2012.

    The growth was driven by strong net overseas migration which accounts for 60% of the total population growth.

    A record number of births added to the annual tally.

    This figure now equates to an increase in Australia’s national annual population growth of 1.75% over the December 2012.

    While the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) recorded 22.9 million residents at the end of last year, a more recent estimate of the current population can be seen in the ABS Population Clock which is currently indicating a national population of 23.094 million residents.

    Click to enlarge

    Victoria trumped the pack as the state to record the highest levels of population growth across the country’s states and territories for the 2012 calendar year where an additional 99,548 residents now reside in the state.

    Overseas migration accounted for 56.4% of the state’s growth, however, a larger than average proportion of Victoria’s population growth was from natural increase (41.8%), while a very small proportion can be attributed to interstate migration flows (1.7%).

    Queensland recorded the second largest number of new residents at 92,453, followed by New South Wales where there were 90,441 more residents over the year.

    The contributing components of population growth were quite different between Queensland and New South Wales.

    While both states are sourcing the majority of their population growth via overseas migrants, Queensland has historically recorded a substantial net interstate migrant inflow; last year 11,354 net new residents moved to Queensland from other Australian states while New South Wales lost a net 17,761 residents to other states.

    Click to enlarge

    In raw numbers, Western Australia recorded the fourth largest number of new residents (+83,031) but was the state to record the fastest rate of population growth by quite a wide margin.

    At almost twice the pace of the national average, Western Australia’s population increased by 3.5 % over the 2012 calendar year and has attracted the third largest number of net overseas migrants with 52,306 new permanent or long term residents moving to Western Australia over the calendar year.

    The Australian Capital Territory (ACT) also recorded a rapid rate of population growth, up 2.3 % over the 2012 calendar year; the second fastest growth rate of any state or territory.

    With the impending election and possible cuts to the Federal Government labour force, we would presume this rate of population growth is likely to slow during 2013.

    Tasmania and South Australia recorded the least amount of population growth, up by 0.9% and 0.1% respectively.

    Interstate migration has been a drain on both states with a net 2,650 Tasmanian’s moving to another state or territory and 3,345 net South Australians moving interstate over the year.

    Nationally, Australia’s population growth is comprised of the net rate of overseas migration plus the rate of natural increase that is births minus deaths.

    Click to enlarge

    Overseas migration is the most significant contributor to population growth, equating to 60% of national population growth.

    The rate of natural increase has seen a substantial rise due to a large number of new births and a decline in the number of deaths over the year.

    There were 305,400 births in Australia over the past twelve months, the largest number on record.

    Tim Lawless is national research director of RP Data.

  • Identifying Climate Impact Hotspots Across Sectors

    Identifying Climate Impact Hotspots Across Sectors

    July 1, 2013 — One out of 10 people on Earth is likely to live in a climate impact hotspot by the end of this century, if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated. Many more are put at risk in a worst-case scenario of the combined impacts on crop yields, water availability, ecosystems, and health, according to a new study.


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    It identifies the Amazon region, the Mediterranean and East Africa as regions that might experience severe change in multiple sectors. The article is part of the outcome of the Intersectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP) that will be featured in a special issue of PNAS later this year.

    “Overlapping impacts of climate change in different sectors have the potential to interact and thus multiply pressure on the livelihoods of people in the affected regions,” says lead-author Franziska Piontek of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research. “This is why we focus on multisectoral impacts around the world, which turn out to be felt in developed as well as developing countries.”

    The study is the first to identify hotspots across these sectors while being based on a comprehensive set of computer simulations both for climate change and for the impacts it is causing. Modelling groups from all over the world collaborated under the roof of the ISI-MIP project to generate consistent data. This is an unprecedented community effort of climate impact researchers worldwide to elucidate the risks that humankind is running. It aims at laying a new foundation for future analyses of the consequences of global warming.

    “Now we looked for instance into the water availability during the last thirty years,” says co-author Qiuhong Tang of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. “We took as the threshold the water availability only undercut by the three driest years. When the average water availability in our projections under global warming sinks below this threshold, we call this severe. So what today is considered extreme could become the new normal.” This is the case in the Mediterranean.

    The combination of multiple different impact and climate models increases — even though this at first glance seems to be a contradiction in terms — both the robustness and the spread of results. “We get a broader range in projections of future crop yields, for example, when we recognize assumptions in both the climate and the impact model processes. However, locations with strong agreement among model approaches are more reliable hotspots than those identified by a projection based on just one model with all its underlying assumptions,” says co-author Alex Ruane of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. “It allows for a risk management perspective — in the hotspot parts of Africa, for instance, even small temperature rises can lead to additional losses that many small farmers simply cannot afford.”

    The study takes a conservative approach with regard to model agreement. To make allowance for the large spread of results, the scientists also computed a worst case-scenario, based on the most worrying 10 percent of computer runs. This assessment shows a large additional extent of multisectoral climate impacts overlap, with almost all the world’s inhabitated areas affected.

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  • Improving Crop Yields in a World of Extreme Weather Events

    Improving Crop Yields in a World of Extreme Weather Events

    July 1, 2013 — When plants encounter drought, they naturally produce abscisic acid (ABA), a stress hormone that helps them cope with the drought conditions. Specifically, the hormone turns on receptors in the plants. Botanists have identified an inexpensive synthetic chemical, quinabactin, that mimics ABA. Spraying ABA on plants improves their water use and stress tolerance, but the procedure is expensive. Quinabactin now offers a cheaper solution.


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    Farmers in the United States witnessed record-breaking extremes in temperature and drought during the last two summers, causing worldwide increases in the costs of food, feed and fiber. Indeed, many climate scientists caution that extreme weather events resulting from climate change is the new normal for farmers in North America and elsewhere, requiring novel agricultural strategies to prevent crop losses.

    Now a research team led by Sean Cutler, a plant cell biologist at the University of California, Riverside, has found a new drought-protecting chemical that shows high potential for becoming a powerful tool for crop protection in the new world of extreme weather.

    Named “quinabactin” by the researchers, the chemical mimics a naturally occurring stress hormone in plants that helps the plants cope with drought conditions.

    Study results appear online this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

    All land plants have intricate water sensing and drought response systems that are tuned to maximize their fitness in the environments they live in. For example, plants in environments with low water grow slowly so that they do not consume more water than is available.

    “But since farmers have always desired fast-growing varieties, their most valued strains did not always originate from drought-tolerant progenitors,” explained Cutler, an associate professor of plant cell biology. “As a result, we have crops today that perform very well in years of plentiful water but poorly in years with little water. This dilemma has spawned an active hunt for both new drought-tolerant crops and chemicals that farmers might use for improving crop yield under adverse conditions.”

    Working on Arabidopsis, a model plant used widely in plant biology labs, Cutler and his colleagues focused their efforts on tinkering with one of the plant endogenous systems involved in drought responses. Plant leaves are lined with tiny pores, called stomata, which dynamically open and close to control the amount of water lost to the environment by evaporation. So that the plants can acquire carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, the pores need to be open some of the time, resulting in some loss of water.

    During drought the stomata close firmly to limit water loss. Behind the scenes, a small hormone called abscisic acid (ABA) orchestrates the opening and closing of the pores. Cells throughout the plant produce increasing amounts of ABA as water levels decrease. ABA then moves throughout the plant to signal the stressful conditions and close the stomata. Inside plant cells, ABA does its job by turning on a special class of proteins called receptors. The discovery in 2009 of ABA receptors by the same team behind the current breakthrough was heralded by Science magazine as one of the top breakthroughs of 2009 because of its relevance to the drought problem.

    “If you can control the receptors the way ABA does, then you have a way to control water loss and drought-tolerance,” Cutler said. “It has been known for many years that simply spraying ABA on plants improves their water use and stress tolerance, but ABA itself is much too expensive for practical use in the field by farmers.”

    To address this problem, Cutler and his team searched through many thousands of molecules to identify inexpensive synthetic chemicals that could activate the receptors by mimicking ABA. The team found and named quinabactin, a molecule they show is almost indistinguishable from ABA in its effects, but much simpler chemically and therefore easier to make than ABA. By studying how the new molecule activates the ABA receptors that are involved in drought tolerance, the team also has learned more about the underlying control logic of the stress response system and provided new information that can be used for others interested in developing similar molecules,

    “This is a competitive arena that includes agrichemical giants who are busily working to bring similar drought-protecting molecules to market, so this is a landmark discovery because quinabactin is the first-in-class synthetic molecule of its kind,” Cutler said.

    The work reported this week is the first in a multistep process of bringing a new agricultural product to market. Given the complexity and costs of such a process, the UCR Office of Technology Commercialization (OTC) is working with an agricultural leader, Syngenta Biotechnology, Inc., to develop the technology.

    Joyce Patrona, a licensing officer in OTC, is coordinating UCR’s licensing efforts for quinabactin.

    “It has become very apparent to industry engaged in this area of technology of the robustness of Dr. Cutler’s research,” she said. “This is a credit to Dr. Cutler and his team as well as to UCR for its commitment to bring innovative research to the marketplace.”

    Cutler’s collaborators on the research project are Brian Volkman and Francis Peterson at the Medical College of Wisconsin, who helped unravel the mechanism by which quinabactin mimics ABA by determining the atomic structure of the new molecule bound to one of its cellular receptors. Others who worked with them are Masanori Okamoto (first author of the research paper), Andrew Defries and Sang-Youl Park at UCR; and Akira Endo and Eiji Nambara at the University of Toronto, Canada.

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  • Coastal Regions Experiencing Dramatic Changes in Climate

    Coastal Regions Experiencing Dramatic Changes in Climate

    Jul 01, 2013 09:06 AM EDT
    man

    (Photo : REUTERS/Stringer )

    According to a new study, coastal regions are experiencing greater climatic changes when compared to other regions. The study included analysis of data of coastal ocean temperatures over the past three decades.

    The researchers, Dr. Hannes Baumann of Stony Brook University School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (SoMAS) and Dr. Owen Doherty of Scripps Institution of Oceanography, found that there was a dramatic change in climate conditions in the coastal regions. The South American Pacific coasts, for example, have been cooling in the past few years due to colder water from the deeper part of the ocean being pushed to the coastal region, a phenomenon called upwelling.

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    However, some areas have gotten warmer such as the North Pacific and North Atlantic coasts, where researchers found the temperatures were three times higher than the global average.

    Scientists say that diversity in the temperatures could lead to dramatic changes in the population of native marine life. Oceans are complex and delicate systems and a recent study has shown that marine organisms will require centuries to adapt to current changes in the environment.

    According to another study, State of Maryland sea level could rise by as much as two feet by 2050.

    “The world is getting flatter,” said Baumann in a news release. “Coastal waters at high (cold) latitudes warm much faster than at low (warm) latitudes, hence the majority of the world’s coastal temperature gradients are getting shallower.  This could cause dramatic reorganization of organisms and ecosystems, from small plankton communities to larger fish populations.

    Many organisms that live in the northern coasts differ genetically from the southern organisms so that they can adapt to their habitat. With further study, we want to explore how changes in coastal ocean temperature gradients could predict large-scale changes in the ecosystem,” Baumann added.

    The study “Decadal Changes in the World’s Coastal Latitudinal Temperature Gradients,” is published in the journal PLOS One.