Author: Neville

  • Greens claim victory in seat of Melbourne

    Victoria Decides

    9:14pm November 29, 2014

    Greens claim victory in seat of Melbourne

    Australian Greens deputy leader Adam Bandt and Victorian Greens candidate for the seat of Melbourne Ellen Sandell. (AAP)

    Australian Greens deputy leader Adam Bandt and Victorian Greens candidate for the seat of Melbourne Ellen Sandell. (AAP)

    AAP

    AAP

    The Greens have claimed the seat of Melbourne in the Victorian election, the party’s first seat in the state’s lower house, with Ellen Sandell expected to win.

    Ms Sandell was loudly cheered as she thanked the party faithful for their support in winning the Greens’ first ever lower house Victorian seat at underground inner city laneway bar.

    “This victory doesn’t belong to me at all, it belongs to all that knocked on doors, made calls and spent your evenings, your nights working for the Greens,” Ms Sandell, 29, told those gathered at a bar in the Melbourne CBD on Saturday night.

    “I’ll work every day starting tomorrow for a fairer society and a cleaner economy.”

    The Greens, with 26 per cent of the vote counted, had 51 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, putting the party on track to remove Labor’s Jennifer Kanis.

    “You have told us that you do not want an $18 billion toll road ripping up our city, instead you want a 21st century public transport network. You have told us that you want politicians who actually have a climate change and environment policy,” Ms Sandell said.

    The Victorian leader of the Greens and upper house member, Greg Barber, declared the victory was down to a grassroots campaign.

    “We did it! And we did it with a bottom up, grassroots, one vote at a time, door-to-door campaign and everyone of you participated in that and you know that,” he said.

    The Greens are also in with a chance to take Richmond from Labor.

    Federal Melbourne MP Adam Bandt and senators Sarah Hanson-Young and Christine Milne were in the bar to celebrate the victory.

    Mr Barber said the Greens hoped to win the balance of power in the upper house as well as other lower house seats.

    He promised to try to stop the sale of the Port of Melbourne and redirect federal funds for the East West Link to public transport.

    Green supporters were in a giddy mood and turned up the music, continuing the partying on a historic night for the party.

    © AAP 2014

    Read more at http://www.9news.com.au/national/2014/11/29/09/58/greens-hope-for-vic-power-balance#WyUSme20kkm31Dv3.99

  • Victoria’s next premier Daniel Andrews thanks his ‘secret weapon’ as he claims victory

    Victoria Decides

    10:44pm November 29, 2014

    Victoria’s next premier Daniel Andrews thanks his ‘secret weapon’ as he claims victory

    November 29, 2014: Victorian premier-elect Daniel Andrews thanks his “secret weapon” – his wife Cath – as he claims victory in the 2014 election.

    9NEWS

    9NEWS

    Victorian Labor leader Daniel Andrews is set to become the 48th Premier of Victoria, thanking his wife Catherine, who he referred to as his “secret weapon” and his “best friend”.

    Mr Andrews addressed Labor Party supporters at the Mulgrave Country Club to confirm incumbent Premier Denis Napthine had conceded.

    IN PICTURES: Meet Daniel Andrews, the new Victorian Premier

    The Labor leader’s victory is a sign of concern for Coalition Prime Minister Tony Abbott, 9NEWS Political Editor Laurie Oakes has said.

    During final discussions on the 9NEWS election panel, Mr Oakes said “federal issues, federal personalities were a factor” and that “Tony Abbott and his government were a millstone around Denis Napthine’s neck”.

    November 29, 2014: Nine’s political editor Laurie Oakes says the Victorian election result is a warning sign for the Abbott government.

    November 29, 2014: Victorian premier-elect Daniel Andrews accepts victory for the Labor party at their headquarters.

    “Victorian Liberals say it privately, they’re furious about the hug, when Tony Abbott hugged Denis Napthine he earned the enmity of virtually the entire state Liberal party,” he said.

    However, Mr Andrews’ victory speech focused mostly on state issues.

    “On behalf of all Victorians I want to thank Denis Napthine for his gracious concession,” he said.

    “I wish Denis Napthine, his wife Peggy and their family all the very best for the future.”

    Mr Andrews then turned his attention to his party’s policies and election promises.

    “Victorians today have voted for better local roads and better public transport,” he said.

    “Victorians have voted to end the war on our ambos.”

    Do you think Victoria has made the right choice?

    Opposition leader Daniel Andrews and his wife Cath. (AAP)

    November 29, 2014: Federal opposition leader Bill Shorten speaks to Nine’s Seb Costello on arrival at the Victorian Labor headquarters.

    Mr Andrews said Victorians had voted to get Victoria back to work.

    “Work will begin tomorrow because I will not waste even a single day on delivering each of the commitments we made,” he continued.

    “I will not accept four more years like the last four and neither will the people of this great state.”

    Do you support Labor’s plan to scrap Melbourne’s East West link?

    Marchers protest the East West link. (AAP)

    November 29, 2014: Former Premier Denis Napthine concedes defeat in the Victorian election.

    Do you support Labor’s plan for 24 hour pharmacies in Victoria?

    He then thanked the people in his electorate of Mulgrave, as well as his party colleagues.

    Mr Andrews made special mention of his wife Cath, who had been dubbed his “secret weapon” during the campaign.

    “I think in many respects she is our secret weapon,” he said.

    “This campaign has been a joy, it has been such a humbling process to move throughout the community and to be able to do it with my best friend has been so special, Cath, thank you so much.”

    Dr Napthine had conceded defeat during an address to the Liberal Party faithful at the Sofitel Hotel in Melbourne.

    At 10pm Dr Napthine addressed the waiting crowd to acknowledge he had called Mr Andrews to congratulate him and officially concede defeat.

    November 29, 2014: Former premier Denis Napthine ends his concession speech at the Victorian Liberal party headquarters by announcing he will step down as leader.

    “The figures clearly indicate there has been a swing to the Labor party and they will have a majority in the legislative assembly,” he said.

    Dr Napthine made a point of congratulating Mr Andrews on his victory.

    “Can I say at the same time I am extremely proud to have had the great privilege of being the Premier of this great state of Victoria,” he continued.

    “This is the greatest state in the best country in the world and I am particularly proud that today in 2014 Victoria is a better, stronger, more financially secure state then when we came to government four years ago.”

    Dr Napthine also used his speech to draw attention to the changes and achievements made while he was Premier.

    He also thanked Coalition candidates and their families for the support they had shown the government.

    After thanking his own family, Dr Napthine announced he would be stepping down as leader of the Liberal Party.

    “It is time for renewal, it is time for change,” he said.

    At 8.40pm 9NEWS Political Editor Laurie Oakes called an election victory for Daniel Andrews and the Victorian Labor party.

    November 29, 2014: Independent MP for Frankston Geoff Shaw has received a swift “kick” after losing his seat during the Victorian Election.

    Who do you think is a more trustworthy leader for Victoria?

    It marks the first time in 50 years a first-term government has failed to win re-election in Victoria.

    But Dr Napthine was not the first person on election day to officially be shown the door.

    Former Liberal MP turned Independent Geoff Shaw was the first to officially be given “The Boot” by Mr Oakes.

    Introducing The Boot: Laurie Oakes gets a kick out of Nine’s new election technology

    November 29, 2014: Nine’s political commentators quiz Independent MP for Frankston Geoff Shaw on the night of the Victorian Election.

    Australian Greens deputy leader Adam Bandt and Victorian Greens candidate for the seat of Melbourne Ellen Sandell. (AAP)

    Australian Greens deputy leader Adam Bandt and Victorian Greens candidate for the seat of Melbourne Ellen Sandell. (AAP)

    Mr Shaw had spoken with 9NEWS about becoming an Independent and his hopes of holding on to the seat of Frankston.

    Just after 8pm Mr Shaw conceded defeat.

    Greens candidate Ellen Sandell is set to become the party’s first state MP, pushing ahead in the seat of Melbourne.

    The party is also strongly in contention in Richmond, Brunswick and the hotly-contested seat of Prahran, where sitting Liberal member Clem Newton-Brown is likely to become one of the higher-profile MPs to lose their seat.

    Celebrity candidate, rocker Tex Perkins, won nearly four percent of the vote in Albert Park, likely to be retained by Labor’s Martin Foley.

    The exclusive Nine Election Day Galaxy poll has predicted victory for the Victorian Labor Party. (9NEWS)

    The exclusive Nine Election Day Galaxy poll has predicted victory for the Victorian Labor Party. (9NEWS)

    November 29, 2014: The exclusive 9NEWS Election Day Galaxy poll has predicted a win for the Victorian Labor Party in tonight’s election.

    Mr Perkins’ platform was almost solely based on saving the historic Palais Theatre in St Kilda and raising awareness for its plight.

    “I knew I didn’t have to do much to make a difference – any percentage was going to make a difference,” he told Fairfax Media from Queensland, having reportedly flown up this morning.

    For full coverage of the Victorian election, visit http://www.9news.com.au/victoriadecides

    Who do you trust to manage Victoria’s economy?

    Read more at http://www.9news.com.au/national/2014/11/29/16/59/exclusive-nine-election-day-poll-predicts-victory-for-victorian-labor#TCW177MHjqSVBjCf.99

  • Budget Farewell: What Abetz and Hockey wouldn’t let Abbot do

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    Budget Farewell: What Abetz and Hockey wouldn’t let Abbot do

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    Mark – GetUp!

    4:45 PM (14 minutes ago)

    to me

    Dear NEVILLE,

    What a dog’s breakfast. On Wednesday, the Prime Minister’s office said the GP copayment was done and dusted.1 But within hours, senior party members from Senator Eric Abetz to Treasurer Joe Hockey were sticking with the policy (and throwing the PM overboard).2

    This breach opened by the Government’s “policy chaos” is our moment to act — by making clear this Budget’s not coming back, just as Parliament wraps for the year. So next Wednesday, on the lawns of Parliament House, GetUp members will join with key political leaders and the Canberra Press Gallery for a not-so-fond farewell to the Abbott Budget, as it’s banished to the open seas.

    Complete with a ‘barnacle’-laden boat, we’ll strike champagne across the bow as the band plays, the choir sings and GetUp members wave white hankies adieu. With nowhere left to go in the Senate, we’ll ship Abbott’s brutal budget back to America, from whence many of its brutal policies came.

    But the heart of this event will be thousands of ‘Good Riddance!’ postcards from GetUp members from across the country delivered straight to Mr Abbott’s doorstep. Bringing messages from everyday Australians together with the political leaders who’ve blocked the Budget in the Senate, will be a show of national unity that no Government could afford to ignore.

    Click here to send your farewell message to Mr Abbott’s brutal Budget before it sets sail next Wednesday at Parliament House.

    When Prime Minister Abbott promised Coalition MPs he would knock “one or two barnacles off the ship” before Christmas,3 he didn’t expect GetUp members to hang his policy barnacles off an enormous prop boat on the Government’s front doorstep. Our stunt will feed the media compelling visuals of a bungled Budget-boat bound for the USA, where many of its misguided policies were born, tried and failed.

    We’ve even brought in an entertainment expert with decades of experience to create the biggest spectacle possible – not to mention a film crew to record it all to share the fun nationwide.

    This media event will be the grand finale for 2014 of a hard-fought budget campaign, making waves in Canberra and in the headlines just as Parliament ends for the year. But it’s crucial that Australians from every state and territory are at the heart of it, by sending in their ‘Good Riddance!’ messages, to demonstrate the ongoing, widespread rejection of this unfair budget. Will you ‘jump on board’?

    https://www.getup.org.au/bon-voyage-budget

    For months, more than 100,000 GetUp members, and one million Australians, have marched, signed, shared, tweeted, emailed, called, and funded posters, billboards and TV ads, mapping out the multitude of ways the Abbott Budget harms our communities. From universal healthcare, to protecting our social safety net and keeping our universities affordable for all, we’ve banded together in remarkable fashion to pressure crossbench senators to stand strong against the brutal budget.

    Now 10 points behind in the latest Newspoll, the Government’s in panic stations.4 So in this key moment of Government paralysis and indecision, we’re going to send a message as clear as day: adios deregulated uni fees, so long Newstart waiting period, good riddance US-style healthcare. Click here to send yours!

    Thanks for all you do,
    Mark, Nat, Lily and Georgina, for the GetUp team

    PS – Our entertainment expert is charging full steam ahead, securing bargain deals to create a showy spectacle as Parliament draws to a close. There’ll be an enormous ‘barnacle’-covered boat, big brass band, choir, thousands of ironic farewell postcards and white handkerchiefs to wave for each and every attendee. Can you chip in help make this happen? https://www.getup.org.au/good-riddance

    References:
    [1] & [2] “GP co-payment crisis caps off Abbott government’s ‘worst week’”, Sydney Morning Herald, 28 November 2014
    [3] “Christmas message: Tony Abbott prepares to knock the ‘barnacles off the ship’”, Sydney Morning Herald, 26 November 2014
    [4] “Newspoll boost for Labor and Bill Shorten, bad news for Tony Abbott and government”, news.com.au, 18 November 2014

  • Scientists Produce New Map of Ocean Currents

    Scientists Produce New Map of Ocean Currents

    Nov 27, 2014 by Sci-News.com

    An international group of scientists using data from ESA’s Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer (GOCE) has created the most accurate map of ocean currents to date.

    The ocean currents and their speeds, in cm/s, derived from GOCE data. Image credit: ESA / CNES / CLS.

    The GOCE satellite is the first space mission to employ ‘gradiometry,’ the measurement of gravitational differences between an ensemble of test masses inside the satellite.

    It was developed by an industrial consortium of 45 companies distributed over 13 European countries, and embodied many world-firsts in its design and use of new technology in space to map Earth’s gravity field in unprecedented detail.

    In order to achieve its very challenging mission objectives, the octagonal, 1,100-kg, 5-meter-long satellite was orbiting at a height of just 260 km, because the gravitational variations are stronger closer to Earth.

    On 21 October 2013, the mission came to an end when it ran out of fuel. Three weeks later, the satellite disintegrated in the lower atmosphere.

    Although its flight is over, the wealth of data continues to be exploited to improve our understanding of ocean circulation, sea level, ice dynamics and Earth’s interior.

    Using GOCE and ground data, Dr Marie-Hélène Rio from the Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate of the Italian National Research Council and her colleagues have produced the most comprehensive map of ocean currents to date.

    “The accurate estimate of ocean surface currents, as provided today by the combination of GOCE and altimetry data, is crucial for the better understanding of the ocean dynamics,” Dr Rio said.

    “In particular, the assimilation of this information into operational ocean monitoring and forecasting systems will provide highly valuable new insight into the present and future state of the ocean.”

    The new map is just one of many GOCE results presented November 25, 2014 at the 5th International GOCE User Workshop in Paris, France.

  • The John James Newsletter no 33

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    The John James Newsletter 33 – FEEDBACK PLEASE

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    John James

    12:00 PM (52 minutes ago)

    to John
    Dear friends
    In 32 issues over four months I have tried to balance the so-called public news with the hidden. By its nature this is not always pleasant nor without hope. I try to be real, and give you thoughtful analyses to match the events.
    Is this what you want? Is this useful? Do I continue sending this out or modify the way I do it?
    1. I have tended to send out 2 a week Is this too many? Weekly, Fortnightly, Monthly?
    2. If less, what should I do with news that could, but should, not wait (such as No 25)?
    3. I have given lots on what I consider to be the most important issues, such as Putin and Russia, as their views have been censored out. Wanted?
    4. Similarly with the growing wealth gap that is eating away at both democracy and freedom. Wanted?
    5. And always our attack on the climate.
    6. I include the good news wherever it is ‘newsworthy’ and not just to give it space. Even among my sources there is not much as the reality is that we do live in difficult and tumultuous times. An issue that Rick Steves points out below.
    **** So, please send me your views.
    If you like the Newsletter either send it to your friends or get them to join this list.
    Tune Out Cable News and Turn Away Fear 
    After traveling and lecturing across the United States in recent months, it strikes me that our nation has never been so racked with fear. The paramount concern is “national security”: the fear that apocalyptic forces outside America’s borders – Islamic State, Ebola, immigrants from Latin America – will creep in and overwhelm us … Opinions end up being shaped by sensationalistic media coverage geared toward selling ads. Sadly, fear-mongering politicians desperate for your vote pile on too. Commercial television news is hammering “the land of the brave” with scare tactics as never before … Don’t let fear-mongering politicians and ratings-crazed news channels shape the way you see our world.
  • Arctic Decline Doubles Severe Winters In Eurasia 26.10.2014

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    Pacific Heat

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    by several oceans says
    Sybren Drijfhout here
    Satellite measurements of
    volcanoes underestimates
    cooling effect here
    Tropical storm intensity
    has not increased with
    global warming here
    Record warmth in the
    Pacific report scientists
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    Arctic Decline Doubles Severe Winters In Eurasia

    26.10.2014

    26.10.2014 18:00 Age: 32 days

    Declining Arctic sea ice has doubled the probability of severe winters in Europe and Asia, according to research published in Nature Geoscience.

    Click to enlarge. Fig a (caption below).

    Click to enlarge. Fig b (caption below)

    Click to enlarge. Fig c (caption below).

    Click to enlarge. Fig d (above). Caption for all figures: Observed and simulated change in winter SAT and atmospheric circulation associated with sea-ice retreat in the Barents–Kara region. a,b, Differences of composite fields between the low- and high-ice years (that is, the former minus the latter) for SAT (colour) and SLP (contours) in DJF, taken from ERA-Interim (a) and the 100-member ensembles of the LICE and HICE experiments (b). Contour interval is 0.8 hPa in a and 0.2 hPa in b, with negative contours dashed. Stippling indicates regions of significant difference exceeding 95% statistical confidence. c,d, Differences of composite fields between the low- and high-ice years (that is, the former minus the latter) for Z500 in DJF, taken from ERA-Interim (c) and the 100-member ensembles of the LICE and HICE experiments (d). Stippling indicates regions of significant difference exceeding 95% statistical confidence. Courtesy: authors and Nature Geoscience.

     

    Severe winters across Europe and Asia are twice as likely as a result of the decline in Arctic sea ice, according to new research.

    Computer simulations have linked the observed decline in sea ice in the Arctic since 2004 with an increased probability of the occurrence of persistent atmospheric circulation patterns, known as blocking patterns, suggests a study published online in Nature Geoscience.

    These blocking situations favour the transport of cold air to Eurasia, and hence create conditions for severe winters in the region, the researchers write in their paper, entitled “Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades”.

    The researchers, led by Masato Mori of the Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, ran multiple simulations to arrive at their conclusion. They performed 200 slightly different computer simulations of the global atmospheric circulation using a computer model based on two distinct settings for Arctic sea-ice concentrations. These settings were derived from observations in years with high and low ice cover, respectively.

    They discovered that atmospheric blocking patterns, leading to cold air transport and severe winter conditions occurred twice as often in the low sea ice scenario model runs. This approach showed that as a result of sea ice reduction in the Arctic, Barents and Kara seas, the probability of severe winters has more than doubled across Eurasia.

    Analysing existing climate model projections for twenty-first century climate they found that this phenomenon is likely to be temporary because continued global warming is expected to outweigh the impact of sea ice decline towards the end of the twenty-first century; although they caveat this with a reference to uncertainties about the future evolution of Arctic and mid-latitude climates.

    This new study agrees with previous work that the decline in sea ice cover in the Barents-Kara Sea area in early winter has led in recent years to unusually cold winters throughout Eurasia, including the UK, according to Colin Summerhayes, Emeritus Associate of the Scott Polar Research Institute in the UK.

    Summerhayes explains that the warming of the atmosphere associated with the absence of sea ice weakens the high level winds of the polar vortex. That in turn leads to meandering of the jet stream, with the meanders becoming stuck which is what meteorologists call ‘blocking’. This pull cold air south out of the Arctic, and because the system is stuck in position, the cold air supply can last quite a while.

    Summerhayes points out that other factors also influence the polar vortex that controls the jet stream and so more research is needed to see how the interaction of all the controlling factors may affect the pattern of blocking in a warming world.

    Abstract

    Over the past decade, severe winters occurred frequently in mid-latitude Eurasia, despite increasing global- and annual-mean surface air temperatures. Observations suggest that these cold Eurasian winters could have been instigated by Arctic sea-ice decline, through excitation of circulation anomalies similar to the Arctic Oscillation. In climate simulations, however, a robust atmospheric response to sea-ice decline has not been found, perhaps owing to energetic internal fluctuations in the atmospheric circulation. Here we use a 100-member ensemble of simulations with an atmospheric general circulation model driven by observation-based sea-ice concentration anomalies to show that as a result of sea-ice reduction in the Barents–Kara Sea, the probability of severe winters has more than doubled in central Eurasia. In our simulations, the atmospheric response to sea-ice decline is approximately independent of the Arctic Oscillation. Both reanalysis data and our simulations suggest that sea-ice decline leads to more frequent Eurasian blocking situations, which in turn favour cold-air advection to Eurasia and hence severe winters. Based on a further analysis of simulations from 22 climate models we conclude that the sea-ice-driven cold winters are unlikely to dominate in a warming future climate, although uncertainty remains, due in part to an insufficient ensemble size.

    Citation

    Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades by Masato Mori, MasahiroWatanabe, Hideo Shiogama, Jun Inoue and Masahide Kimoto published in Nature Geoscience, online: 26 October 2014, DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2277

    Read the abstract and get the paper here.