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  • [New post] Tasmania 2014 – Braddon The Tally Room

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    [New post] Tasmania 2014 – Braddon

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    Tasmania 2014 – Braddon

    by Ben Raue

    Braddon6-ALP-NorthBraddon covers the north-western corner of Tasmania, as well as the west coast and King Island. Most of the population lies in the Burnie, Devonport and Ulverstone areas.

    The ALP won a majority of seats in Braddon at every election from 1959 to 1979. Throughout the 1980s and 1990s the Liberal Party won a majority of seats in the area. The Greens won a seat off the ALP in 1989, and the Liberal dominance peaked at a 5-1-1 split in 1992.

    In 1998, the ALP won a majority of seats for the first time since the 1979 election, with the Greens losing their seat. The 3-2 split favouring Labor was repeated in 2002 and 2006.

    In 2010, the Greens won a seat in Braddon, giving them a seat in every electorate in Tasmania.

    Braddon is represented by Liberal deputy leader Jeremy Rockliff, Adam Brooks (LIB), renegade Labor MP Brenton Best, Bryan Green (ALP) and Paul O’Halloran (GRN).

    The Liberal Party is in a strong position to win a third seat at the expense of the Greens in Braddon.

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  • Glacier’s retreat is now irreversible

    News

    Glacier’s retreat is now irreversible

    13 January 2014, by Harriet Jarlett

    Pine Island Glacier, the largest single contributor to sea-level rise in Antarctica, has started shrinking, say scientists.

    Pine Island glacier

    The work, published in Nature Climate Change, shows the glacier’s retreat may have begun an irreversible process that could see the amount of water it is adding to the ocean increase five-fold.

    ‘At the Pine Island Glacier we have seen that not only is more ice flowing from the glacier into the ocean, but it’s also flowing faster across the grounding line – the boundary between the grounded ice and the floating ice. We also can see this boundary is migrating further inland,’ says Dr G. Hilmar Gudmundsson from NERC’s British Antarctic Survey, a researcher on the project.

    The team, which included scientists from the CSC-IT Center for Science in Finland, the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Universities of Exeter and Bristol, used three computer models as well as field observations to study how the glacier’s ice flows and to simulate how this will change over the coming decades.

    ‘Not only is more ice flowing from the glacier into the ocean, but it’s also flowing faster’
    – Dr Gudmundsson, BAS

    All the models agreed that the Pine Island Glacier has become unstable, and will continue to retreat for tens of kilometres.

    ‘The Pine Island Glacier shows the biggest changes in this area at the moment, but if it is unstable it may have implications for the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet,’ says Gudmundsson. ‘Currently we see around two millimetres of sea level rise a year, and the Pine Island Glacier retreat could contribute an additional 3.5 – 5 millimeters in the next twenty years, so it would lead to a considerable increase from this area alone. But the potential is much larger.’
    Pine Island Glacier currently contributes 25 per cent of the total ice loss from West Antarctica. If the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet was to retreat, it could cause sea level to rise up to five metres.

    ‘The models show a strong agreement and the result is a striking vision of the near future. All the models suggest that this recession will not stop, cannot be reversed and that more ice will be transferred into the ocean,’ says Dr Gaël Durand of CNRS, Laboratoire de Glaciologie et de Géophysique de l’Environnement at the University of Grenoble, another researcher on the project.

    Pine Island glacierPine Island glacier.

    Gudmundsson doesn’t believe that an iceberg the size of Manhattan, which broke off from the Pine Island Glacier last July, will have had any impact on the self-sustained retreat of the grounding line currently seen at the glacier.

    ‘Calving, where an iceberg breaks off from a glacier, does not contribute to sea level rise as the iceberg is already in the ocean so it will have already displaced any water it was going to,’ Gudmundsson explains.

    This work was supported by the ice2sea project, and by NERC grant number NE/H02333X/1.

    L. Favier, G. Durand, S. L. Cornford, G. H. Gudmundsson, O. Gagliardini, F. Gillet-Chaulet, T. Zwinger, A. J. Payne and A. M. Le Brocq (2013) Retreat of Pine Island Glacier controlled by marine ice-sheet instability Nature Climate Change DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2094

    Keywords: Antarctic, Climate system, Earth system, Environmental change, Geology, Ice, Oceans, Polar, Sea level change,

  • Call For Higher Immigration Exposes Australian Frailty


    WORLD › NEWS

    Call For Higher Immigration Exposes Australian Frailty

    SYDNEY, Jan 13 (Bernama) — A leading business lobby group has called for a jump in Australia’s migration intake, reigniting the debate that helped destroy former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s career and exposing the skills shortage that could skewer Australia’s transition from a mining dependent economy.

    China’s Xinhua news agency reported tha the Australian Industry Group (AIG) has proposed an increase in Australia’s immigration intake from 190,000 this year to 220,000 for 2014-15 financial year with an emphasis on skilled migration in order to meet current and future skills shortages.

    In a submission to the federal government released Monday on the size of the immigration program to be set in the May Budget, Ai Group Chief Executive Innes Willox said: “This proposed increase takes into account the proven benefits to the economy of a strong migration programme.

    “An increase in migrant numbers supports positive growth in our population and especially in our adult workforce, which is important due to relatively low rates of natural population growth.”

    Australia’s population is growing by more than one million people every three years and with a growth rate at 1.7 percent a year, the global norm is just 1.1 percent, with most developed nations well below this average, the issue has been a flashpoint dividing the nation down economic and political lines.

    In June 2010, former Prime Minister Julia Gillard promised she would not pursue predecessor Kevin Rudd’s “big Australia” population target of 36 million by 2050.

    The unpopular Rudd-driven population plan was a key factor in the mandarin-speaking Rudd’s political demise.

    According to the influential AIG, higher skilled migration intake is appropriate at present due to Australia’s historically low unemployment rates; the deepening impacts of an aging workforce (9 percent of all Australian employees now aged 60 or over and 17 percent aged 55 or over); and persistent skill shortages in key growth industries, including mining services, engineering, infrastructure and health services.

    “With early indicators suggesting a positive upturn in national housing market activity, we expect the residential and commercial construction cycles will pick up significantly from 2014-15 which will in turn lead to further skilled trade shortages.”

    The AIG said this will be further exacerbated by the flow of construction workers into the mining sector and reduced trades apprenticeship numbers in recent years.”

    However, William Bourke, president of the Stable Population Party said that the population debate in Australia has been dominated by the extremes: business lobbies seeking more customers and anti-immigration groups promoting intolerance.

    “As we approach 23 million, Australians of all backgrounds crave a rational and mature debate on population sustainability, free of simplistic and divisive distractions.

    “We live in a finite world, so can’t grow forever. At some point, Australia must grasp the nettle and upgrade from immigration nation to mature, stable and sustainable nation,” Bourke said.

    Incumbent Prime Minister Tony Abbott swept into power on a ” stop the boats” platform with the aim of limiting immigration, though he had indicated a preference for a “Big Australia.”

    Both major parties here have been alternately lambasted for either pandering or inflaming long-dormant prejudices by seeding media reports with the potential social impacts of immigration or suggesting that population growth had negative environmental impacts.

    However, very little policy has emerged when considering the skills shortages that loom across Australia’s swiftly evolving patchwork economy.

    Willox said, “In particular, the flow of skilled workers into the mining industry from construction and industrial sectors will continue as mining moves from its current investment and expansion phase into a very strong period of growth in output.”

    During the six months to September 2013, 67.7 percent of respondents reported either major or moderate difficulty in the recruitment of skilled labor (up from 65.7 percent six months ago).

    “The skill shortages situation is even more serious in relation to occupations requiring Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) skills.

    “While up-skilling our current workforce remains a priority, a larger skilled migration program will be necessary to manage the current situation and to assist in smoothing the path to future growth across the economy,” Willox said.

    According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, population in Australia will grow to between 34.3 and 41.9 million in 2050 and between 42.3 and 69.5 million in 2100.

  • Battery development may extend range of electric cars

    9-Jan-2014

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    Contact: Franny White
    franny.white@pnnl.gov
    509-375-6904
    DOE/Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

    Battery development may extend range of electric cars

    New anode quadruples life of lithium-sulfur battery, could also help store renewable energy more cheaply

    IMAGE: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory researchers have developed a hybrid anode made of graphite and lithium that could quadruple the lifespan of lithium-sulfur batteries.

    Click here for more information.

    RICHLAND, Wash. – It’s known that electric vehicles could travel longer distances before needing to charge and more renewable energy could be saved for a rainy day if lithium-sulfur batteries can just overcome a few technical hurdles. Now, a novel design for a critical part of the battery has been shown to significantly extend the technology’s lifespan, bringing it closer to commercial use.

    A “hybrid” anode developed at the Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory could quadruple the life of lithium-sulfur batteries. Nature Communications published a paper today describing the anode’s design and performance.

    “Lithium-sulfur batteries could one day help us take electric cars on longer drives and store renewable wind energy more cheaply, but some technical challenges have to be overcome first,” said PNNL Laboratory Fellow Jun Liu, who is the paper’s corresponding author. “PNNL’s new anode design is helping bringing us closer to that day.”

    Today’s electric vehicles are commonly powered by rechargeable lithium-ion batteries, which are also being used to store renewable energy. But the chemistry of lithium-ion batteries limits how much energy they can store. One promising solution is the lithium-sulfur battery, which can hold as much as four times more energy per mass than lithium-ion batteries. This would enable electric vehicles to drive longer on a single charge and help store more renewable energy. The down side of lithium-sulfur batteries, however, is they have a much shorter lifespan because they can’t be charged as many times as lithium-ion batteries.

    Most batteries have two electrodes: one is positively charged and called a cathode, while the second is negative and called an anode. Electricity is generated when electrons flow through a wire that connects the two. Meanwhile, charged molecules called ions shuffle from one electrode to the other through another path: the electrolyte solution in which the electrodes sit.

    The lithium-sulfur battery’s main obstacles are unwanted side reactions that cut the battery’s life short. The undesirable action starts on the battery’s sulfur-containing cathode, which slowly disintegrates and forms molecules called polysulfides that dissolve into the battery’s electrolyte liquid. The dissolved sulfur eventually develops into a thin film called the solid-state electrolyte interface layer. The film forms on the surface of the lithium-containing anode, growing until the battery is inoperable.

    Most lithium-sulfur battery research to date has centered on stopping sulfur leakage from the cathode. But PNNL researchers determined stopping that leakage can be particularly challenging. Besides, recent research has shown a battery with a dissolved cathode can still work. So the PNNL team focused on the battery’s other side by adding a protective shield to the anode.

    The new shield is made of graphite, a thin matrix of connected carbon molecules that is already used in lithium-ion battery anodes. In a lithium-sulfur battery, PNNL’s graphite shield moves the sulfur side reactions away from the anode’s lithium surface, preventing it from growing the debilitating interference layer. Combining graphite from lithium-ion batteries with lithium from conventional lithium-sulfur batteries, the researchers dubbed their new anode a hybrid of the two.

    The new anode quadrupled the lifespan of the lithium-sulfur battery system the PNNL team tested. When equipped with a conventional anode, the battery stopped working after about 100 charge-and-discharge cycles. But the system worked well past 400 cycles when it used PNNL’s hybrid anode and was tested under the same conditions.

    “Sulfur is still dissolved in a lithium-sulfur battery that uses our hybrid anode, but that doesn’t really matter,” Liu said. “Tests showed a battery with a hybrid anode can successfully be charged repeatedly at a high rate for more 400 cycles, and with just an 11-percent decrease in the battery’s energy storage capacity.”

    This and most other lithium-sulfur battery research is conducted with small, thin-film versions of the battery that are ideal for lab tests. Larger, thicker batteries would be needed to power electric cars and store renewable energy. Liu noted tests with a larger battery system would better evaluate the performance of PNNL’s new hybrid anode for real-world applications.

     

    ###

    This study was primarily supported by the Department of Energy’s Office of Science (BES), with additional support from DOE’s Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy, and DOE’s Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. Some of this research was performed at EMSL, DOE’s Environmental and Molecular Sciences Laboratory at PNNL.

    REFERENCE: Cheng Huang, Jie Xiao, Yuyan Shao, Jianming Zheng, Wendy D. Bennett, Dongping Lu, Saraf V. Laxmikant, Mark Engelhard, Liwen Ji, Jiguang Zhang, Xiaolin Li, Gordon L. Graff & Jun Liu, Manipulating surface reactions in lithium-sulfur batteries using hybrid anode structures, Nature Communications, Jan. 9, 2014,DOI: 10.1038/ncomms/4015, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms4015.

    Interdisciplinary teams at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory address many of America’s most pressing issues in energy, the environment and national security through advances in basic and applied science. Founded in 1965, PNNL employs 4,300 staff and has an annual budget of about $950 million. It is managed by Battelle for the U.S. Department of Energy. For more information, visit the PNNL News Center, or follow PNNL on Facebook, Google+, LinkedIn and Twitter.

    The Department of Energy’s Office of Science is the single largest supporter of basic research in the physical sciences in the United States and is working to address some of the most pressing challenges of our time.

    EMSL, the Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory, is a national scientific user facility sponsored by the Department of Energy’s Office of Science. Located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory in Richland, Wash., EMSL offers an open, collaborative environment for scientific discovery to researchers around the world. Its integrated computational and experimental resources enable researchers to realize important scientific insights and create new technologies

  • Giant Antarctic glacier beyond point of no return

    Giant Antarctic glacier beyond point of no return

    Monday, 13 January 2014
    AFP

    An aerial view of a crack at the Pine Island Glacier ice shelf seen in western Antarctica (Reuters: Goddard Space Flight Center)

    An aerial view of a crack at the Pine Island Glacier ice shelf seen in western Antarctica (Reuters: Goddard Space Flight Center)

    Antarctica’s Pine Island Glacier, one of the biggest single contributors to world sea-level rise, is melting irreversibly and could add as much as a centimetre to ocean levels in 20 years, say scientists.

    The glacier “has started a phase of self-sustained retreat and will irreversibly continue its decline,” says Gael Durand, a glaciologist with France’s Grenoble Alps University.

    Durand and an international team used three different models to forecast the glacier’s future based on the “grounding line,” which is the area under water where the ice shelf – a sea-floating extension of the continent-covering ice sheet – meets land.

    This line has receded by about 10 kilometres in the past decade.

    The grounding line “is probably engaged in an unstable 40 kilometre retreat,” according to the study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change.

    A massive river of ice, the glacier by itself is responsible for 20 per cent of total ice loss from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet today.

    On average, it shed 20 billion tonnes of ice annually from 1992-2011, a loss that is likely to increase up to and above 100 billion tonnes each year, the study’s authors write.

    This is equivalent to 3.5 to 10 millimetres of global average sea-level rise over the next 20 years.

    The global mean sea level rose by 3.2 millimetres in 2010 – itself a near-doubling from the rate of two decades earlier.

    The European Space Agency said last month that the West Antarctic ice sheet was shedding ice at a much faster rate than before – currently at about 150 cubic kilometres per year.

    Climate scientists are keeping a worried eye on the mighty ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica, as continued losses could threaten vulnerable coastal cities with dangerously high sea levels.

    Last year, the United Nations’ climate science body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projected sea levels would rise between 26 and 82 centimetres by 2100.

     

  • [New post] Tasmania 2014 – Bass The Tally Room

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    Tasmania 2014 – Bass

    by Ben Raue

    Bass2-LIB

    Bass covers the north-eastern corner of Tasmania, with most of the population lying in the Launceston urban area.

    Bass elected three Labor and two Liberals in 1998, but has produced a 2-2-1 split at the last three elections.

    The Liberal Party will have a serious shot at gaining a third seat, either at the expense of the Greens’ Kim Booth or one of the Labor MPs (probably Brian Wightman).

    Bass is represented by former federal MPs Michelle O’Byrne (ALP) and Michael Ferguson (LIB), as well as shadow treasurer Peter Gutwein (LIB), Brian Wightman (ALP) and Kim Booth (GRN).

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    Ben Raue | January 13, 2014 at 12:00 pm | URL: http://wp.me