Category: Energy Matters

The twentieth century way of life has been made available, largely due to the miracle of cheap energy. The price of energy has been at record lows for the past century and a half.As oil becomes increasingly scarce, it is becoming obvious to everyone, that the rapid economic and industrial growth we have enjoyed for that time is not sustainable.Now, the hunt is on. For renewable sources of energy, for alternative sources of energy, for a way of life that is less dependent on cheap energy. 

  • Toyota hybrid may be made locally

    CAR giant Toyota is poised to manufacture its hybrid Camry in Melbourne with a deal set to be clinched by mid-year.

    Talks are still underway but senior Toyota executives in Tokyo are strongly backing plans to make the company’s Altona plant the regional production base for the green Camry, Fairfax newspapers report today.

    The deal will go ahead providing the right government incentives are secured, and the federal government is aiming for an announcement by the end of July.

    Victorian Premier John Brumby has been in discussions with Tokuichi Uranishi, executive vice-president of Toyota in Japan.

    And senior Victorian cabinet ministers, armed with the government’s $500-million green car fund, have met Japanese diplomatic officials and Toyota executives in an effort to secure the vehicle for Altona.

    Federal Innovation Minister Kim Carr said negotiations with Toyota were continuing “fruitfully”.

    The green Camry is currently in production in Japan and the US.

  • Harnessing the desert sun

    Their vision, which they call Desertec, is to turn desert sun into electricity, thereby harnessing inexhaustible, clean and affordable energy.

    “We don’t have an energy problem,” says Hans Müller-Steinhagen, of the German Aerospace Center (DLR). “We have an energy conversion and distribution problem.”

    Müller-Steinhagen has been commissioned by Germany’s Environment Ministry to check the feasibility of Desertec in several studies. His conclusion is that Desertec is a real possibility.

    In his studies, he has scrutinized the energy situation in Europe, North Africa and the Middle East from the point of view of the post-oil era. Out of all the alternative energy sources, one stands head and shoulders above the rest: “No energy source even comes close to achieving the same massive energy density as sunshine,” Müller-Steinhagen says.

    And no other energy source is available over such a large area. Every year, 630,000 terawatt hours in the form of solar energy falls unused on the deserts of the so-called MENA states of the Middle East and North Africa.

    In contrast, Europe consumes just 4,000 terawatt hours of energy a year — a mere 0.6 percent of the unused solar energy falling in the desert.

    Powering Europe from the Desert

    Europe needs a lot of electricity, but gets little sun. The MENA countries, on the other hand, get a lot of sun, but consume little electricity. So, the solution is simple: The south produces electricity for the north. But how would the enormous energy transfer work? And how do you turn desert sun into electricity?

    It’s actually relatively easy. Desertec is low-tech — no expensive nuclear fusion reactors, no CO2-emitting coal power plants, no ultra-thin solar cells. The principle behind it is familiar to every child who has ever burnt a hole in a sheet of paper with a magnifying glass. Curved mirrors known as “parabolic trough collectors” collect sunlight. The energy is used to heat water, generating steam which then drives turbines and generates electricity. That, in a nutshell, is how a solar thermal power plant works.

    Energy can be harnessed even at night: Excess heat produced during the day can be stored for several hours in tanks of molten salt. This way the turbines can produce electricity even when the sun is not shining.

    Should the Sahara, therefore, be completely covered with mirrors? No, says Müller-Steinhagen, producing a picture by way of an answer. It shows a huge desert in which are drawn three red squares. One square, roughly the size of Austria, is labelled “world.” “If this area was covered in parabolic trough power plants, enough energy would be produced to satisfy world demand,” he says.

    A second square, just a fourth of the size of the first one, is labelled “EU 25,” in a reference to the 25 member states the European Union had before Bulgaria and Romania joined in 2007. This area could produce enough solar energy to free Europe from dependence on oil, gas and coal. The third area is labelled “D,” for Germany. It is merely a small dot.

    A Win-Win Situation

    Under the plan, the sun-rich states of North Africa and the Middle East would build mirror power plants in the desert and generate electricity. As a side benefit, they could use residual heat to power seawater desalination plants, which would provide drinking water in large quantities for the arid countries. At the same time they would obtain a valuable export product: environmentally friendly electricity.

    “The MENA countries are in a three-way win situation,” says Müller-Steinhagen. But Europe also wins: it frees itself from its dependence (more…) on Russian gas, rising oil prices, radioactive waste and CO2-spewing coal power plants.

    For countries such as Libya, Morocco, Algeria, Sudan and especially Middle Eastern states, the solar power business could be the start of a truly sunny future. It could create jobs and build up a sustainable energy industry, which would bring money into these countries and enable investment in infrastructure.

    In fact, Desertec is no futuristic vision — the technology already exists and is tried and tested. Since the mid 1980s, solar thermal power plants have been operating trouble-free in the US states of California and Nevada. More plants are currently being built in southern Spain. And building work has started on solar thermal power plants in Algeria, Morocco and the United Arab Emirates.

     

  • Caltex to scale back operations in Australia

    Another factor that could affect margins would be the extra refining capacity expected to come online in China and India this year.

    “This means that Asia’s supply and demand, at least for a while, will be in balance,” Mr King said.

    Shares in the refiner slumped 93c or 7 per cent to $12.38, after it warned that its pre-tax earnings would take another $30 million to $35 million hit this quarter from two “unplanned maintenance pit stops” of its Kurnell and Brisbane refineries.

    This comes on top of the $40 million to $50 million hit the company has already taken from “unplanned refinery outages” in the first quarter of this year.

    The refiner reported a $131 million profit before tax and interest for the first quarter, down $67 million on the previous corresponding period.

    The only good news was that refining margins in the period were 7.2c a litre, down from 7.6c 12 months earlier, despite the strong appreciation in the Australian dollar.

    “Our stated guidance for production to be in line with 2007 is still achievable. However, we may continuously choose to reduce production should margins not outweigh the working capital costs,” Mr King said.

    Given the high cost of oil, he said a fall in margins might not justify the cost of Caltex stocking big amounts of unrefined product.

    Meanwhile, Caltex’s new chairwoman, Elizabeth Bryan, faced her first grilling from shareholders.

    The biggest complaint they raised was the company’s relatively low dividend pay-out ratio, which last financial year was slightly more than 50 per cent of Caltex’s net profits.

    Ms Bryan said the company’s reduced final dividend for last year and pay-out ratio were in recognition that Caltex operated in a cyclical industry.

    As for the $200,000 increase in the board’s remuneration pool to $1.6 million a year, Ms Bryan said it was “considered appropriate in the interests of board continuity and succession”.

    One shareholder expressed disgust that the board and management of Caltex should be afforded hefty pay increases while shareholders saw the value of their shares continue to fall.

    Des King’s base pay in the 2008 year increased 50 per cent to $1.4 million.

    Caltex shares have halved in value during the past 12 months.

  • Renewable energy agency proposed

    At the invitation of the German Federal Government, representatives from more than 60 countries met in Berlin earlier this month to discuss the founding of the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), an intergovernmental organization that will exist to exclusively promote the adoption of renewable energy worldwide.

    Participants expressed a sense of urgency to begin a swift transition to a more secure, sustainable renewable energy economy with the assistance of an international body.  A variety of countries have expressed support for IRENA, including Spain, India, Argentina, Mexico, Chile, Portugal and South Africa.

    During the Berlin meeting on April 10th and 11th, government representatives met to discuss and hone the objectives, activities, finances, and organizational structure of IRENA. A common point of discussion during the workshops was the relationship between IRENA and other existing international bodies that deal with energy issues. Some countries expressed concerns over the duplication of activities or unecessary competition with organizations such as the International Energy Agency.

    While there were concerns over how IRENA would work alongside other bodies, it was made clear by participants that a strong, independent force for supporting renewables is necessary to realize the full social, economic and political benefits of clean energies. It was generally agreed that most of the existing initiatives lack a focal point. With limited mandates and capacities, current international renewable energy associations, networks and UN bodies cannot fill the institutional gap that IRENA plans to fill, said Bianca Jagger, Chair of the World Future Council.

    “Promoting renewables must now become a global and universal priority, and IRENA is a necessary condition for that goal. If we intend to embark on the renewable energy revolution, we cannot do it without IRENA,” said Jagger in a speech.

    “IRENA will work toward improved regulatory frameworks for renewable energy through enhanced policy advice, improvements in the transfer of renewable energy technology; progress on skills and know-how for renewable energy; it will be able to offer a scientifically sound information basis through applied policy research; and better financing of renewable energy,” she continued.

    Although the International Energy Agency (IEA) established an advisory board on renewables in 1982, the world has yet to see a breakthrough in renewable energy adoption. This proves the need for an exclusive focus on creating the structural changes needed to ensure widespead adoption of renewable energy, said Hermann Scheer, founder of the European Association for Renewable Energies and member of the German parliament.

    “The IEA will have to compensate for all of the current energy problems and won’t have time to push for new forms of energy,” said Scheer.

    The IEA deals with questions of supply security and the needs of energy markets. This is reflected in its allocation of votes, which are based mainly on the oil consumption of different countries. As a result, it doesn’t cover in great detail the economic, political, and social aspects of renewable energy. In its in-depth country reviews, the IEA analyzes the energy policies of member states without fully recognizing the potential renewable energy, say some critics. The agency’s focus remains on primarily on large-scale energy supply and therefore does not offer much needed advice on how to adapt energy markets towards more decentralized energy sources such as renewables. Further, in contrast to IRENA’s proposed global approach and diverse membership, the activities of the IEA are largely limited to countries involved with the Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD).

    According to conference organizers, IRENA will work alongside the IEA and other international bodies in areas of renewable energy research, similar to the relationship between the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the IEA. One of the major reasons for the foundation of the IAEA in the 1950s was the desire to exploit the opportunities offered by what was then a new energy source. The same attention needs to be given to renewables, said Jose Etcheverry, a chair of the World Council on Renewable Energy.

    “The world sorely lacks innovative economic, social and political institutional frameworks to provide strong support for renewable energy development worldwide,” said Etcheverry. “Conventional energy sources such as fossil fuels and nuclear power have incredibly powerful lobbyists to ensure that their interests are provided with preferential treatment over the more socially desirable options of renewable energy and efficiency.”

    IRENA will address several critical barriers that are preventing the full-scale adoption of renewable energy. It will provide informed policy advice and assistance to national governments that are currently lacking the means and capacity to develop effective regulatory frameworks for renewable energy adoption.

    To strengthen technology transfer IRENA will combine the various independent projects and optimise synergies between them, focus on knowledge exchange, integrate technical, administrative and financial actions, and create suitable incentives for industry to engage in developing countries. Of course, none of these tasks can be fully accomplished without adequate human capacity. IRENA will provide an inventory of current training activities and provide courses for policy-makers and regulators on how to overcome administrative barriers to renewable energy adoption.

    The time to create IRENA is now, said supporters. Indeed, as organizers learn from the decades of experience of other international agencies, they believe they can create of the most innovative, streamlined agenices in the world while helping usher in a new era of clean, sustainable energies.

  • Waste Not: A steamy solution to global warming

    Report May 2008 Atlantic Monthly by Lisa Margonelli

     

    Forty years ago, the steel mills and factories south of Chicago were known for their sooty smokestacks, plumes of steam, and throngs of workers. Clean-air laws have since gotten rid of the smoke, and labor-productivity initiatives have eliminated most of the workers. What remains is the steam, billowing up into the sky day after day, just as it did a generation ago.

    The U.S. economy wastes 55 percent of the energy it consumes, and while American companies have ruthlessly wrung out other forms of inefficiency, that figure hasn’t changed much in recent decades. The amount lost by electric utilities alone could power all of Japan.

    A 2005 report by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory found that U.S. industry could profitably recycle enough waste energy—including steam, furnace gases, heat, and pressure—to reduce the country’s fossil-fuel use (and greenhouse-gas emissions) by nearly a fifth. A 2007 study by the Mc­Kinsey Global Institute sounded largely the same note; it concluded that domestic industry could use 19 percent less energy than it does today—and make more money as a result.

    Economists like to say that rational markets don’t “leave $100 bills on the ground,” but according to McKinsey’s figures, more than $50 billion floats into the air each year, unclaimed by American businesses. What’s more, the technologies required to save that money are, for the most part, not new or unproven or even particularly expensive. By and large, they’ve been around since the 19th century. The question is: Why aren’t we using them?

    One of the few people who’s been making money from recycled steam is Tom Casten, the chairman of Recycled Energy Development. Casten, a former Eagle Scout and marine, has railed against the waste of energy for 30 years; he says the mere sight of steam makes him sick. When Casten walks into an industrial plant, he told me, he immediately begins to reconfigure the pipes in his head, totting up potential energy savings. Steam, of course, can be cycled through a turbine to generate electricity. Heat, which in some industrial kilns reaches 7,000F, can be used to produce more steam. Furnace exhaust, commonly disposed of in flares, can be mixed with oxygen to create the practical equivalent of natural gas. Even differences in steam pressure between one industrial process and another can be exploited, through clever placement of turbines, to produce extra watts of electricity.

    By making use of its “junk energy,” an industrial plant can generate its own power and buy less from the grid. A case in point is the ArcelorMittal steel mill in East Chicago, Indiana, where a company called Primary Energy/EPCOR USA has been building on-site energy plants to capture heat and gases since 1996. Casten, Primary Energy’s CEO from 2003 to 2006, was involved in several proj­ects that now sell cheap, clean power back to the mill.

    As a result of Primary Energy’s proj­ects, the mill has cut its purchases of coal-fired power by half, reduced carbon emissions by 1.3 million tons a year, and saved more than $100 million. In March, the plant won an EPA Energy Star award. Its utilities manager, Tom Riley, says he doesn’t foresee running out of profitable proj­ects anytime soon. “You’d think you might,” he says, “but you can always find more … Energy efficiency is a big multiplier.”

    Casten wants to help everyone see such possibilities, so he’s been combining EPA emissions figures with Google Earth images to let investors “peer” into smokestacks and visualize the wasted energy. Recycled Energy Development recently received $1.5 billion in venture funding, which should enable it to expand its reach greatly. Casten gives a whirlwind tour of the targets: natural-gas pipelines, he says, use nearly a tenth of the gas they carry to keep the fuel flowing. Capture some of the heat and pressure they lose, and the U.S. could take four coal-fired power plants offline (out of roughly 300). Another power plant could be switched off if energy were collected at the country’s 27 carbon-black plants, which make particles used in the manufacture of tires. And so on through facilities that make silicon, glass, ethanol, and orange juice, until, Casten hopes, he has throngs of competitors. “I always thought that if we were successful, people would emulate us and I’d be happy at the end of the day. I just didn’t think it would take 30 years.”

    Yet in fact, Casten still has few competitors, and the improvements he’s made remain rare in American industry. With pressure growing to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions, the age of recycled steam may seem closer now than it has in the past, but because of a variety of cultural, financial, and—especially—regula­tory barriers, its arrival is no sure thing.

    The first barrier is obvious from a trip through ArcelorMittal’s four miles of interconnected pipes, wires, and buildings. Steel mills are noisy, hot, and smelly—all signs of enormous inter­dependent energy systems at work. In many cases, putting waste energy to use requires mixing the exhaust of one process with the intake of another, demanding coordination. But engineers have largely been trained to focus only on their own processes; many tend to resist changes that make those processes more complex. Whereas European and Japanese corporate cultures emphasize energy-saving as a strategy that enhances their competitiveness, U.S. companies generally do not. (DuPont and Dow, which have saved billions on energy costs in the past decade, are notable exceptions. Arcelor­Mittal’s ownership is European.)

    In some industries, investments in energy efficiency also suffer because of the nature of the business cycle. When demand is strong, managers tend to invest first in new capacity; but when demand is weak, they withhold investment for fear that plants will be closed. The timing just never seems to work out. McKinsey found that three-quarters of American companies will not invest in efficiency upgrades that take just two years to pay for themselves. “You have to be humbled,” Matt Rogers, a director at McKinsey, told me, “that with a creative market economy, we aren’t getting there,” even with high oil prices.

    Some of these problems may fade if energy costs remain high. But industry’s inertia is reinforced by regulation. The Clean Air Act has succeeded spectacularly in reducing some forms of air pollution, but perversely, it has chilled efforts to reuse energy: because many of these efforts involve tinkering with industrial exhaust systems, they can trigger a federal or local review of the plant, opening a can of worms some plant managers would rather keep closed.

    Much more problematic are the regu­lations surrounding utilities. Several waves of deregulation have resulted in a hodgepodge of rules without providing full competition among power generators. Though it’s cheaper and cleaner to produce power at Casten’s proj­ects than to build new coal-fired capacity, many industrial plants cannot themselves use all the electricity they could produce: they can’t profit from aggressive energy recycling unless they can sell the electricity to other consumers. Yet by­zan­tine regulations make that difficult, stifling many independent energy recyclers. Some of these competitive disadvantages have been addressed in the latest energy bill, but many remain.

    Ultimately, making better use of energy will require revamping our operation of the electrical grid itself, an undertaking considerably more complicated than, say, creating a carbon tax. For the better part of a century, we’ve gotten electricity from large, central generators, which waste nearly 70 percent of the energy they burn. They face little competition and are allowed to simply pass energy costs on to their customers. Distributing generators across the grid would reduce waste, improve reliability, and provide at least some competition.

    Opening the grid to competition is one of the more important steps to take if we’re serious about reducing fossil-­fuel use and carbon emissions, yet no one’s talking about doing that. Democratic legislators are nervous about creating incentives for cleaner, cheaper generation that may also benefit nuclear power. Neither party wants to do the dirty work of shutting down old, wasteful generators. And of course the Enron debacle looms over everything.

    Technocratic changes to the grid and to industrial plants don’t easily capture the imagination. Recycling industrial energy is a solution that looks, well, gray, not green. Steel plants, coated with rust, grime, and a century’s worth of effluvia, do not make for inspiring photos. Yet Casten, pointing to the 16 heat-recycling contraptions that sit on top of the coke ovens at the East Chicago steel plant, notes that in 2004 they produced as much clean energy as all the grid-connected solar panels in the world. Green power may pay great dividends years from now. Gray power, if we would embrace it, is a realistic goal for today.

    Lisa Margonelli is a fellow at the New America Foundation and the author of Oil on the Brain: Petroleum’s Long, Strange Trip to Your Tank, just published in paperback.

  • Indonesia faces power crisis

    Fabby Tumiwa, of the Institute for Essential Services Reform, says the situation right now is stable as long as PLN maintains its operations reliably.

    "[But] if you look towards the horizon, you’ll see more crises appearing," he says.

    "Even this year or next year, if PLN fails to optimise its maintenance and operations, there’s a big possibility of power shortages in Java and Bali."

    Government guarantees?

    According to analysts, maintenance of the state electricity network is not good.

    Many power stations are running at 75% capacity – just under half the country is still without power, and there is already very little room to cope with extra demand from the half that is.

    PLN’s spokesman, Ario Subijoko, says the company is struggling against financial constraints.

    "The cost of primary energy sources has increased time and time again, and the state budget gave us less subsidy than we needed, so we’ve had to lower the output."

     

    The country’s energy minister does not dispute the rate at which demand is growing, or the need to build capacity to meet it. But he says the situation is not serious.

    "There is now a 30% reserve in Java and Bali," he explains. "We lease generators during a crisis, and we have a long-term plan to build 5000MW every year to meet the growth in demand."

    He says Indonesia is in the process of building plants that will produce another 10,000 MW.

    Power lines in Jakarta, April 2008

    The economy is growing, but demand for power is growing faster

    Private companies are meant to be building 10,000 more – which will almost double the country’s current capacity. They are due for completion in 2009.

    But these plans have been on the table since the financial crisis hit here in 1997, and having been renegotiated in the years that followed, they’re now falling behind schedule again.

    Part of the reason for the delay is that investors have been asking for government guarantees in case their investment goes sour.

    And that really goes to the heart of the problem.

    Indonesia’s power sector is in many ways an unattractive one for investors.

    It is inefficient and unprofitable. Prices for the consumer are heavily subsidised by the government; subsidies which make up half PLN’s revenue.

    Political risk

    James Booker is a coal-buyer for independent energy company Paiton Energy. He says Indonesia’s electricity sector is far more financially challenged than its counterparts elsewhere in Asia.

    And tight purse strings do not help build a strong supply of fuel.

    In today’s energy marketplace, where a ton of coal can fetch more than $75 (£37) on the global market, PLN is paying only about $35-40.

    And that is a problem, when high oil prices mean higher mining and transportation costs for producers.

    The solution, according to James Booker and others, is to do away with huge government subsidies on electricity and make the consumer pay the market rate for switching on a light, watching TV or powering a factory.

    This would free up some $650m from the government coffers to invest in renovating the national grid, making it more efficient, a better investment, and better able to pay coal and gas producers a competitive price.

    Jakarta street

    Almost 50% of the country is not connected to the national grid

    But doing away with subsidies is a politically risky move. A straw poll on the streets of Jakarta suggested that about 90% of people would not vote for a party that put up the price of power – and national elections are due next year.

    A similar scheme in 2006 that raised the price of oil by more than 100% caused widespread protests.

    So for now, Indonesia’s growing economy is likely to keep putting pressure on a crumbling power system. But what effect does a crumbling power system have on the economy?

    Most major companies have their own power supply to turn to in emergencies. But even if business does not stop, the unpredictability and expense weigh against the benefits of investing or expanding here.

    James Castle has been working as a consultant to businesses in Indonesia for 30 years. He believes power insecurity is a "huge drag on the economy" and a significant obstacle to economic growth.

    "It affects not only investment decisions," he says. "It also raises operating costs, impedes the efficient operation of manufacturing businesses and causes excessive consumption of expensive, less environmentally friendly diesel."

    He estimates that an efficient power sector could probably add 0.5% to 1.0% to annual GDP growth.

    PLN’s spokesman Ario Subijoko does not dispute that the country’s electricity problems are holding up growth.

    "I think it’s a logical consequence – energy affects economic growth," he says.

    "We’ll try to speed things up but if the situation is difficult, there’s not much we can do. If we were one of the rich countries it might not be a problem, but Indonesia?"