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  • Climate Change, the Jet Stream and Wacky Weather

  • Renew Economy Daily Updates

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    Daily update: Germany looks to fast-track exit from coal, as well as nuclear

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    Renew Economy editor@reneweconomy.com.au via mail19.atl111.rsgsv.net 

    3:47 PM (3 hours ago)

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    Germany looks to fast-track exit from coal, as well as nuclear; Martin Green says solar costs to halve by 2025; SunPower to build 160MW solar panel factory in South Africa; NEM mapping tool to boost renewables deployment; The word Abbott government dare no speak; Germany to reach more than 30% renewables power by 2015; 6 potential US grid-scale energy storage projects; Australia on way to carbon pariah; Implications of mid-term election for climate change policy; and Solar power costs hit new lows in Brazil.
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    Germany is looking to achieve exactly what Australia says is not possible – and wean one of the world’s largest manufacturing economies off coal – as well as shutting down nuclear.
    World leading researcher Martin Green says cost of solar technology will halve again in next decade, meaning solar – not coal – will become dominant energy source.
    As power blackouts rock South Africa, SunPower reveals plans to build a solar panel factory in Cape Town capable of producing 160MW of PV modules a year.
    ‘Network opportunity maps’ to highlight areas where demand management and renewables can address electricity constraint, rather than more poles and wires.
    Australia has a new ambassador to direct negotiations on a climate treaty in Paris. But the words climate change have been dropped from his job title.
    For the Australian Government, the IPCC report could not have come at a more inopportune time — or at least, that’s what you would have assumed.
    Germany is headed for 31-32% renewable share of gross domestic electricity demand in 2015, a doubling of non-hydro renewables since 2010.
    It’s true more homeowners are getting solar panels, but large, cheap home energy systems don’t exist yet. It does appear that they will be coming, however.
    The US mid-term elections will be crucial for climate policy at a national level, and for solar and wind in some key states.
    Solar power costs hit new lows in Brazil Bloomberg New Energy Finance
    Brazil’s solar auction attracts some of the lowest ever prices recorded for solar energy, with investors’ returns likely to be squeezed to single-digits.
  • A Gunpowder Plot against Democracy

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    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy – monbiot.com

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    George Monbiot <noreply+feedproxy@google.com>

    6:31 PM (12 minutes ago)

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    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy – monbiot.com


    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy

    Posted: 04 Nov 2014 03:42 PM PST

    This bill of rights for corporations will blow up the sovereignty of parliaments
    By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 5th November 2014

    On this day a year ago, I was in despair. A dark cloud was rising over the Atlantic, threatening to blot out some of the freedoms our ancestors lost their lives to secure. The ability of parliaments on both sides of the ocean to legislate on behalf of their people was at risk from an astonishing treaty, that would grant corporations special powers to sue governments. I could not see a way of stopping it.

    Almost no one had heard of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the EU and the US, except those who were quietly negotiating it. And I suspected that almost no one ever would. Even the name seemed perfectly designed to repel public interest. I wrote about it(1) for one reason: to be able to tell my children that I had not done nothing.

    To my amazement, the article went viral. As a result of the massive public reaction and the ivolvement of some remarkable campaigners, the European Commission(2) and the British government(3) were forced to respond. The Stop TTIP petition now carries 780,000 signatures(4); the 38 Degrees petition has 910,000(5). Last month there were 450 protest actions across 24 member states(6). The European Commission was forced to hold a public consultation about the most controversial aspect(7), and 150,000 people responded(8). Never let it be said that people cannot engage with complex issues.

    Nothing has yet been won. Corporations and governments – led by the UK – are mobilising to thwart this uprising. But their position slips a little every month. When the British minister responsible at the time, Kenneth Clarke, responded to my first articles(9), he insisted that “nothing could be more foolish” than making the European negotiating position public, as I’d proposed(10). But last month the European Commission was obliged to do just this(11). It’s beginning to look as if the fight against TTIP could become an historic victory for people against corporate power.

    The central problem is what the negotiators call investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS). The treaty would allow corporations to sue governments before an arbitration panel composed of corporate lawyers, at which other people have no representation, and which is not subject to judicial review(12).

    Already, thanks to the insertion of ISDS into much smaller trade treaties, big business is engaged in an orgy of litigation, whose purpose is to strike down any law that might impinge on its anticipated future profits. The tobacco firm Philip Morris is suing both Uruguay and Australia for trying to discourage people from smoking(13). The oil firm Occidental was awarded $2.3bn in compensation from Ecuador, which terminated the company’s drilling concession in the Amazon when it discovered that Occidental had broken Ecuadorean law(14). The Swedish company Vattenfall is suing the German government for shutting down nuclear power(15). An Australian firm is suing El Salvador for $300m for refusing permission for a gold mine that would poison the drinking water(16).

    The same mechanism, under TTIP, could be used to prevent governments in the UK from reversing the privatisation of the railways and the National Health Service, or from defending public health and the natural world against corporate greed. Its overall effect is to chill the formation of any policy that puts people ahead of money.

    The corporate lawyers who sit on these panels are beholden only to the companies whose cases they adjudicate, who at other times are their employers(17). As one of these people commented(18), “When I wake up at night and think about arbitration, it never ceases to amaze me that sovereign states have agreed to investment arbitration at all … Three private individuals are entrusted with the power to review, without any restriction or appeal procedure, all actions of the government, all decisions of the courts, and all laws and regulations emanating from parliament.”

    So outrageous is this arrangement that even the Economist, usually the champion of corporate power and trade treaties, has now come out against it(19). It calls investor-state dispute settlement “a way to let multinational companies get rich at the expense of ordinary people”.

    When David Cameron and the corporate press launched their campaign against the candidacy of Jean-Claude Juncker for president of the European Commission, they claimed that he threatened British sovereignty. It was a perfect inversion of reality. Juncker, seeing the way the public debate was going, promised in his manifesto that “I will not sacrifice Europe’s safety, health, social and data  protection standards … on the altar of free trade … Nor will I accept that the jurisdiction of courts in the EU Member States is limited by special regimes for investor disputes.”(20) Juncker’s crime was that he had pledged not to give away as much of our sovereignty to corporate lawyers as Cameron and the media barons demanded.

    Juncker is now coming under extreme pressure. Last month 14 states wrote to him(21), privately and without consulting their parliaments, demanding the inclusion of investor-state dispute settlement (the letter was leaked a few days ago). And who is leading this campaign? The British government. It’s hard to get your head around the duplicity involved. While claiming to be so exercised about our sovereignty that it is prepared to leave the EU, our government is secretly insisting that the European Commission slaughters our sovereignty on behalf of corporate profits. David Cameron is leading a gunpowder plot against democracy.

    He and his ministers have failed to answer the howlingly obvious question: what’s wrong with the courts? If corporations want to sue governments, they already have a right to do so, through the courts, like anyone else. It’s not as if, with their vast budgets, they are disadvantaged in this arena. Why should they be allowed to use a separate legal system, to which the rest of us have no access? What happened to the principle of equality before the law? If our courts are fit to deprive citizens of their liberty, why are they unfit to deprive corporations of anticipated future profits? Let’s not hear another word from the defenders of TTIP until they have answered this question.

    It cannot be ducked for much longer. Unlike previous treaties, this one is being dragged by campaigners into the open, where its justifications shrivel upon exposure to the light. There’s a tough struggle to come, and the outcome is by no means certain, but my sense is that we will win.

    www.monbiot.com

    References:

    1. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/04/us-trade-deal-full-frontal-assault-on-democracy

    2. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/dec/18/wrong-george-monbiot-nothing-secret-eu-trade-deal

    3. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/11/eu-us-trade-deal-transatlantic-trade-and-investment-partnership-democracy

    4. https://stop-ttip.org/

    5. https://secure.38degrees.org.uk/page/s/eu-ttip-petition#petition

    6. http://ttip2014.eu/blog-detail/blog/Highlights%20Oct%2011.html

    7. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/consultations/index.cfm?consul_id=179

    8. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2014/july/tradoc_152693.pdf

    9. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/13/eu-us-trade-deal-no-threat-democracy-monbiot-transatlantic-partnership

    10. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/10/eu-us-trade-deal-give-corporations-take

    11. http://bit.ly/1xYr3L6

    12. http://blog.oup.com/2014/01/van-harten-q-a-investor-state-arbitration/

    13. http://www.wdm.org.uk/multinational-corporations/cameron%E2%80%99s-trade-deal-would-%E2%80%98open-floodgates%E2%80%99-philip-morris-style-cases

    14. http://kluwerarbitrationblog.com/blog/2012/12/19/icsids-largest-award-in-history-an-overview-of-occidental-petroleum-corporation-v-the-republic-of-ecuador/

    15. http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21623756-governments-are-souring-treaties-protect-foreign-investors-arbitration

    16. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/oct/03/australian-mining-is-poisoning-el-salvador-it-could-soon-send-it-broke-too

    17. http://blog.oup.com/2014/01/van-harten-q-a-investor-state-arbitration/

    18. http://corporateeurope.org/trade/2012/11/chapter-4-who-guards-guardians-conflicting-interests-investment-arbitrators

    19. http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21623756-governments-are-souring-treaties-protect-foreign-investors-arbitration

    20. http://t.co/fQkoZWsZJX

    21. blogs.ft.com/brusselsblog/files/2014/10/ISDSLetter.pdf

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    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy – monbiot.com

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    George Monbiot <noreply+feedproxy@google.com>

    6:31 PM (5 minutes ago)

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    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy – monbiot.com


    A Gunpowder Plot Against Democracy

    Posted: 04 Nov 2014 03:42 PM PST

    This bill of rights for corporations will blow up the sovereignty of parliaments
    By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 5th November 2014

    On this day a year ago, I was in despair. A dark cloud was rising over the Atlantic, threatening to blot out some of the freedoms our ancestors lost their lives to secure. The ability of parliaments on both sides of the ocean to legislate on behalf of their people was at risk from an astonishing treaty, that would grant corporations special powers to sue governments. I could not see a way of stopping it.

    Almost no one had heard of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the EU and the US, except those who were quietly negotiating it. And I suspected that almost no one ever would. Even the name seemed perfectly designed to repel public interest. I wrote about it(1) for one reason: to be able to tell my children that I had not done nothing.

    To my amazement, the article went viral. As a result of the massive public reaction and the ivolvement of some remarkable campaigners, the European Commission(2) and the British government(3) were forced to respond. The Stop TTIP petition now carries 780,000 signatures(4); the 38 Degrees petition has 910,000(5). Last month there were 450 protest actions across 24 member states(6). The European Commission was forced to hold a public consultation about the most controversial aspect(7), and 150,000 people responded(8). Never let it be said that people cannot engage with complex issues.

    Nothing has yet been won. Corporations and governments – led by the UK – are mobilising to thwart this uprising. But their position slips a little every month. When the British minister responsible at the time, Kenneth Clarke, responded to my first articles(9), he insisted that “nothing could be more foolish” than making the European negotiating position public, as I’d proposed(10). But last month the European Commission was obliged to do just this(11). It’s beginning to look as if the fight against TTIP could become an historic victory for people against corporate power.

    The central problem is what the negotiators call investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS). The treaty would allow corporations to sue governments before an arbitration panel composed of corporate lawyers, at which other people have no representation, and which is not subject to judicial review(12).

    Already, thanks to the insertion of ISDS into much smaller trade treaties, big business is engaged in an orgy of litigation, whose purpose is to strike down any law that might impinge on its anticipated future profits. The tobacco firm Philip Morris is suing both Uruguay and Australia for trying to discourage people from smoking(13). The oil firm Occidental was awarded $2.3bn in compensation from Ecuador, which terminated the company’s drilling concession in the Amazon when it discovered that Occidental had broken Ecuadorean law(14). The Swedish company Vattenfall is suing the German government for shutting down nuclear power(15). An Australian firm is suing El Salvador for $300m for refusing permission for a gold mine that would poison the drinking water(16).

    The same mechanism, under TTIP, could be used to prevent governments in the UK from reversing the privatisation of the railways and the National Health Service, or from defending public health and the natural world against corporate greed. Its overall effect is to chill the formation of any policy that puts people ahead of money.

    The corporate lawyers who sit on these panels are beholden only to the companies whose cases they adjudicate, who at other times are their employers(17). As one of these people commented(18), “When I wake up at night and think about arbitration, it never ceases to amaze me that sovereign states have agreed to investment arbitration at all … Three private individuals are entrusted with the power to review, without any restriction or appeal procedure, all actions of the government, all decisions of the courts, and all laws and regulations emanating from parliament.”

    So outrageous is this arrangement that even the Economist, usually the champion of corporate power and trade treaties, has now come out against it(19). It calls investor-state dispute settlement “a way to let multinational companies get rich at the expense of ordinary people”.

    When David Cameron and the corporate press launched their campaign against the candidacy of Jean-Claude Juncker for president of the European Commission, they claimed that he threatened British sovereignty. It was a perfect inversion of reality. Juncker, seeing the way the public debate was going, promised in his manifesto that “I will not sacrifice Europe’s safety, health, social and data  protection standards … on the altar of free trade … Nor will I accept that the jurisdiction of courts in the EU Member States is limited by special regimes for investor disputes.”(20) Juncker’s crime was that he had pledged not to give away as much of our sovereignty to corporate lawyers as Cameron and the media barons demanded.

    Juncker is now coming under extreme pressure. Last month 14 states wrote to him(21), privately and without consulting their parliaments, demanding the inclusion of investor-state dispute settlement (the letter was leaked a few days ago). And who is leading this campaign? The British government. It’s hard to get your head around the duplicity involved. While claiming to be so exercised about our sovereignty that it is prepared to leave the EU, our government is secretly insisting that the European Commission slaughters our sovereignty on behalf of corporate profits. David Cameron is leading a gunpowder plot against democracy.

    He and his ministers have failed to answer the howlingly obvious question: what’s wrong with the courts? If corporations want to sue governments, they already have a right to do so, through the courts, like anyone else. It’s not as if, with their vast budgets, they are disadvantaged in this arena. Why should they be allowed to use a separate legal system, to which the rest of us have no access? What happened to the principle of equality before the law? If our courts are fit to deprive citizens of their liberty, why are they unfit to deprive corporations of anticipated future profits? Let’s not hear another word from the defenders of TTIP until they have answered this question.

    It cannot be ducked for much longer. Unlike previous treaties, this one is being dragged by campaigners into the open, where its justifications shrivel upon exposure to the light. There’s a tough struggle to come, and the outcome is by no means certain, but my sense is that we will win.

    www.monbiot.com

    References:

    1. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/04/us-trade-deal-full-frontal-assault-on-democracy

    2. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/dec/18/wrong-george-monbiot-nothing-secret-eu-trade-deal

    3. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/11/eu-us-trade-deal-transatlantic-trade-and-investment-partnership-democracy

    4. https://stop-ttip.org/

    5. https://secure.38degrees.org.uk/page/s/eu-ttip-petition#petition

    6. http://ttip2014.eu/blog-detail/blog/Highlights%20Oct%2011.html

    7. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/consultations/index.cfm?consul_id=179

    8. http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2014/july/tradoc_152693.pdf

    9. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/13/eu-us-trade-deal-no-threat-democracy-monbiot-transatlantic-partnership

    10. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/10/eu-us-trade-deal-give-corporations-take

    11. http://bit.ly/1xYr3L6

    12. http://blog.oup.com/2014/01/van-harten-q-a-investor-state-arbitration/

    13. http://www.wdm.org.uk/multinational-corporations/cameron%E2%80%99s-trade-deal-would-%E2%80%98open-floodgates%E2%80%99-philip-morris-style-cases

    14. http://kluwerarbitrationblog.com/blog/2012/12/19/icsids-largest-award-in-history-an-overview-of-occidental-petroleum-corporation-v-the-republic-of-ecuador/

    15. http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21623756-governments-are-souring-treaties-protect-foreign-investors-arbitration

    16. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/oct/03/australian-mining-is-poisoning-el-salvador-it-could-soon-send-it-broke-too

    17. http://blog.oup.com/2014/01/van-harten-q-a-investor-state-arbitration/

    18. http://corporateeurope.org/trade/2012/11/chapter-4-who-guards-guardians-conflicting-interests-investment-arbitrators

    19. http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21623756-governments-are-souring-treaties-protect-foreign-investors-arbitration

    20. http://t.co/fQkoZWsZJX

    21. blogs.ft.com/brusselsblog/files/2014/10/ISDSLetter.pdf

  • The ‘Irreversible Impacts’ Of Climate Inaction

    Why A Company Is Buying Up Huge Tracts Of Alabama’s Land And Punching It Full Of Holes

    World’s Scientists Warn: We Have ‘High Confidence’ In The ‘Irreversible Impacts’ Of Climate Inaction

    Posted on November 2, 2014 at 10:56 am

    IPCC Final

    Humanity’s choice (via IPCC): Aggressive climate action ASAP (left figure) minimizes future warming and costs a mere 0.06% of annual growth. Continued inaction (right figure) results in catastrophic and irreversible levels of warming, 9°F over much of U.S. and world.

    The world’s top scientists and governments have issued their bluntest plea yet to the world: Slash carbon pollution now (at a very low cost) or risk “severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems.” Scientists have “high confidence” these devastating impacts occur “even with adaptation” — if we keep doing little or nothing.

    On Sunday, the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released the “synthesis” report of their fifth full scientific climate assessment since 1990. More than 100 governments have signed off line by line on this review of more than 30,000 studies on climate science, impacts, and solutions.

    Like every recent IPCC report, it is cautious to a fault — as you would expect from “its consensus structure, which tends to produce a lowest common denominator on which a large number of scientists can agree,” as one climatologist explained to the New York Times. And that “lowest common denominator” is brought to an even blander and lower level in the summary reports since they need to end up with language that satisfies every member government.

    The authors clearly understand this is the last time they have a serious shot at influencing the world’s major governments while we still have a plausible chance of stabilizing at non-catastrophic levels. IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri said this report will “provide the roadmap by which policymakers will hopefully find their way to a global agreement to finally reverse course on climate change.” That global agreement is supposed to be achieved over the next year and finalized at the December 2015 international climate talks in Paris.

    And yet, as conservative as the process is, this final synthesis is still incredibly alarming — while at the same time it is terrifically hopeful.

    How hopeful? The world’s top scientists and governments make clear for the umpteenth time that the cost of action is relatively trivial: “Mitigation scenarios that are likely to limit warming to below 2°C” entail “an annualized reduction of consumption growth by 0.04 to 0.14 (median: 0.06) percentage points over the century relative to annualized consumption growth in the baseline that is between 1.6 percent and 3 percent per year (high confidence).”

    Translation: The cost of even the most aggressive action — the kind needed to stave off irreversible disaster — is so low that it would not noticeably change the growth curve of the world economy this century. With high confidence, we would be reducing annual consumption growth from, say, 2.4 percent per year down to “only” a growth level of 2.34 percent per year.

    How bad can it get if we won’t devote that tiny fraction of the world’s wealth to action? The IPCC already explained that in the science report from last fall (see “Alarming IPCC Prognosis: 9°F Warming For U.S., Faster Sea Rise, More Extreme Weather, Permafrost Collapse”). And they expanded on that in the impacts report (see “Climate Panel Warns World Faces ‘Breakdown Of Food Systems’ And More Violent Conflict”).

    The synthesis report ties it all together:

    In most scenarios without additional mitigation efforts … warming is more likely than not to exceed 4°C [7°F] above pre-industrial levels by 2100. The risks associated with temperatures at or above 4°C include substantial species extinction, global and regional food insecurity, consequential constraints on common human activities, and limited potential for adaptation in some cases (high confidence).

    Translation: There is high confidence that if we keep doing little or nothing [the RCP8.5 case], we will create a post-apocalyptic “hunger games” world beyond adaptation.

    Ever cautious, the IPCC euphemistically writes of “consequential constraints on common human activities.” Elsewhere they explain that “by 2100 for RCP8.5, the combination of high temperature and humidity in some areas for parts of the year is expected to compromise common human activities, including growing food and working outdoors (high confidence).”

    Translation: We are at risk of making large parts of the planet’s currently arable and populated land virtually uninhabitable for much of the year — and irreversibly so for hundreds of years.

    Indeed, the report makes clear that future generations can’t plausibly undo whatever we are too greedy and shortsighted to prevent through immediate action. And as bad as the impacts described in this report are, things will be even worse after 2100 in every case but the one where we aggressively act ASAP to stabilize at 2°C total warming.

    And remember, this is a super-cautious, consensus-based, “lowest common denominator” report. The Washington Post has an excellent piece on the inherently conservative nature of these reports and why they “often underestimate the severity of global warming.”

    So things are probably going to be much, much worse for our children and grandchildren and future generations if we fail to act. Do we really want to find out just how much worse things could be?

  • The story they won’t report on

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    The story they won’t report on

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    Vicky Fysh vicky@350.org.au via list.350.org 

    5:23 PM (25 minutes ago)

    to me

    Dear Friend,

    Four weeks ago, the Australian National University announced it was selling $16 million of shares in two fossil fuel companies and five other mining companies. What happened next was odd in the extreme.

    The Australian Financial Review (AFR) went into overdrive, dedicating a month of breathless coverage to attacking ANU’s decision.

    The AFR has now published 43 stories, 30,000 words and 12 front covers on the topic of one university divesting from a handful of companies. By contrast, the global surge in renewable energy and the growing carbon bubble barely rate a mention.

    Sign our open letter to tell the AFR that Australians want responsible reporting on the biggest financial stories of our time.

    Smart people know that the world needs to leave most fossil fuels in the ground.* They know that a huge transformation is underway, disrupting old energy sources and risking hundreds of billions of dollars in stranded assets.

    But the AFR won’t cover this news. So that’s why we’re going to take the news to the AFR.

    AFR’s parent company — Fairfax Media — has its AGM this Thursday in Melbourne. From the moment the doors open, we’ll be presenting Fairfax shareholders with a more honest version of events in our special edition of the Australian Fossil Fuel Review (AFFR).

    When shareholders open the AFFR, we want them to see the names of thousands of Australians calling on the AFR to report responsibly. 

    Click here to add your name today!

    Shareholders should know that the AFR is failing in its core business of delivering responsible financial news. Instead, it’s running a campaign to try to slow the divestment movement, while giving limited coverage to some of the the biggest financial stories of our time – climate change and the surge in clean energy. This may suit miners, but it doesn’t suit Australia’s future.

    Click here to send the AFR a message that climate cover-ups and compromised reporting is not ok.

    Yours for a brighter future,

    Vicky and the 350 Australia team

    PS: Want to do more?

    1. Join us to deliver the AFFR this Thursday
    2. Share this on Facebook
    3. Tweet

    *Just today, Ban Ki-Moon urged global pension funds to divest from fossil fuels!


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