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  • Arctic ice melt sends Alaskan temperatures soaring by 7C

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    RTCC Respond Magazine 2014

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    Arctic ice melt sends Alaskan temperatures soaring by 7C

    Last updated on 20 October 2014, 4:54 pm

    Scientists in the northern Alaska outpost of Barrow have linked 7C temperature rise to the decline in Arctic sea ice
    The visitors’ centre in the speedily warming town of Barrow, Alaska (Pic: Terry Feuerborn/Flickr)

    The visitors’ centre in the speedily warming town of Barrow, Alaska (Pic: Terry Feuerborn/Flickr)

    By Alex Kirby

    If you doubt that parts of the planet really are warming, talk to residents of Barrow, the Alaskan town that is the most northerly settlement in the US.

    In the last 34 years, the average October temperature in Barrow has risen by more than 7C − an increase that, on its own, makes a mockery of international efforts to prevent global temperatures from rising more than 2C above their pre-industrial level.

    A study by scientists at the University of Alaska Fairbanks analysed several decades of weather information.

    These show that temperature trends are closely linked to sea ice concentrations, which have been recorded since 1979, when accurate satellite measurements began.

    The study, published in the Open Atmospheric Science Journal, traces what has happened to average annual and monthly temperatures in Barrow from 1979 to 2012.

    Striking

    In that period, the average annual temperature rose by 2.7C. But the November increase was far higher − more than 6C. And October was the most striking of all, with the month’s average temperature 7.2C higher in 2012 than in 1979.

    Gerd Wendler, the lead author of the study and a professor emeritus at the university’s International Arctic Research Center, said he was “astonished”. He told the Alaska Dispatch News: “I think I have never, anywhere, seen such a large increase in temperature over such a short period.”

    The study shows that October is the month when sea ice loss in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, which border northern Alaska, has been highest.

    The authors say these falling ice levels over the Arctic Ocean after the maximum annual melt are the reason for the temperature rise. “You cannot explain it by anything else,” Wendler said.

    They have ruled out the effects of sunlight because, by October, the sun is low in the sky over Barrow and, by late November, does not appear above the horizon.

    Instead, they say, the north wind picks up stored heat from water that is no longer ice-covered in late autumn and releases it into the atmosphere.

    At first sight, the team’s findings are remarkable, as Barrow’s 7.2C rise in 34 years compares with a global average temperature increase over the past century of up to about 0.8C. But what’s happening may be a little more complex.

    Warming faster

    The fact that temperatures in and around Barrow are rising fast is no surprise, as the Arctic itself is known to be warming faster than most of the rest of the world.

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says observed warming in parts of northern Alaska was up to 3C from the early 1980s to the mid-2000s. It also concludes that about two-thirds of the last century’s global temperature increase has occurred since 1980.

    But Barrow’s long-term temperature rise has not been uniform, the Fairbanks study says. Its analysis of weather records between 1921 and 2012 shows a much more modest average annual rise, of 1.51C. In 2014, the city experienced the coolest summer day recorded − 14.5C.

    So one conclusion is to remember just how complex a system the climate is − and how even 34 years may be too short a time to allow for any certainty.

    This article was produced by the Climate News Network
    – See more at: http://www.rtcc.org/2014/10/20/alaskan-town-warms-7c-in-34-years/#sthash.64K1wTbg.dpuf

  • Renew Economy Daily Update

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    Daily update: Wind power is more reliable than gas – and cheaper, too

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    RenewEconomy editor@reneweconomy.com.au via mail62.atl51.rsgsv.net 

    3:06 PM (27 minutes ago)

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    The myth that renewables are too unreliable to meet baseload electricity demand is now busted – gas, on the other hand… Plus: Large-scale solar in the gun as Abbott govt reveals RET stance; why whole towns will want to take themselves off-grid; How Victoria could go solar, save millions and boost jobs; Graph of the Day – the rise and rise of distributed solar; Trans-Pacific partnership threatens green trade deal; 167 Teslas for Amsterdam airport; and a quantum leap in solar technology.
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    As Australia’s dance of the seven RET Reviews continues, it seems like a good time to revisit one of the more persistent anti-renewables myths bandied about by fossil fuel types (and most of the Abbott government): that that renewable energy is unreliable in meeting electricity demand.
    Abbott government says no changes to household solar, but wants large scale renewables target slashed by two thirds. So much for ditching the Warburton Review.
    Going off-grid will help towns boost jobs, increase reliability of their energy supply, and lower costs. What’s to lose?
    CEC report says Victoria could easily adjust solar and energy efficiency policy to save hundreds of millions in costs, boost jobs and cut emissions.
    Want proof distributed solar is booming?  Two charts show how it provided over 25% of new US power plant capacity in 2013 and 43% in first half 2014.
    The Trans-Pacific Partnership threatens green trade deal that could ultimately do more to reduce carbon emissions than international climate agreements.
    Amsterdam’s main Schiphol airport has enlisted the aid of 167 Tesla Model S taxi cabs as part of its bid to be among the greenest in the world.
    Micro inverters and smart energy management systems are taking solar into off grid systems, camper vans and pretty much anywhere else you want power.
  • Australia will suffer the most economic damage from El Nino

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    Australia Is One Of The Most At Risk Regions For Economic Damage From El Nino
    Chris Pash Yesterday at 9:34 PM 5

    Getty/Sergio Dionisio

    The latest international study has indicated that Australia is one of the most at risk regions for economic damage due to the El Niño climate event.

    The researchers constructed a model of flood impacts to populations and economies across the world using data from between the years of 1959 to 2000 and found that Australia is one of the worst hit areas for El Nino flood damage.

    Currently Australia’s El Nino watch by the Bureau of Meteorology is on Neutral.

    The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is characterised by extended periods of above or below average sea surface temperatures west of South America and can cause extreme climate fluctuations around the world that sometimes result in severe weather events including hurricanes, flooding or drought.

    Philip Ward of Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University, Amsterdam, and colleagues investigated the influence of ENSO on floods.

    The authors constructed a model of flood impacts to populations and economies using global population, gross domestic product, a hydrological model, and climate data between 1959-2000 from EU-WATCH.

    The model revealed that 34% of the Earth’s land surface experiences floods that are either lower or higher than average during El Niño events in which ocean surface temperatures are warmer than normal.

    Similarly, 38% of the Earth’s land surface experiences floods during La Niña events.

    Higher than average flood volumes tend to increase economic damage, whereas lower than average flood volumes reduce economic damage.

    The model showed that 44% of the Earth’s land area experiences levels of urban damage higher or lower than average during El Niño and La Nina events.

    The research is published in the journal PNAS.

  • Four reasons why Naomi Klein is right

    Four Reasons Why Naomi Klein is Right

    The following letter was written by Peter Victor, economist and professor in the Faculty of Environmental Studies at York University, in response to a review of This Changes Everything in the November 2014 issue of the Literary Review of Canada.

    Mark Jaccard draws on his detailed knowledge of climate change policies and mainstream economics to reject Naomi Klein’s argument that climate change represents a fundamental challenge to capitalism. And he makes some good points. Nonetheless, here are four reasons for thinking that Klein is essentially correct:

    Capitalism’s poor track record. Capitalism hasn’t solved the climate problem. Greenhouse gas emissions from countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development are higher than in 1994 when they signed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Jaccard cites California as “the leading jurisdiction in … arguably the world” because of its programs for reducing emissions. Yet he fails to mention that changing patterns of trade have disguised the fact that emissions have been shifted abroad from developed economies rather than reduced, as careful accounting demonstrates. Furthermore, the policy “solutions” of emission taxes and tradeable permits that Jaccard refers to have been known for decades, but have not been comprehensively implemented. Indeed, they have been actively resisted. The United States did not ratify the Kyoto Protocol, which included economic policies favoured by Jaccard, and Canada, which did ratify it, rescinded its ratification. Why is this? Klein provides an answer. Jaccard does not.

    Capitalism is slow to transition to renewables. The fossil fuel industry is not leading the transition to renewables. Instead, it seeks access to more remote and environmentally damaging sources of fossil fuels and the relaxation of environmental protections. Energy prices do not adequately reflect environmental and social costs in their production and use, which favour fossil fuels, and no one can make monopoly profits by owning the sun and wind.

    Capitalism encourages competition and discourages cooperation. Competition and cooperation are both important in resilient, just societies. Climate policy is a failure of cooperation. Under capitalism, the public interest is supposed to be served through the self-interested behaviour of producers and consumers. Climate change is just one among numerous examples of where this doesn’t happen and, as Klein reports, the list is growing.

    Capitalism thrives on economic growth. The faster an economy grows, the faster it must reduce greenhouse gas emissions per dollar of economic output, just to stop total emissions increasing—and faster still to achieve an absolute reduction. How long could such a process continue, were it even to start? One generation? A couple? Questioning the longevity of economic growth entails questioning the structure of capitalism, which Klein understands and so should we.

    EDITOR’S NOTE: The Literary Review of Canada shared a pre-publication version of Mark Jaccard’s review with us in order to solicit a direct response from Naomi. We pointed out a number of glaring factual errors, some of which remain in the review. According to Jaccard, Naomi claims that supporters of employing carbon capture technology usually favor using captured CO2 for “enhanced oil recovery” (the book briefly profiles the push for EOR as a revealing case study, but makes no such broad claim). He also portrays Naomi as arguing that all climate policies are equally susceptible to trade law challenges (in fact the book is very specific about which kinds of policies are most likely to provoke challenges, the legal justifications for them, and why it matters). The editors and Jaccard opted not to correct these errors while there was still time to do so, and the review relies heavily on such distortions in a clumsy attempt to discredit rather than constructively respond to the book.

    This approach could have easily been anticipated by the LRC. While Jaccard has contributed valuable work on unsustainable resource extraction and other subjects, and we respect the strong stands he has taken against the Harper government’s failures on climate and energy, he is one of the country’s best-known advocates of market-based solutions and industry-backed technological fixes like carbon capture and storage. He has also been an aggressive supporter of deregulating British Columbia’s electricity system, contracting with an industry association of private power producers to respond to expert critics of BC energy policy. For Jaccard to have written a fair, thoughtful review of Naomi’s book would have required an unlikely ideological conversion.

    Because we disagree with how the review was handled, we won’t be responding in the LRC. Thankfully, other experts are writing responses further correcting the record, which we will be posting here. Please feel free to get in touch if you have written a rebuttal.

  • Daily Update Renew Economy

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    AdSolar Systems Offergosolarnewcastle.com.au – Get Free Envoy & 1 Extra 250W Panel With Every 4KW PV System Order.

    Daily update: Was the Warburton Review a complete waste of money?

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    RenewEconomy editor@reneweconomy.com.au via mail59.atl11.rsgsv.net 

    2:45 PM (1 hour ago)

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    RET Review panelist paid enough for a 20kW solar system, as questions arise over Review’s terms of reference. Plus: solar industry hits back on modeling behind proposed tariff changes; How a community solar project raised $120k in 10 days; Graph of the Day; City of Adelaide’s emissions win; US solar system prices continue downhill slide; Europe’s climate and energy test; questioning the value proposition of energy storage; 2014 on track for warmest on record; UK conservatives call solar ‘blight on landscape’; into the low-down on oceans, climate and the hiatus; and micropower’s quiet takeover.
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    RET Review member paid enough for a 20kW solar system, as PM&C concedes Warburton Review went beyond terms of reference. This comes as the Climate Change Authority, which the Abbott government says it still wants to ditch, says it will complete its own report on the RET.
    Solar industry scathing on modelling used to justify fixed and time-of-use tariffs. Households – particularly solar ones – might get dudded again on network charges.
    Repower Shoalhaven raised $120k of funding in just 10 days to install a 99kW community solar system that could save the local bowling club up to $400k.
    New report suggests wind energy could supply 19% of global electricity by 2030, up to 30 per cent by 2050.
    Renewable energy and green buildings help City of Adelaide cut community carbon emissions by 19% since 2007, electricity emissions by 31% from 2004-2014.
    US DOE report says distributed solar PV system prices dropped by 12-195 nationwide in 2013, and should fall by another 3-12% in 2014.
    EU leaders meet this week to set foundations of climate and energy policy for 2030. Can Europe convince the world it has a credible strategy?
    We are told energy storage is needed for variable wind and solar. But this is not true now, and won’t be for some time.
    As emissions steadily rise, the National Climatic Data Center has announced that 2014 will likely break the record for the warmest year on the books.
    UK Environment Secretary says she would prefer farms grew crops rather than “blighting the landscape” with solar arrays. Sound familiar?
    Are Earth’s oceans hotting up or aren’t they? And if so, how will this affect life on dry land? A top to bottom look at oceans and climate change.
    Micropower is  cost-competitive and rapidly scalable … and it democratizes energy choices, promotes competition, speeds learning and innovation.
  • Bermuda Triangle Mystery Could Be Solved

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    Bermuda Triangle Mystery Could Be Solved

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    By Afza Fathima | October 20, 2014 1:21 PM EST

    A new report has made suggestions that several mysterious craters found in Siberia could be linked to the mysteries surrounding the Bermuda Triangle. Scientists who were not involved in the report said that the sink hole mechanism did not explain the vanishings in the Bermuda triangle.
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    Reuters
    A view of an empty beach in Termini Imerese in the southern Italian island of Sicily. A sun drenched island in the middle if the Mediterranean with wondeful food and beautiful beaches would be most people’s idea of heaven. But Sicily is less a case of paradise than the Bermuda Triangle, particularly when it comes to economics, with all attempts at betterment disappearing in a mysterious sinkhole.

    According to the Siberian Times, a huge crater was discovered by Siberian reindeer herders in July on the Yamal Peninsula, which is also known as “the end of the world.” Apart from that, two other holes were found in the Taz District and the Taymyr Peninsula. The origins of the Siberian holes remained a mystery.

    A report in the journal Nature said that the release of the gases trapped in the methane could have resulted in the sinkholes. The researchers who conducted the study said that the air that was found in the bottom of the crater had high concentrations of methane. They said that heating from above the surface as well as below the surface because of unusually warm climatic condition and geological fault lines respectively, could have lead to the high levels of methane.

    Researchers have said that the disappearance of ships and aircrafts in the Bermuda Triangle could be because of the high levels of methane in the sinkholes. Many people have said that the Bermuda Triangle does not exist while a few others say that it exists between Bermuda, Florida and Puerto Rico.

    Vladimir Romanovsky is a geologist and the professor of geophysics at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. He is interested in the scientific and practical aspects of both, the environmental and engineering problems, that involve ice and permafrost. In an article by Live Science, he said it was probable that sinkholes were produced in the oceans were similar to the holes found due to the methane hydrates.

    Benjamin Phrampus is an Earth scientist at the Southern Methodist University in Dallas. He told Live Science that the methane hydrates were known to have existed along the U.S. North Atlantic continental margin. He said a large province on Blake Ridge which is located to the north of the Bermuda Triangle also was known to have the methane gases.

    To contact the editor, e-mail: editor@ibtimes.com