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“Fire Ice” impact on oil spill, Containment and Energy Future

admin /31 May, 2010

Stranger than fiction: methane hydrate, a potential source of energy that may dwarf the supply of earth’s existing fossil fuels likely caused the April 20 Deepwater Horizon-BP explosion and then prevented the containment of the resulting spill this weekend.

Reports that methane hydrate gases shot up the well before the Deepwater Horizon explosion appeared on Friday, while the attempt Saturday by BP to put a containment dome over the leaking oil well was foiled by “slushy methane hydrates” that built up in the structure.

Unknown risks associated with our society’s fossil fuel reliance are suddenly coming into sharper focus, and it’s beginning to look like a well-conceived science fiction movie. Only this is real, it’s happening now, and a happy ending appears out of the question.

We can’t turn it off.  

An out-of-control oil spill is coming directly out of the earth, with seemingly unlimited quantities of crude fouling into the nation’s most productive fishery, where 80% of the country’s domestically produced wild seafood supply is harvested. The oil spill is accompanied by one of the most potent known greenhouse gases, which stymies rescue efforts with acute volatility, threatening far more global climate damage than existing fossil fuels.    

Also known as “ice energy,” methane hydrate is layered below the global ocean floors around the world in a frozen, yet highly flammable state. Occurring in permafrost as well, this enigmatic substance has more than three times the carbon than natural gas, coal and oil combined, so it presents incalcuable risks to the global climate if it is released into the atmosphere without sequestration.

The Peak Oil Crisis: The Deepwater Horizon

admin /31 May, 2010

It has been nearly a month since the tragic events aboard BP’s drilling rig, Deepwater Horizon, which suffered a blowout, caught fire, and sank in the Gulf of Mexico releasing prodigious amounts of oil into the sea. So far there has been little damage to the coastline; however, this could change quickly as oil is still pouring from the damaged well pipe and it could be months before the blowout is brought under control.

The possible damage to the environment ranges anywhere from minor, which is doubtful, to wiping out the seafood and tourist industries along the Gulf coast for many years.

Although BP and the government continue to talk about a leak of only 5,000 barrels a day based on photography of the surface slick, numerous outside observers who have viewed video footage of the broken pipe are saying this figure may be an order of magnitude too low. Thus far BP has refused to deploy instruments that could give a more accurate appraisal of the amount of oil spewing into the Gulf on the grounds that stopping the leak, not its size, is what matters.

No matter how much environmental and economic damage results from the Deepwater Horizon blowout, the ramifications of the spill are likely to linger for decades and have a major impact on the availability of deepwater oil as we enter the era of oil depletion. The U.S. government has already put a temporary hold on additional drilling until the facts of the current situation are clarified. The oil companies who are used to minimal government interference with their activities are already raising objections to the possibility of tougher regulation.

Government’s chief scientific adviser hits out at climate sceptics

admin /31 May, 2010

Government’s chief scientific adviser hits out at climate sceptics

Professor John Beddington dismisses ‘unreasonable’ comments from groups including Nigel Lawson’s thinktank, as Royal Society responds to critics with new climate science guide

• UK Royal Society revives confusion as US concludes climate change certainty

Science and Technology Committee

Professor John Beddington, the government’s chief scientific adviser – appointed by Gordon Brown in 2008 – appears before a parliamentary committee in March 2010. Photograph: PA

 

The government’s chief scientific adviser has hit out at climate sceptics who attack global warming science on spurious grounds.

The statements from Professor John Beddington appeared to be a veiled attack on the former Tory chancellor and arch climate sceptic Nigel Lawson.

Beddington said that he had met Lord Lawson to brief him about the science of global warming.

His comments came as the Royal Society announced that it would publish a new guide to climate science for the public following criticism of existing statements on the topic, reportedly from 43 of the society’s 1,489 fellows.

Gillard content to play waiting game

admin /30 May, 2010

Gillard content to play waiting game

JULIA Gillard won’t be challenging Kevin Rudd for the Labor leadership before the next election, even though she most likely already has the numbers to do so.

Any successful challenge would see her lead a divided party six months out from an election. The words poisoned and chalice come to mind.

It is near universally accepted in the Labor Party, commentariat and wider public that Gillard is the Labor leader in waiting. Recently her preferred prime minister numbers have lifted to a comparable level to that of Rudd.

She is therefore in no rush to depose Rudd, even though his personal popularity continues to drip away, strengthening her alternative leadership stocks.

If Gillard did challenge and happened to fall short – there are one or two variables that could make that happen that I’ll look at later – she would give up her right to take over unopposed. Contenders such as Wayne Swan and Lindsay Tanner would start circling, as could longer-term aspirants such as Tony Burke and Bill Shorten.

Fears grow of Labor election loss

admin /28 May, 2010

Fears grow of Labor election loss

THERE are senior and experienced federal Labor MPs who say quietly and privately that they can see the possibility “that we could lose the election”.

This is incredible not only because the people are not newcomers unused to dealing with falls in polling and tough periods of politics, but also because no Labor MP at all would have even thought it possible six months ago.

The incredible nature of this situation is heightened for Labor because where there was once certainty about how to defeat the Coalition there is now tension within the ranks about what should be done.

A “class war” waged against the “rich mining barons” over the new mining profits tax is losing its appeal by the day as collateral damage to the sharemarket, public confidence, retirement funds and claims about the future of the resources industry suggest any such plans are counterproductive.

Debate hots up on pulp mill future

admin /28 May, 2010

Debate hots up on pulp mill future Updated 1 hour 29 minutes ago Forestry industry talks and the resignation of Gunns’ chairman have restarted the debate over a proposed pulp mill in Tasmania’s north. John Gay was with the company for 37 years and was a major driver of the proposed $2 billion Tamar Valley Continue Reading →