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  • Aragonite saturation state dynamics in a coastal upwelling zone

    Aragonite saturation state dynamics in a coastal upwelling zone

    Published 16 August 2013 Science Leave a Comment
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    Coastal upwelling zones may be at enhanced risk from ocean acidification as upwelling brings low aragonite saturation state (ΩAr) waters to the surface that are further suppressed by anthropogenic CO2. ΩAr was calculated with pH, pCO2, and salinity-derived alkalinity time series data from autonomous pH and pCO2 instruments moored on the Oregon shelf and shelf break during different seasons from 2007 to 2011. Surface ΩAr values ranged between 0.66 ± 0.04 and 3.9 ± 0.04 compared to an estimated pre-industrial range of 1.0 ± 0.1 to 4.7 ± 0.1. Upwelling of high-CO2 water and subsequent removal of CO2 by phytoplankton imparts a dynamic range to ΩAr from ~1.0 to ~4.0 between spring and autumn. Freshwater input also suppresses saturation states during the spring. Winter ΩAr is less variable than during other seasons and is controlled primarily by mixing of the water column.

     

    Harris K. E., DeGrandpre M. D. & Hales B., 2013. Aragonite saturation state dynamics in a coastal upwelling zone. Geophysical Research Letters 40: 2720–2725. Article (subscription required).

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  • pH evolution in sea ice grown at an outdoor experimental facility

    pH evolution in sea ice grown at an outdoor experimental facility

    Published 16 August 2013 Science Leave a Comment
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    The pH of sea ice and brine was experimentally determined during initial ice growth and melt at the Sea-ice Environmental Research Facility (SERF), an outdoor experimental sea ice facility in Winnipeg, Canada. pH measurements were performed potentiometrically and spectroscopically at near-freezing temperatures. Vertical pH profiles from bulk ice cores revealed a consistent C-shaped pattern during columnar ice growth, with highest pH values (> 9) in both exterior (top and bottom) ice sections and in frost flowers, and lowest pH (~ 7) in interior ice sections. Brine pH typically remained below that of the source seawater pH (~8.4). The distinct differences between these ice features and the underlying seawater source demonstrates the effect of the natural freezing process and associated changes in the CO2-carbonate system on the pH of the sea ice environment. Interpreting this effect provides new insight into the conditions leading to CO2 exchange across the ocean-sea ice-atmosphere interface. A conceptual model of pH evolution in seawater, sea ice and brine, and frost flowers is proposed to explain the observed pH characteristics of seawater components during sea ice growth and melt.

     

    Hare A. A., Wang F., Barber D., Geilfus N.-X., Galley R. J. & Rysgaard S., 2013. pH evolution in sea ice grown at an outdoor experimental facility. Marine Chemistry 154: 46–54. Article (subscription required).

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  • Climate Change And Tsunamis: Ice Melt May Cause Underwater Avalanches, Research Shows

    Climate Change And Tsunamis: Ice Melt May Cause Underwater Avalanches, Research Shows

    Posted: 08/16/2013 4:36 pm EDT  |  Updated: 08/16/2013 7:15 pm EDT

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    From Charles Q. Choi, OurAmazingPlanet Contributor:

    If melting ice caps trigger rapid sea level rise, the strain that the edges of continents could experience might set off underwater landslides, new research suggests.

    Submarine landslides happen on every continental margin, the underwater parts of continental plates bordering oceanic plates. These underwater avalanches, which can happen when underwater slopes get hit by earthquakes or otherwise have too much weight loaded onto them, can generate dangerous tsunamis.

    A staggering half of all the Earth moved by submarine landslides over the past 125,000 years apparently happened between 8,000 and 15,000 years ago. “This time period coincides with the period of most rapid sea level rise following the end of the last ice age,” said study co-author Daniel Brothers, a geophysicist at the U.S. Geological Survey’s Coastal and Marine Science Center in Woods Hole, Mass. [10 Tsunamis That Changed History]

    landslide

    Example of a submarine landslide complex along the southern New England continental margin, about 100 miles (161 kilometers) south of Cape Cod, Mass. The 3D perspective includes the seafloor seismic imaging. Credit: Daniel Brothers

    Since these prehistoric disasters coincided with changes in climate, previous research suggested natural global warming might have been their cause, but what exactly the link might be was unclear. To learn more, Brothers and his colleagues generated 3D computer models of the effects of 395 feet (120 meters) of sea level rise on the continental margins off North Carolina and Brazil’s Amazon coast.

    The rapid sea level rise that happened between 8,000 and 15,000 years ago was due to melting ice caps, which were originally hundreds to thousands of feet high. These glaciers placed weight on the planet’s rocky surface, building stress on faults in the Earth for millennia. The later thinning and retreat of these glaciers raised sea levels by about 395 feet, increasing the amount of pressure these critically stressed faults experienced across their entire length by an amount similar to that of the average human bite. This would be enough pressure to set off the faults, triggering underwater landslides, the models showed.

    The scientists added that such underwater landslides could have helped release vast quantities of methane, a greenhouse gas, from the seabed. This could have, in turn, driven profound changes in the oceans and the atmosphere, such as the warming of the climate.

    Brothers and his colleagues Karen Luttrell and Jason Chaytor detailed their findings online July 22 in the journal Geology.

    Follow us @livescience, Facebook & Google+. Original article on LiveScience.com.

    Copyright 2013 LiveScience, a TechMediaNetwork company. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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  • Scientists continue research into natural gas production from hydrates

    Providing coverage of Alaska and northern Canada’s oil and gas industry


    Where from here?

    Scientists continue research into natural gas production from hydrates

    Alan Bailey

    Petroleum News

    Research into possible future natural gas production from massive worldwide deposits of methane hydrate has reached the stage of planning long-term production tests, with the possibility of some of these tests being conducted on the Alaska North Slope, and with Japan hoping to produce gas from its offshore hydrate resources sometime after 2023, Brian Anderson, a fellow in the Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory and Ray Boswell, Department of Energy technology manager for natural gas technology, told a workshop held on July 31 during the International Association for Energy Economics’ North American conference.

     

    Ice-like solid

    Methane hydrate, an ice-like solid with methane, the primary component of natural gas, trapped in a lattice of water molecules, is known to exist in huge quantities in many parts of the world. And for a number of years scientists, intrigued by the possibility of turning at least some of this natural resource into a prolific source of gas for fuel, have been researching the nature of various methane hydrate deposits and the practicalities of extracting gas from the material.The material is stable under a certain range of temperatures and pressures, and moving the temperature or pressure out of this range causes the hydrate to decompose into water and gas. And the relatively low temperatures and high pressures required for stability tend to cause hydrate formation in deep ocean seafloors and around the base of the permafrost under land in regions such as the Alaska North Slope where the ground is frozen to substantial depths.

     

     

    Vast potential resource

    Boswell said that methane hydrate is thought to exist on most of the world’s continental shelf areas, as well as on land in permafrost regions. There is still a huge range of uncertainty in estimates of worldwide gas volumes locked in methane hydrate deposits but, to give a sense of the possible scale of the resource, the mid-point of that range may be around 350,000 trillion cubic feet, he said.“Gas hydrate is one-third of all potential mobile organic carbon on the planet,” Boswell said.

    The hydrates typically exist as solids in the pores of subsurface rocks and are also found on the seabed as seeps and mounds. But, given the relatively high concentrations of hydrate that can exist in geologically stable sand deposits and the relative ease with which fluids might flow through these sands to a wellbore, research into the commercial development of methane hydrate has focused on areas where the hydrates are deeply buried in sand, Anderson explained.

    The sand deposits likely hold tens of thousands of trillion cubic feet of gas, out of the total of hundreds of thousands of trillion cubic feet that may exist in all types of deposit, he said.

     

     

    Detailed assessments

    People have conducted detailed methane hydrate assessments for areas where the hydrate deposits appear especially promising as development targets. One of these areas is the North Slope of Alaska, where the U.S. Geological Survey has estimated a total resource of 85 trillion cubic feet of technically recoverable gas in hydrates around the base of the permafrost. In the Gulf of Mexico, another promising area, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management has estimated the possibility of 21,000 trillion cubic feet of gas in hydrates in methane hydrate deposits of all kinds, with perhaps 6,700 trillion cubic feet of this in sand-based deposits, Boswell said. The Bureau has not yet assessed how much of this Gulf of Mexico resource might be technically recoverable, he said.A similar assessment by the Japanese for the Nankai Trough, a region offshore southeast Japan that perhaps represents 10 percent of Japan’s prospective areas for methane hydrate, found the possibility of 40 trillion cubic feet of gas in place in hydrates, with perhaps 20 trillion cubic feet of that total resource existing in sand-based deposits.

     

     

    Production techniques

    Production of gas from any of these resources would require the deliberate destabilizing of the hydrates, to cause the hydrates to break down into water and methane, releasing the methane into a production gas well. And, although it might be possible to achieve this destabilization by injecting some suitable chemical into the hydrate or by heating the hydrate using steam or hot water, the most practical approach seems to involve reducing the pressure in the hydrate-bearing sand reservoir, Anderson said.Essentially, a well would be drilled into the hydrate reservoir and the reservoir pressure reduced by pumping free water from the reservoir up the well. The pressure reduction would cause the hydrates to start to disassociate, generating methane and additional water. By continuing to pump water out of the well, the reservoir pressure would be maintained at too low a level for hydrate stability, thus causing more hydrate to disassociate, more water to form and methane to pass up the well.

    One variant of the process might be operable when a solid hydrate layer lies over free gaseous methane in a subsurface reservoir — the necessary pressure reduction would be achieved by pumping free gas up a well from the reservoir, with the subsequent hydrate disassociation releasing gas to continuously replenish the gas reservoir.

    The snag with these apparently simple processes is that the disassociation reaction absorbs heat, thus cooling the reservoir and perhaps inhibiting further disassociation. Thus, for continuous gas production during depressurization heat would need to flow in from the reservoir surroundings.

     

     

    Test wells

    In 2002 a test in a methane hydrate well in northwestern Canada called the Mallik well attempted methane production through the application of hot water to the hydrate reservoir but found this technique to be ineffective, Anderson said. However, another different test demonstrated that the hydrates could be disassociated through depressurization without the artificial application of heat, a result representing a major breakthrough in methane hydrate research, he said.In 2007 BP, the Department of Energy and the U.S. Geological Survey drilled the Mount Elbert methane hydrate stratigraphic test well at Milne Point on the Alaska North Slope. Tests in this well demonstrated the possibility of de-pressuring the hydrates and thus releasing methane by extracting free water from the hydrate reservoir, Anderson said.

    And in 2008 a new test in the Mallik well succeeded in producing about 13,000 cubic meters of gas over a six-day period using depressurization, he said.

     

     

    Carbon dioxide injection

    In 2012 ConocoPhillips, the Department of Energy and a Japanese company conducted a test in the Ignik Sikumi methane hydrate well in the Prudhoe Bay unit on the North Slope to try a combination of depressurization and carbon dioxide injection as a means of methane production from hydrates. The carbon dioxide would displace some of the methane in the hydrate, thus releasing methane in a reaction that generates rather than absorbs heat.The test, involving the injection of nitrogen as well as carbon dioxide, resulted in the production of about one billion cubic feet of a mixture of methane, carbon dioxide and nitrogen, with less carbon dioxide produced than injected, Anderson said.

    In 2013 the Japanese drilled a methane hydrate production test well in the Nankai Trough and used a depressurization technique to produce about 706,000 cubic feet per day of gas over a six-day period, Anderson said.

    But, despite the success of these various tests, people do not yet know what would happen if production were to be attempted over extended time periods and, hence, whether commercial scale production over perhaps several years would be possible. Much more field testing needs to be done to demonstrate the long-term viability of methane hydrate as an energy source, Boswell said.

    Meantime researchers have been using the detailed information obtained from the various well tests done to date to use computer models to simulate possible long-term production scenarios, Anderson said. And results so far for North Slope on-land scenarios indicate that production will be highly sensitive to the condition of the methane hydrate reservoir but that gas production rates in the order of one million to tens of millions of cubic feet per day, with cumulative production of tens of billions of cubic feet per well, may be achievable. The modeling of production from known deposits in the Gulf of Mexico indicates possible offshore production rates of 50 million to 60 million cubic feet per day, Anderson said. But offshore drilling is much more expensive than onshore drilling, he pointed out.

    Simulations have also tested the potential to use horizontal wells to increase gas production rates from methane hydrate resources and to evaluate the strain that production places on the reservoir rock, Anderson said.

     

     

    Long-term tests

    The next step in hydrate research is to identify optimum sites with appropriate geology for field production tests over relatively long timeframes, Anderson said. Boswell also commented on the need for much additional exploration, confirming, delineating and characterizing methane hydrate resources.With the North Slope being an ideal location for methane hydrate testing, the Department of Energy is interested in further research in the region. The department has signed a memorandum of understanding with the State of Alaska for methane hydrate research in the state. The state has also set aside some North Slope land tracts for possible methane hydrate production testing. The Department of Energy would also like to confirm the existence of methane hydrate resources on the U.S. Atlantic coast and to continue a methane hydrate exploration drilling program that the department started in the Gulf of Mexico, Boswell said.

     

     

    International interest

    With international interest in methane hydrate development, as several countries seek some level of energy independence, plans for methane hydrate production testing are moving ahead in different parts of the world. Japan, having conducted its initial test drilling in the Nankai Trough, is preparing to conduct a longer-term offshore production test in 2015. Japan aims to complete the technical development of methane hydrate production by 2018, with a view to starting commercial production from its offshore resources at some time after 2023, Boswell said. South Korea wants to do a field test of its offshore resources within the next couple of years or so. China and India are conducting research into developing their methane hydrate resources, and several other countries around the world are also conducting methane hydrate research

  • Record Number of Candidates to Contest 2013 Election (ANTONY GREEN )

    « Vote Compass – Rudd versus Gillard Analysis | Main

    August 16, 2013

    Record Number of Candidates to Contest 2013 Election

    A record number of candidates are set to contest both the House of Representatives and the Senate on 7 September.

    A record 1,188 candidates will contest the House and 529 the Senate. The tables below summarise the nominations in both chambers.

    Number of Candidates – House of Representatives
    Code Party Name 2013 2010 Change
    ALP Labor Party (4 Country Labor) 150 150 ..
    LIB Liberal Party 108 109 -1
    LNP Liberal National 30 30 ..
    NAT National Party 20 16 +4
    CLP Country Liberal Party 2 2 ..
    GRN Greens 150 150 ..
    PUP Palmer United Party 150 .. +150
    FFP Family First 93 108 -15
    RUA Rise Up Australia 77 .. +77
    IND Independents 68 82 -14
    KAP Katter’s Australian Party 63 .. +63
    CDP Christian Democratic Party 48 42 +6
    ASXP Australian Sex Party 36 6 +30
    DLP Democratic Labour Party 33 7
    ACP Australian Christians 31 .. +31
    CEC Citizens Electoral Council 24 12 +12
    ONP One Nation 15 21 -6
    BTA Bullet Train for Australia 12 .. +12
    AFN Australia First 10 5 +5
    SPP Stable Population Party 10 .. +10
    SPA Secular Party 9 19 -10
    CYA Country Alliance 8 .. +8
    SAL Socialist Alliance 7 12 -5
    AIN Australian Independents 6 .. +6
    Unaffiliated Candidates 4 5 -1
    VCE Australian Voice 4 .. +4
    DEM Australian Democrats 3 25 -22
    APP Australian Protectionist Party 3 .. +3
    NCP Non-Custodial Parents Party 3 2 +1
    FNPP Australian First Nationas Party 2 .. +2
    FUT Future Party 2 .. +2
    LDP Liberal Democratic Party 1 22 -21
    SPRT Australian Sports Party 1 .. +1
    UNP Uniting Australia Party 1 .. +1
    VEP Voluntary Euthanasia Party 1 .. +1
    SOL Senator On-Line 1 .. +1
    SEP Socialist Equality Party .. 10 -10
    TCS The Climate Sceptics .. 7 -7
    BAP Building Australia .. 3 -3
    CA Carers Alliance .. 3 -3
    COM Communist Alliance .. 1 -1
    Total Candidates 1188 849 +269
    Number of Electorates 150 150
    Average candidates per seat 7.9 5.7

    Notes: Of the Labor candidates, 146 nominated as Australian Labor Party, and four as Country Labor. The four seats contested by Country Labor are Cowper, Hume, New England and Parke.  There are ten seats where there are three cornered contests with both the Liberal and National Parties nominating candidates. These seats are Throsby in New South Wales, Bendigo, Corangamite and Mallee in Victoria, Barker in South Australia and Canning, Durack, Forrest, O’Connor and Pearce in Western Australia.

    Number of Candidates per House of Representatives Electorate
    Nominations 2013 2010 2007 2004 2001 1998 1996 1993 1990
    2 candidates .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1 1
    3 candidates .. 6 .. .. .. .. 3 3 12
    4 candidates .. 33 7 3 9 1 22 21 39
    5 candidates 12 43 12 18 25 10 38 28 31
    6 candidates 24 26 42 29 35 38 31 28 38
    7 candidates 33 24 36 39 30 35 23 23 15
    8 candidates 28 7 29 30 25 28 14 22 9
    9 candidates 27 8 16 18 13 17 8 12 2
    10 candidates 12 1 4 7 7 8 9 5 1
    11 candidates 8 2 3 4 1 8 .. 4 ..
    12 candidates 3 .. .. 1 5 2 .. .. ..
    13 candidates 2 .. 1 .. .. 1 .. .. ..
    14 candidates .. .. .. 1 .. .. .. .. ..
    16 Candidates 1 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..
    No. of Electorates 150 150 150 150 150 148 148 147 148
    Total Candidates 1188 849 1054 1091 1039 1109 908 942 782
    Average per Electorate 7.9 5.7 7.0 7.3 6.9 7.5 6.1 6.4 5.3

    There are 12 candidates in Corangamite, Deakin and Mallee, 13 in Bendigo and McMillan, and 16 candidate in Melbourne.

    Number of Candidates and Groups at Senate Elections By State
    State Nominations NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS ACT NT
    2013 Columns 45 40 36 28 34 24 14 12
    Candidates 110 97 82 62 73 54 27 24
    2010 Columns 33 22 24 23 19 11 5 7
    Candidates 84 60 60 55 42 24 9 15
    2007 Columns 26 24 25 22 20 11 8 6
    Candidates 79 68 65 54 46 28 16 11
    2004 Columns 30 20 22 16 17 10 7 6
    Candidates 78 65 50 40 47 26 13 11
    2001 Columns 24 15 13 18 10 12 7 7
    Candidates 65 52 40 46 26 29 14 13
    1998 Columns 23 21 22 18 14 13 8 6
    Candidates 69 63 57 45 35 32 17 11
    1996 Columns 19 13 19 10 13 8 6 4
    Candidates 63 44 48 29 31 19 14 7
    1993 Columns 22 13 12 11 13 9 7 2
    Candidates 66 51 42 33 36 20 14 4
    1990 Columns 16 11 11 10 9 6 6 3
    Candidates 62 38 33 30 26 16 12 6
    1987 Columns 13 16 10 8 11 5 5 5
    Candidates 50 52 36 31 45 21 11 9
    1984 Columns 10 9 8 8 11 5 5 4
    Candidates 40 36 28 28 37 16 10 7

    Note: There are a record number of candidates in every state.

     

  • Australian floods lowered worldwide sea levels

    Australian floods lowered worldwide sea levels

    By John Upton

    Flood-inducing rainfall in Australia in 2010 was so severe that it lowered worldwide sea levels.

    Scientists have been puzzled by satellite data that shows sea levels fell in 2011. A paper published this month in the journal Geophysical Research Letters attributes a lot of the surprising sea-level decline to antipodean deluges — record-breaking rainfall that was linked to climate change.

    Seas have been rising by about 3 millimeters a year in recent decades. But from mid-2010 until 2011 sea levels dropped by 7 millimeters, as shown in this graph:

    Click to embiggen.
    CU Sea Level Research Group

    Australia is home to geological formations similar to lakes — scientists call them arheic and endorheic basins — that do not flow to the ocean. Instead they empty by gradually evaporating. About 40 percent of precipitation in most continents flows into the ocean, but in dish-shaped Australia, that figure is just 6 percent.

     

    Research led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research using NASA satellite data found that when these Australian basins brimmed with heavy 2010 rains, they held so much water that they contributed to about half of the fall in global sea levels. The basins held the water well into 2012, some of it as surface water and some as groundwater and soil moisture. (A strong La Niña and heavy precipitation over South America and North America also appear to have contributed to the surprise sudden drop in sea levels.)

    Seas have recently been rising more rapidly than the 3-millimeter-per-year average — and scientists say that, in turn, could be linked to recent heat waves and droughts in Australia.

    “The recent heatwave and accompanying drought very likely depleted soil moisture and perhaps groundwater, so, yes, there is likely a component that is contributing to the current major positive anomaly in global sea level,” said lead researcher John Fasullo. “This is unlikely to be a major contributor to the long term trend, however, as Australia can only dry out so much.”