Author: Neville

  • Plugging an ozone hole: Extreme Antarctic ozone holes have not been replicated in Arctic

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    Plugging an ozone hole: Extreme Antarctic ozone holes have not been replicated in Arctic

    Date:
    April 14, 2014
    Source:
    Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Summary:
    Since the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole, scientists, policymakers, and the public have wondered whether we might someday see a similarly extreme depletion of ozone over the Arctic. But a new study finds some cause for optimism: Ozone levels in the Arctic haven’t yet sunk to the extreme lows seen in Antarctica, in part because international efforts to limit ozone-depleting chemicals have been successful.

    An aerial view of clouds over a mountain range in Greenland.
    Credit: Courtesy of Michael Studinger/NASA Earth Observatory

    Since the discovery of the Antarctic ozone hole, scientists, policymakers, and the public have wondered whether we might someday see a similarly extreme depletion of ozone over the Arctic.

    But a new MIT study finds some cause for optimism: Ozone levels in the Arctic haven’t yet sunk to the extreme lows seen in Antarctica, in part because international efforts to limit ozone-depleting chemicals have been successful.

    “While there is certainly some depletion of Arctic ozone, the extremes of Antarctica so far are very different from what we find in the Arctic, even in the coldest years,” says Susan Solomon, the Ellen Swallow Richards Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Science at MIT, and lead author of a paper published this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

    Frigid temperatures can spur ozone loss because they create prime conditions for the formation of polar stratospheric clouds. When sunlight hits these clouds, it sparks a reaction between chlorine from chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), human-made chemicals once used for refrigerants, foam blowing, and other applications — ultimately destroying ozone.

    ‘A success story of science and policy’

    After the ozone-attacking properties of CFCs were discovered in the 1980s, countries across the world agreed to phase out their use as part of the 1987 Montreal Protocol treaty. While CFCs are no longer in use, those emitted years ago remain in the atmosphere. As a result, atmospheric concentrations have peaked and are now slowly declining, but it will be several decades before CFCs are totally eliminated from the environment — meaning there is still some risk of ozone depletion caused by CFCs.

    “It’s really a success story of science and policy, where the right things were done just in time to avoid broader environmental damage,” says Solomon, who made some of the first measurements in Antarctica that pointed toward CFCs as the primary cause of the ozone hole.

    To obtain their findings, the researchers used balloon and satellite data from the heart of the ozone layer over both polar regions. They found that Arctic ozone levels did drop significantly during an extended period of unusual cold in the spring of 2011. While this dip did depress ozone levels, the decrease was nowhere near as drastic as the nearly complete loss of ozone in the heart of the layer seen in many years in Antarctica.

    The MIT team’s work also helps to show chemical reasons for the differences, demonstrating that ozone loss in Antarctica is closely associated with reduced levels of nitric acid in air that is colder than that in the Arctic.

    “We’ll continue to have cold years with extreme Antarctic ozone holes for a long time to come,” Solomon says. “We can’t be sure that there will never be extreme Arctic ozone losses in an unusually cold future year, but so far, so good — and that’s good news.”

    The paper is the first to use observational evidence to confirm the chemical processes in polar stratospheric clouds that lead to ozone loss, says Brian Toon, a professor of atmospheric and oceanic sciences at the University of Colorado at Boulder and an expert on stratospheric ozone loss. Previous studies have used computer models or theories to explain the connection between nitric acid in these clouds and ozone depletion.

    “It is an excellent example of the relatively rare paper that is clever and insightful,” says Toon, who was not involved in this most recent study. “[It] goes beyond complex computer calculations to demonstrate from observations an important process occurring in the atmosphere.”


    Story Source:

    The above story is based on materials provided by Massachusetts Institute of Technology. The original article was written by Audrey Resutek. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


    Journal Reference:

    1. Susan Solomon, Jessica Haskins, Diane J. Ivy, and Flora Min. Fundamental differences between Arctic and Antarctic ozone depletion. PNAS, April 14, 2014 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1319307111

    Cite This Page:

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “Plugging an ozone hole: Extreme Antarctic ozone holes have not been replicated in Arctic.” ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 14

  • Air pollution over Asia influences global weather and makes Pacific storms more intense

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    from universities, journals, and other organizations

    Air pollution over Asia influences global weather and makes Pacific storms more intense

    Date:
    April 14, 2014
    Source:
    Texas A&M University
    Summary:
    In the first study of its kind, scientists have compared air pollution rates from 1850 to 2000 and found that anthropogenic (human-made) particles from Asia impact the Pacific storm track that can influence weather over much of the world.

    A snap-shot of cloud water from a simulation of the Pacific storm track.
    Credit: NOAA

    In the first study of its kind, scientists have compared air pollution rates from 1850 to 2000 and found that anthropogenic (human-made) particles from Asia impact the Pacific storm track that can influence weather over much of the world.

    The team, which includes several researchers from Texas A&M University, has had its work published in the current issue of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS).

    Yuan Wang, Yun Lin, Jiaxi Hu, Bowen Pan, Misti Levy and Renyi Zhang of Texas A&M’s Department of Atmospheric Sciences, along with colleagues from Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, the University of California at San Diego and NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, contributed to the work.

    The team used detailed pollution emission data compiled by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and looked at two scenarios: one for a rate in 1850 — the pre-Industrial era — and from 2000, termed present-day.

    By comparing the results from an advanced global climate model, the team found that anthropogenic aerosols conclusively impact cloud formations and mid-latitude cyclones associated with the Pacific storm track.

    “There appears to be little doubt that these particles from Asia affect storms sweeping across the Pacific and subsequently the weather patterns in North America and the rest of the world,” Zhang says of the findings.

    “The climate model is quite clear on this point. The aerosols formed by human activities from fast-growing Asian economies do impact storm formation and global air circulation downstream. They tend to make storms deeper and stronger and more intense, and these storms also have more precipitation in them. We believe this is the first time that a study has provided such a global perspective.”

    In recent years, researchers have learned that atmospheric aerosols affect the climate, either directly by scattering or absorbing solar radiation, and indirectly by altering cloud formations. Increasing levels of such particles have raised concerns because of their potential impacts on regional and global atmospheric circulation.

    In addition, Zhang says large amounts of aerosols and their long-term transport from Asia across the Pacific can clearly be seen by satellite images.

    The Pacific storm track represents a critical driver in the general global circulation by transporting heat and moisture, the team notes. The transfer of heat and moisture appears to be increased over the storm track downstream, meaning that the Pacific storm track is intensified because of the Asian air pollution outflow.

    “Our results support previous findings that show that particles in the air over Asia tend to affect global weather patterns,” Zhang adds.

    “It shows they can affect the Earth’s weather significantly.”

    Yuan Wang, who conducted the research with Zhang while at Texas A&M, currently works at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory as a Caltech Postdoctoral Scholar.

    The study was funded by grants from NASA, the Department of Energy, Texas A&M’s Supercomputing facilities and the Ministry of Science and Technology of China.


    Story Source:

    The above story is based on materials provided by Texas A&M University. Note: Materials may be edited for content and length.


    Journal Reference:

    1. Yuan Wang, Minghuai Wang, Renyi Zhang, Steven J. Ghan, Yun Lin, Jiaxi Hu, Bowen Pan, Misti Levy, Jonathan H. Jiang, and Mario J. Molina. Assessing the effects of anthropogenic aerosols on Pacific storm track using a multiscale global climate model. PNAS, April 14, 2014 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1403364111

    Cite This Page:

    Texas A&M University. “Air pollution over Asia influences global weather and makes Pacific storms more intense.” ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 14 April 2014. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/04/140414154412.htm>.

  • Daily update: Bernstein: 4 scary choices for utilities in face of solar onslaught

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    Daily update: Bernstein: 4 scary choices for utilities in face of solar onslaught

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    Renew Economy editor@reneweconomy.com.au via mail341.us2.mcsv.net Unsubscribe

    3:14 PM (16 minutes ago)

    to me
    Four scary choices for utilities in face of solar onslaught, Why India’s dirty coal problem is bad news for Australia, China’s 14GW solar target challenged by policy uncertainty, What ‘wind turbine syndrome’ tells us about the future of cleantech, How China’s coal cap makes it a leader in tackling climate change, Mixed Greens: Home-grown solar thermal pilot launched, Are we halfway to market dominance for solar? And world solar power capacity increased 35% in 2013
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    RenewEconomy Daily News
    The Parkinson Report
    Can generators live off two hours of demand a day? And what if utilities actually tried to slow down the rollout of rooftop solar? If these are questions energy utilities are asking themselves in the current market environment, they may not like investment bank Bernstein’s answers.
    IPCC says China and other emerging economies will scale back fossil fuels to cut air pollution. This graph from new HSBC report explains why.
    Deutsche Bank questions China’s 2014 installed solar PV target, citing policy uncertainty, problems with project finance and implementation as hurdles.
    As new technology collides with human nature, myth and misinformation take hold. Fighting this means examining what drives people to reject science.
    Coal caps mean China may be doing more to tackle climate change than the EU and US.
    Solar thermal demo plant launched at a Newcastle pool; rooftop solar booming in Vic mortgage belt; two clean energy companies head down under.
    Solar is now around 1 percent of global electricity generation. But that might mean we’re further along than you’d think.
    With about 37,007 megawatts (MW) of solar PV power installed in 2013, world solar PV power
  • AN ESSENTIAL VIDEO RE-EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS – ‘THE YEARS OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY’

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    AN ESSENTIAL VIDEO RE-EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS – ‘THE YEARS OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY’

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    Andrew Glikson

    11:58 AM (8 minutes ago)

    to geospec

     

    THE YEARS OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY

     

    AN ESSENTIAL VIDEO RE-EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS

     

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=brvhCnYvxQQ&sns=em

     

     

     

     

     

    Dr Andrew Glikson

    Earth and Paleo-climate science

    Affiliations: Visiting Fellow, ANU School of Anthropology and Archaeology,

    ANU Climate Change Institute,
    ANU Planetary Science Institute

    Honorary Associate Professor, Geothermal Energy Centre of Excellence, The University of Queensland
    E-mail. W Andrew.Glikson@anu.edu.au; H Geospec@iinet.net.au

    Ph. W  02 6125 7476; Mobile 0439085833; Ph/fax H  02 6296 3853
    mail: P.O. Box 3698 Weston A.C.T. 2611

    http://cci.anu.edu.au/researchers/view/andrew_glikson/
    http://archanth.anu.edu.au/staff/dr-andrew-glikson
    http://www.mso.anu.edu.au/PSI/PSI_People.html

    http://www.springer.com/earth+sciences+and+geography/earth+system+sciences/book/978-94-007-7331-8 

    http://www.springer.com/earth+sciences+and+geography/geophysics/book

  • 4 weeks to save the ABC GET-UP

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    4 weeks to save the ABC

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    Erin – GetUp!

    7:36 AM (3 hours ago)

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    “Forget about Twitter and mobile phones, the ABC covers vast areas of Australia and if the power is down you can still listen to the ABC on your radio… I find the thought of any cut to the ABC rural network unthinkable… it’s a unique service where commercial radio just isn’t viable.”1 – Member for Maranoa, Bruce Scott MP

    Dear NEVILLE,

    Remember when, on election eve, Prime Minister Tony Abbott told Australia there’d be no cuts to the ABC or SBS?2

    Or how he spruiked a “no surprises, no excuses” government; assuring us there’d be “no broken promises”?

    Well, it seems breaking those promises may be as easy as A-B-C.

    Reports leaked yesterday suggest Abbott is poised to go back on his word, by taking the knife to our iconic national broadcaster.

    It’s a knife that managing director of the ABC, Mark Scott, has made clear will not spare even the most essential of services offered by the ABC, saying there will be “no guarantee.. that any services could be spared, including rural services” should ABC funding be cut.3

    That’s why we’ve created this hard hitting rapid response ad calling Tony Abbott out on his ABC election promise. Will you help us run this powerful ad during these critical pre-budget weeks?

    https://www.getup.org.au/no-cuts

    We’ll be running the ad over the next three weeks in the most strategic prime time, regional and marginal electorates; in the areas where GetUp members like Aja, as a vision-impaired Australian, relied heavily upon the services provided by the ABC when she needed critical information about how to stay safe during severe flooding and cyclones in 2008. We’ll air our ad in areas where Australians will suffer the most, should Tony Abbott take the axe to the ABC.

    We only have four weeks to hold Prime Minister Abbott to his promise.

    Fortunately, public support for the ABC is on our side. Already nearly 300,000 Australians have joined the GetUp campaign to protect Australia’s favourite public broadcaster so it can continue to provide essential services to our rural and regional communities, quality children’s programming free of ads, original Australian shows we know and love, and balanced news reporting.

    Over the coming weeks we’ll need to give it everything we’ve got – running strategic ads, holding high visibility events, mobilising our communities, delivering our fastest-ever growing petition and reminding Tony Abbott about his important election promises.

    But we need your help to escalate the campaign and keep up the fight.

    Click here to find out how you can help protect the ABC from damaging cuts: https://www.getup.org.au/no-cuts

    Let’s make it clear that cutting funds to the ABC is a broken election promise Australians won’t forgive. Now is the time to give all we have to keep our ABC free of ads, free for all, free to remain fair and balanced.

    Thanks for joining the fight,
    Erin for the GetUp team

    PS – GetUp members are already a powerful and visible voice standing up for our ABC. Late last year more than 220,000 Australians signed-on to GetUp’s fastest growing petition ever to keep our ABC free from cuts. Together, we ran huge billboards in high-traffic areas within Tony Abbott’s and Malcolm Turnbull’s electorates. Thousands of GetUp members proudly displayed their Save our ABC bumper stickers on bikes and laptops. Will you help us step up now, when it matters most? https://www.getup.org.au/no-cuts

    References

    [1] Nationals MPs warn against ABC budget cuts, The Sydney Morning Herald, 13 April 2014
    [2] No cuts to the ABC or SBS: Abbott, SBS News, 6 September 2014
    [3] No part of ABC would be quarantined if funding cut, managing director Mark Scott says, ABC News, 26 February 2014


  • Transportation Emissions Could Rise by 71% by 2050

    Transportation Emissions Could Rise by 71% by 2050

    By Charles Kennedy | Fri, 11 April 2014 20:51 | 0

     

    Benefit From the Latest Energy Trends and Investment Opportunities before the mainstream media and investing public are aware they even exist. The Free Oilprice.com Energy Intelligence Report gives you this and much more. Click here to find out more.

    A new report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change published on April 13 finds that the transportation sector is set to be the fastest growing source of greenhouse gas emissions out of all major energy sectors. Emissions from cars, trucks, planes, and ships could rise by 71% over the next several decades from 2010 levels.

    Most of the demand will come from emerging economies and rising incomes in countries like China, India and Brazil. As consumers make more money, they will purchase cars for the first time. For example, in China, per capita GDP hit $10,661 in 2014, up from $3,614 a decade ago, according to Bloomberg. Car sales will grow by 4% worldwide in 2014 alone, hitting 70.2 million. By 2020, the annual car market could expand by 27%.

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    This means that global oil demand could remain very robust for decades, and absent major increases in supply or strong gains in efficiency, prices could jump as a result. Unlike the electric power sector, where renewable energy is much further along and could begin to capture a significant share of the market, transportation fuels are almost entirely dependent on crude oil.

    Related Article: White House Targets Methane Emissions

    The IPCC report says that cities are at the heart of the problem, as well as the opportunity. Transportation already accounts for about one-quarter of global greenhouse gas emissions, and with millions of people set to get into cars for the first time, cities could become choked in traffic, resulting in greater pollution and rising energy consumption. But with better urban planning, cities could reduce emissions and oil consumption by incorporating larger populations into denser areas, centered around mass transit.

    The IPCC report concludes that there are significant institutional, legal, financial, and cultural barriers in place that could prevent the world from reining in the problem of rising transportation pollution.