admin /25 February, 2010
Preparing for 2014-15 “Oil Crunch” Forecast by UK Industry Group
A new report by a United Kingdom industry taskforce predicts steep oil price rises and gasoline supply shortages by 2014-2015, which will put the global economy at similar risk to the 2007-2008 rapid rise in oil prices that helped trigger the Great Recession.
“The time period would be 2014-2015 when the oil market would be starting to experience rapidly rising prices and tightening oil supplies…It is notable that the CEO of Total, Christophe de Margerie, is already warning of such an outcome in the 2014/15 period,” says the report, “Industry Taskforce on Peak Oil & Energy Security,” funded by Virgin Group, Arup Engineering, Foster and Partners, and Scottish and Southern Engineering.
What can cities, businesses and individuals do to prepare for such energy price volatility, buy hybrids? Actually, the report asserts, “there is real danger that the focus on technological advances in cars is making consumers and government complacent.”
More urgent steps need to be taken by policymakers in particular to avert this impending crisis:
Support greater planning and funding for public transit, including taxation to benefit public transit taxation and allocating road space based on most fuel efficient modes (i.e., congestion pricing).
Support planning for less energy-intensive forms of development (less sprawl, more transit-oriented housing, retail and businesses).
Transition to more energy-efficient transportation fleets or vehicles.
Coordinate policy mechanisms and organizational practices to create a behavioral shift from private car use to other more sustainable forms of mobility, including public transit, car sharing, cycling and walking.
Encourage, enable and practice smart green city tactics: telecommuting, video conferencing and public work centers, such as those being piloted in
Amsterdam with Cisco.