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  • Aboriginal Legal Service (NSW/ACT) Aboriginal deaths in custody

    NEVILLE

    We won! With just over two weeks to go before the CNS phone line preventing Aboriginal deaths in police custody was due to cease operating, the Federal Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus has agreed to funding for a two-year period.

    We want to thank all of YOU – 33,864 online petitioners who fought hard with us to get the CNS funded.

    Thanks to you, we’re now able to continue our vital Custody Notification Service that has prevented Aboriginal deaths in police custody in NSW and ACT since its inception in 2000.

    For the last six weeks we’ve run an aggressive campaign to Save the CNS and bring Government attention to this life-saving service. Your signatures, and your heartfelt comments about why the CNS is essential obviously made a huge difference — with the Federal Government allocating $100,000 immediately to the CNS. They have also agreed to us using another $900,000 of their Federal Budget allocation between 2013 to 2015.

    This means the CNS has secured funding for a further two years. A huge victory. Of course we will continue to seek ongoing funding for this essential life-saving service – our fight is not really over – but we’re glad for the breathing room.

    We’d love for you to help us keep fighting for sustainable funding and keep up to date with the Aboriginal Legal Service. So join our Facebook page, follow us on Twitter here, and you can visit our website at: www.alsnswact.org.au

    We have been overwhelmed by your support, and hope you can join us into the future to ensure the CNS remains for as long as there are vulnerable Aboriginal people in police custody.

    Thank you.

    Phil Naden

    CEO

    Aboriginal Legal Service (NSW/ACT)

    We wish to acknowledge the many significant people and organisations who publicly and privately expressed their support for our campaign to continue funding for the CNS including the NSW Police, NSW Coroner, NSW Law Society, Australian Red Cross, NSW Council of Civil Liberties, Coalition of Peak Aboriginal Organisations (CAPO) including NSW Aboriginal Land Council (NSWALC), Link Up NSW, NSW Aboriginal Education Consultative Group, NSW Aboriginal Health and Medical Research Council, and NSW Aboriginal Child, Family and Community Care State Secretariat, the previous Social Justice Commissioner Tom Calma, the NSW Greens, and the NSW Ombudsman wrote to the NSW Government late last year in support of the CNS.

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  • Two-thirds of energy sector will have to be left undeveloped, Bonn conference told

    Two-thirds of energy sector will have to be left undeveloped, Bonn conference told

    If world is to limit global warming we cannot burn all our fossil fuels, says International Energy Agency economist Fatih Birol

    International Energy Agency chief economist  Fatih Birol: “Globally, the direction we are on is not the right one. If it continues, the increase would be as high as 5.3 degrees – and that would have devastating effects on all of us.” Photograph: David SleatorInternational Energy Agency chief economist Fatih Birol: “Globally, the direction we are on is not the right one. If it continues, the increase would be as high as 5.3 degrees – and that would have devastating effects on all of us.” Photograph: David Sleator

    Wed, Jun 12, 2013, 01:00

    First published: Wed, Jun 12, 2013, 01:00

    About two-thirds of all proven reserves of oil, gas and coal will have to be left undeveloped if the world is to achieve the goal of limiting global warming at two degrees Celsius, according to the chief economist at the International Energy Agency.

    Addressing participants in the latest round of UN climate talks in Bonn, Fatih Birol said this should be an “eye-opener” for pension funds with significant investments in the energy sector – particularly in coal – as well as for ratings agencies.

    He predicted coal would be hardest hit in the “unburnable carbon” scenario, followed by oil and gas. “We cannot afford to burn all the fossil fuels we have. If we did that, it [average global surface temperature] would go higher than four degrees.
    ‘Devastating effect’
    “Globally, the direction we are on is not the right one. If it continues, the increase would be as high as 5.3 degrees – and that would have devastating effects on all of us.”

    Instead of ignoring it, energy companies had a “crucial” role in confronting the challenge of climate change. “We think the energy sector cannot afford to be isolated – not just for moral reasons, but also for the business perspective.”

    Dr Birol delivered his address a day after the energy agency published its latest special report, Redrawing the Energy-Climate Map, which called on governments to take action between now and 2020 to ensure the two-degree target could be achieved.

    Looking at positive developments, he cited China’s closure of 70 of its worst-performing coal-fired power stations and said other countries should follow suit – an open invitation to the Government to switch Moneypoint in Co Clare to gas.

    Dr Birol said US greenhouse gas emissions had fallen back to the mid-1990s level, largely due to cheaper gas replacing coal for electricity generation.

    “This is huge . . . revolutionary,” he said, attributing the change to widespread fracking of shale gas.

    Dr Birol was speaking as one of the key strands of the UN talks fell apart due to Russian obstruction.

  • When Will the Next Megathrust Hit the West Coast of North America?

    When Will the Next Megathrust Hit the West Coast of North America?

    June 12, 2013 — Understanding the size and frequency of large earthquakes along the Pacific coast of North America is of great importance, not just to scientists, but also to government planners and the general public. The only way to predict the frequency and intensity of the ground motion expected from large and giant “megathrust ” earthquakes along Canada’s west coast is to analyze the geologic record.


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    A new study published today in the Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences presents an exceptionally well-dated first record of earthquake history along the south coast of BC. Using a new high-resolution age model, a team of scientists meticulously identified and dated the disturbed sedimentary layers in a 40-metre marine sediment core raised from Effingham Inlet. The disturbances appear to have been caused by large and megathrust earthquakes that have occurred over the past 11,000 years.

    One of the co-authors of the study, Dr. Audrey Dallimore, Associate Professor at Royal Roads University explains: “Some BC coastal fjords preserve annually layered organic sediments going back all the way to deglacial times. In Effingham Inlet, on the west coast of Vancouver Island, these sediments reveal disturbances we interpret were caused by earthquakes. With our very detailed age model that includes 68 radiocarbon dates and the Mazama Ash deposit (a volcanic eruption that took place 6800 yrs ago); we have identified 22 earthquake shaking events over the last 11,000 years, giving an estimate of a recurrence interval for large and megathrust earthquakes of about 500 years. However, it appears that the time between major shaking events can stretch up to about a 1,000 years.

    “The last megathrust earthquake originating from the Cascadia subduction zone occurred in 1700 AD. Therefore, we are now in the risk zone of another earthquake. Even though it could be tomorrow or perhaps even centuries before it occurs, paleoseismic studies such as this one can help us understand the nature and frequency of rupture along the Cascadia Subduction Zone, and help Canadian coastal communities to improve their hazard assessments and emergency preparedness plans.”

    “This exceptionally well-dated paleoseismic study by Enkin et al., involved a multi-disciplinary team of Canadian university and federal government scientists, and a core from the 2002 international drill program Marges Ouest Nord Américaines (MONA) campaign,” says Dr. Olav Lian, an associate editor of the Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences, professor at the University of the Fraser Valley and Director of the university’s Luminescence Dating Laboratory. “It gives us our first glimpse back in geologic time, of the recurrence interval of large and megathrust earthquakes impacting the vulnerable BC outer coastline. It also supports paleoseismic data found in offshore marine sediment cores along the US portion of the Cascadia Subduction Zone, recently released in an important United States Geological Survey (USGS) paleoseismic study by a team of researchers led by Dr. Chris Goldfinger of Oregon State University.

    In addition to analyzing the Effingham Inlet record for earthquake events, this study site has also revealed much information about climate and ocean changes throughout the Holocene to the present. These findings also clearly illustrate the importance of analyzing the geologic record to help today’s planners and policy makers, and ultimately to increase the resiliency of Canadian communities. ”

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  • Carbon Dioxide Absorption in Antarctic Seas

    Carbon Dioxide Absorption in Antarctic Seas

    June 12, 2013 — The seas around Antarctica can, at times, resemble a garden. Large-scale experiments where scientists spray iron into the waters, literally fertilizing phytoplankton, have created huge human-made algal blooms. Such geoengineering experiments produce diatoms, which pull carbon dioxide out of the air. Experts argue that this practice can help offset Earth’s rising carbon dioxide levels. However, the experiments are controversial and, according to a new study at the Georgia Institute of Technology, perhaps not as effective as expected.


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    Georgia Tech research published online Monday in Nature Communications indicates that diatoms stuff more iron into their silica shells than they actually need. As a result, there’s not enough iron to go around, and the added iron may stimulate less productivity than expected. The study also says that the removal of iron through incorporation into diatom silica may be a profound factor controlling the Southern Ocean’s bioavailable pool of iron, adversely affecting the ecosystem.

    “Just like someone walking through a buffet line who takes the last two pieces of cake, even though they know they’ll only eat one, they’re hogging the food,” said Ellery Ingall, a professor in Georgia Tech’s College of Sciences. “Everyone else in line gets nothing; the person’s decision affects these other people.”

    Ingall says, similarly, these “hogging” diatoms negatively affect the number of carbon-trapping plankton produced. They also outcompete other organisms for the iron.

    “It appears the diatoms aren’t using all of the iron for photosynthesis,” he said. “They’re incorporating iron in their shells for another purpose, keeping it from others and affecting the plankton ecosystem.”

    Researchers have known for years that diatoms can remove iron from oceans and carbon from the atmosphere, but little is known about how iron is cycled and removed from the Antarctic region.

    Ingall and a former Georgia Tech graduate student, Julia Diaz, spent nearly six weeks in Antarctica’s Ross Sea from 2008 to 2009, trying to learn more. They collected samples in the frigid waters and used them to create what is believed to be the first spectroscopic, compositional characterization of iron in marine biogenic silica. Ingall conducted an X-ray analysis of the phytoplankton at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Argonne National Laboratory.

    A major source of bioavailable iron in Antarctica is from melting snow and dust deposition. Ingall found that iron addition via these sources barely keeps pace with subtraction by diatoms.

    “Uptake of iron by diatoms is significant compared to what Mother Nature is able to naturally add to the ocean,” he said. “This uptake could shift microbial communities toward organisms with relatively lower iron requirements.”

    According to Ingall, removal of iron by diatom-dominated phytoplankton communities may dampen the intended outcome of enhanced carbon uptake through iron fertilization by reducing the productivity of other phytoplankton, which take up carbon dioxide more efficiently.

    This research was funded by the National Science Foundation (EDI-0849494, PLY-0836144, and EDI-1060884). The findings and conclusions are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the NSF.

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  • Earth to warm 3.8C as nations fail on climate goals: report

    Earth to warm 3.8C as nations fail on climate goals: report

    Source: Wed, 12 Jun 2013 05:00 PM

    Author: Michael Szabo, Reuters Point Carbon
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    North and South Tarawa are seen from the air in the central Pacific Island nation of Kiribati. Kiribati consists of a chain of 33 atolls and islands that stand just metres above sea level, spread over a huge expanse of otherwise empty ocean. With surrounding sea levels rising, Kiribati President Anote Tong has predicted his country will likely become uninhabitable in 30-60 years because of inundation and contamination of its freshwater supplies. May 23, 2013. REUTERS/David Gray
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    BONN, June 12 (Reuters Point Carbon) – The world’s biggest emitting nations are struggling to meet existing pledges to cut emissions of greenhouse gases by the end of the decade, researchers warned Wednesday, adding that global temperatures would likely rise by 3.8C this century as a result.

    Climate Action Tracker (CAT), a coalition of European climate policy consultants, said governments are unlikely to deliver on legal and voluntary carbon reduction targets, goals which most scientists say are already too weak to stop the earth warming more than deemed safe levels of 2C.

    “Assuming current emissions trends, implemented and presently planned policies there is a 40 percent chance of warming exceeding 4C by 2100 and a 10 percent chance of it exceeding 5C in the same period, with a likely warming projected at 3.8C by 2100,” the researchers said in a report published on the sidelines of U.N. climate talks in Germany.

    “With these emission trends, a warming of 3-4 degrees warming at 2100 won’t stop there. Warming is likely to continue upwards well into the 22nd century,” added Bill Hare of Climate Analytics, one of the groups that contributed to the work.

    Negotiators from over 100 nations are meeting in Bonn this week to try to draft a new global climate pact to be signed in 2015 and come into effect in 2020.

    The talks are taking place amid warnings from scientists that the world’s population could suffer wide-spread drought and flooding as a result of rising emissions of greenhouse gases, which trap the sun’s heat in the atmosphere.

    In May, U.S. researchers said the amount of carbon dioxide in the air reached 400 parts per million for the first time, while on Monday the International Energy Agency estimated emissions hit a record last year, despite economic slowdown in most developed nations.

    PARADOX

    A key part of the U.N. talks are on how different nations can deepen existing goals to cut emissions by the end of the decade, although no major emitting nation has tabled fresh pledges in the past three years.

    “It’s a great paradox that policy seems to be unwinding almost as fast as temperature projections are increasing,” Hare added.

    Last week the world’s two biggest emitting nations – China and the United States – promised to accelerate a phase out of production and consumption of potent greenhouse gases called hydrofluorocarbons, but the researchers said the move may only curb temperature rises by 0.1 to 0.5 degrees.

    A shift from coal- to gas-based power in the U.S., thanks to the nation’s newly-tapped vast shale gas reserves, may also be undermining its current goal to cut emissions by 17 percent below 2005 levels before 2020, said Niklas Hohne, a director at Ecofys, another contributor to the report.

    According some estimates, the fugitive emissions from shale gas, for example methane released through its production, almost entirely offsets the climate benefits of switching fuels, he added.

    “While shale gas may have a little positive impact on U.S. (emissions), it’s highly doubtful that it will have a positive impact on the climate in the long-term,” Hohne said.

  • Under pressure: Arctic trends sparking extreme weather at large

    Under pressure: Arctic trends sparking extreme weather at large

    Posted by frontierscientists

    Posted: June 12, 2013 – 6:21 am

    The Polar jet stream is pictured in this screencap of NASA video "Aerial Superhighway". This image portrays a zonal jet stream, with winds moving swiftly west-to-east. The fastest winds are colored red; slower winds are blue. : Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Goddard Space Flight CenterThe Polar jet stream is pictured in this screencap of NASA video “Aerial Superhighway”. This image portrays a zonal jet stream, with winds moving swiftly west-to-east. The fastest winds are colored red; slower winds are blue. : Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Goddard Space Flight Center

    Laura Nielsen for Frontier Scientists

    In September 2012, at the end of last summer, the Arctic sea ice extent reached a record low since satellite measurements began. And, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, summer sea ice extent in the Arctic has declined roughly 40 percent in the last three decades.

    Sea Ice Retreat in the Beaufort Sea, north of Alaska. The MODIS instrument on NASA’s Terra satellite collected these images on May 13, 2012 (top), and June 16, 2012 (bottom). The rapid melt was part of a larger phenomenon of increasing sea ice melt.: Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Earth ObservatorySea Ice Retreat in the Beaufort Sea, north of Alaska. The MODIS instrument on NASA’s Terra satellite collected these images on May 13, 2012 (top), and June 16, 2012 (bottom). The rapid melt was part of a larger phenomenon of increasing sea ice melt.: Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Earth Observatory

    The Arctic is warming faster than other parts of the planet. This enhanced warming is called Arctic Amplification. It may seem like a far-away problem to many people, yet a study led by National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration scientist James Overland, Ph.D., and published in the American Geophysical Union’s Geophysical Research Letters shows that it is a much nearer concern. Amplified Arctic warming is contributing to more frequent and more extreme weather events in North America and Europe, making the Arctic an increasingly important player in shaping regional climate in the coming century.

    Climate change and Arctic warming alter the nature of the jet stream, weakening those powerful winds and changing their flow. An altered jet stream can amplify extreme weather events and change the origin, persistence, and severity of regional weather. Let’s look at why.

    The troposphere is the layer of our atmosphere which lies closest to earth. Bands of powerful winds called jet streams occur in the troposhpere where areas of high and low pressure meet. When the temperature difference between the pressure fronts is particularly pronounced, the resulting winds are fiercer, and jet stream winds can exceed 100 miles per hour. The jet stream in the Northern Hemisphere is known as the Polar jet stream.

    Those pressure systems are often dominated in the north by two different forces. One is known as the Aleutian Low, which is an area of low pressure centered near Alaska’s Aleutian Islands. It dominates during the winter months, and tends to generate winter storms. Then, during the summer, that low system is pushed north toward the pole by a high pressure system called the North Pacific High which is influenced more by the warmer southerly temperatures. Both systems are semi-permanent and changeable. Where the fronts meet, cold polar air interacts with the warmer air originating in the tropics and pushing north through the mid-latitudes. It is that interaction which influences weather trends in much of the Northern Hemisphere, particularly in North America and Europe.

    Images illustrating the Arctic Oscillation in its positive and negative phases.: Courtesy NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) & NCDC (National Climatic Data Center)Images illustrating the Arctic Oscillation in its positive and negative phases.: Courtesy NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) & NCDC (National Climatic Data Center)

    When the standard low pressure system dominates in the Arctic and a high pressure system pushes northward from the mid-latitudes, the pressure pattern is described as a positive Arctic Oscillation, during which the Polar jet stream behaves in a predictable way. Winds blow swiftly from the west to the east, pushed out of a linear path only slightly by colder low-pressure troughs sliding south and warmer high-pressure air ridges pushing north. The fast, slightly wavy, west-to-east jet stream is called a zonal jet stream flow.

    In contrast, a meridional flow describes a jet stream wind that meanders far from its path, blowing much more north-to-south. Its path is more radical because low-pressure troughs and high-pressure ridges penetrate further into the opposite pressure front. The winds follow an extreme winding path, and as a result move more slowly. Meridional flows correspond with a negative Arctic Oscillation, during which a high pressure front dominates in the Arctic. Simulations run on supercomputers foretell more of those intense high-pressure systems dominating the northern Pacific and Atlantic oceans as the 21st century progresses and levels of greenhouse-gasses continue to rise.

    This matters because a slow, meandering meridional jet stream can mean weather conditions are more extreme and longer lasting. Cold Arctic temperature troughs reach further south, and hot pressure ridges stab further north. Severe storm fronts often form where the pressure systems with their wild temperature gradients rub against one another. And the meridional flow can make weather conditions dominate in one region for a longer duration. No longer blowing swiftly through along a stronger zonal flow, weather trends linger and sometimes persist. It’s called a blocking pattern, and it can inflict prolonged heat spells leading to drought and increased wildfire probability, extreme summer rainfall leading to flooding, or unseasonal cold. These upsets to regional climate spell potential trouble for humans, watershed integrity for crops, and wildlife habitat.

    The Polar jet stream is pictured in this screencap of NASA video "Aerial Superhighway". This image portrays a meridional jet stream, with winds meandering more slowly, predominantly north-to-south. The fastest winds are colored red; slower winds are blue.: Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Goddard Space Flight CenterThe Polar jet stream is pictured in this screencap of NASA video “Aerial Superhighway”. This image portrays a meridional jet stream, with winds meandering more slowly, predominantly north-to-south. The fastest winds are colored red; slower winds are blue.: Courtesy NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) Goddard Space Flight Center

    Jennifer Francis, Ph.D., of Rutgers, names “[T]he rapid regional changes and increased frequency of extreme weather that global warming is causing,” to be a high-impact symptom of climate change. She adds: “As the Arctic warms at twice the global rate, we expect an increased probability of extreme weather events across the temperate latitudes of the northern hemisphere, where billions of people live.” The Earth is one great system, and everything is interconnected. The Arctic, though remote, impacts regional climate patterns in North America and Europe; the amplified warming occurring there deserves our attention and care.

    Eyes to the north.

    .

    Frontier Scientists: presenting scientific discovery in the Arctic and beyond

    References:

    ‘A Rough Guide to the Jet Stream: what it is, how it works and how it is responding to enhanced Arctic warming’ John Mason, Skeptical Science
    http://skepticalscience.com/jetstream-guide.html

    ‘Arctic summer wind shift could affect sea ice loss and U.S./European weather, says NOAA-led study’ National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration
    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2012/20121010_arcticwinds.html

    ‘Evidence Linking Arctic Amplification to Extreme Weather in Mid-Latitudes’ American Geophysical Union : Geophysical Research Letters
    http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/pip/2012GL051000.shtml

    ‘National Weather Service Glossary’ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration : National Weather Service
    http://w1.weather.gov/glossary/

    ‘Weather-Making High-Pressure Systems Predicted to Intensify’ Duke University : Nicholas School of the Environment
    http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/news/weather-making-high-pressure-systems-predicted-to-intensify